Chelsea vs Benfica Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – September 30

Chelsea

L W L L D

6th place in Group A

1-0

30/09/2025 19:00

Benfica

W D W L D

24th place in Group A

UEFA Champions League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Chelsea vs Benfica on September 30, 2025 (kick-off: 19:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Chelsea vs Benfica preview before placing for you.

Chelsea are currently 6th with 16 points after 8 matches.
Benfica sit 24th with 9 points from 8 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Chelsea to win with probability 60%.
Head-to-head history favors Chelsea, who have won 4 of the last 5 meetings. Benfica have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

19:00

2025-09-30

Chelsea vs Benfica - Prediction & Odds

Chelsea

Benfica

2025-09-30 19:00

STANDINGS UP TO 30/09/2025

Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Arsenal	24	8	8	0	0	23	4	19
02 Bayern Munchen	21	8	7	0	1	22	8	14
03 Liverpool	18	8	6	0	2	20	8	12
04 Tottenham Hotspur	17	8	5	2	1	17	7	10
05 FC Barcelona	16	8	5	1	2	22	14	8
06 Chelsea	16	8	5	1	2	17	10	7
07 Sporting CP	16	8	5	1	2	17	11	6
08 Manchester City	16	8	5	1	2	15	9	6
09 Real Madrid	15	8	5	0	3	21	12	9
10 Inter Milan	15	8	5	0	3	15	7	8
11 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)	14	8	4	2	2	21	11	10
12 Newcastle United	14	8	4	2	2	17	7	10
13 Juventus	13	8	3	4	1	14	10	4
14 Atletico Madrid	13	8	4	1	3	17	15	2
15 Atalanta	13	8	4	1	3	10	10	0
16 Bayer Leverkusen	12	8	3	3	2	13	14	-1
17 Borussia Dortmund	11	8	3	2	3	19	17	2
18 Olympiakos Piraeus	11	8	3	2	3	10	14	-4
19 Club Brugge	10	8	3	1	4	15	17	-2
20 Galatasaray	10	8	3	1	4	9	11	-2
21 Monaco	10	8	2	4	2	8	14	-6
22 Qarabag	10	8	3	1	4	13	21	-8
23 Bodo Glimt	9	8	2	3	3	14	15	-1
24 Benfica	9	8	3	0	5	10	12	-2
25 Marseille	9	8	3	0	5	11	14	-3
26 AEP Paphos	9	8	2	3	3	8	11	-3
27 Saint Gilloise	9	8	3	0	5	8	17	-9
28 PSV Eindhoven	8	8	2	2	4	16	16	0
29 Athletic Bilbao	8	8	2	2	4	9	14	-5
30 Napoli	8	8	2	2	4	9	15	-6
31 FC Copenhagen	8	8	2	2	4	12	21	-9
32 AFC Ajax	6	8	2	0	6	8	21	-13
33 Eintracht Frankfurt	4	8	1	1	6	10	21	-11
34 Slavia Praha	3	8	0	3	5	5	19	-14
35 Villarreal	1	8	0	1	7	5	18	-13
36 FC Kairat Almaty	1	8	0	1	7	7	22	-15

Head To Head

28/06/2025 20:00

Benfica

1 - 1

Chelsea

FCWC

15/05/2013 18:45

Benfica

1 - 2

Chelsea

UEFA EL

04/04/2012 18:45

Chelsea

2 - 1

Benfica

UEFA CL

27/03/2012 18:45

Benfica

0 - 1

Chelsea

UEFA CL

17/07/2005 19:00

Benfica

0 - 1

Chelsea

INT CF

Chelsea

80%

Draw

20%

Benfica

Chelsea Last 6 matches

27/09/2025 14:00

Chelsea 1 - 3 Brighton Hove Albion ENG PR

23/09/2025 18:45

Lincoln City 1 - 2 Chelsea ENG LC

20/09/2025 16:30

Manchester United 2 - 1 Chelsea ENG PR

17/09/2025 19:00

Bayern Munchen 3 - 1 Chelsea UEFA CL

13/09/2025 19:00

Brentford 2 - 2 Chelsea ENG PR

30/08/2025 11:30

Chelsea 2 - 0 Fulham ENG PR

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Benfica

26/09/2025 19:15

Benfica 2 - 1 Gil Vicente POR D1

23/09/2025 19:15

Benfica 1 - 1 Rio Ave POR D1

20/09/2025 17:00

AVS Futebol SAD 0 - 3 Benfica POR D1

16/09/2025 19:00

Benfica 2 - 3 Qarabag UEFA CL

12/09/2025 19:15

Benfica 1 - 1 Santa Clara POR D1

31/08/2025 17:00

Alverca 1 - 2 Benfica POR D1

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Champions League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

293

Avg. per game

0.98

Conceded

204

Avg. per game

0.68

Scored

342

Avg. per game

1.14

Conceded

152

Avg. per game

0.51

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

179 (60%)121 (40%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

204 (68%)96 (32%)

Chelsea

Recent matches

Benfica

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

/Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Chelsea

Benfica

Shots

Chelsea

Total shots

14.77 avg / game

Blocked

1062 total

Avg. 4.15

Benfica

Total shots

15.18 avg / game

Blocked

928 total

Avg. 4.14

Chelsea Pass Benfica

Total passes

157315

Avg. 566 / game

Accurate

87%

Ball possession

59%

Total passes

127833

Avg. 505 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

57%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Chelsea

300

Played games

Benfica

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.31

Clean sheets

127

0.42

5.74

1723

Corners

1974

6.58

15.23

4568

Throw-ins

4633

15.44

1.76

528

Offsides

549

1.83

2.68

805

GK saves

682

2.27

Chelsea

DISCIPLINARY

Benfica

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.08

625

567

1.89

0.07

0.07

10.99

3298

Fouls

3214

10.71

13.60

4080

Tackles

4192

13.97

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Chelsea vs Benfica Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Chelsea vs Benfica on 30 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Champions League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Chelsea vs Benfica Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Chelsea's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Benfica's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Champions League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Champions League standings and the UEFA Champions League form table to understand exactly where Chelsea and Benfica sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Champions League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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