Chelsea vs Benfica: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 30 September

Chelsea

L W L L D

6th place in Group A

1-0

30/09/2025 15:00

Benfica

W D W L D

24th place in Group A

UEFA Champions League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Chelsea vs Benfica on 30 September 2025 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Chelsea vs Benfica preview before placing your bet.

Chelsea will face Benfica in UEFA Champions League on September 30, 2025 at 15:00.
Chelsea are currently 6th with 16 points after 8 matches.
Benfica sit 24th with 9 points from 8 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 1.52.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2025-09-30

Chelsea vs Benfica - Prediction & Odds

Chelsea

Benfica

2025-09-30 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 30/09/2025

Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Arsenal	24	8	8	0	0	23	4	19
02 Bayern Munchen	21	8	7	0	1	22	8	14
03 Liverpool	18	8	6	0	2	20	8	12
04 Tottenham Hotspur	17	8	5	2	1	17	7	10
05 FC Barcelona	16	8	5	1	2	22	14	8
06 Chelsea	16	8	5	1	2	17	10	7
07 Sporting CP	16	8	5	1	2	17	11	6
08 Manchester City	16	8	5	1	2	15	9	6
09 Real Madrid	15	8	5	0	3	21	12	9
10 Inter Milan	15	8	5	0	3	15	7	8
11 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)	14	8	4	2	2	21	11	10
12 Newcastle United	14	8	4	2	2	17	7	10
13 Juventus	13	8	3	4	1	14	10	4
14 Atletico Madrid	13	8	4	1	3	17	15	2
15 Atalanta	13	8	4	1	3	10	10	0
16 Bayer Leverkusen	12	8	3	3	2	13	14	-1
17 Borussia Dortmund	11	8	3	2	3	19	17	2
18 Olympiakos Piraeus	11	8	3	2	3	10	14	-4
19 Club Brugge	10	8	3	1	4	15	17	-2
20 Galatasaray	10	8	3	1	4	9	11	-2
21 Monaco	10	8	2	4	2	8	14	-6
22 Qarabag	10	8	3	1	4	13	21	-8
23 Bodo Glimt	9	8	2	3	3	14	15	-1
24 Benfica	9	8	3	0	5	10	12	-2
25 Marseille	9	8	3	0	5	11	14	-3
26 AEP Paphos	9	8	2	3	3	8	11	-3
27 Saint Gilloise	9	8	3	0	5	8	17	-9
28 PSV Eindhoven	8	8	2	2	4	16	16	0
29 Athletic Bilbao	8	8	2	2	4	9	14	-5
30 Napoli	8	8	2	2	4	9	15	-6
31 FC Copenhagen	8	8	2	2	4	12	21	-9
32 AFC Ajax	6	8	2	0	6	8	21	-13
33 Eintracht Frankfurt	4	8	1	1	6	10	21	-11
34 Slavia Praha	3	8	0	3	5	5	19	-14
35 Villarreal	1	8	0	1	7	5	18	-13
36 FC Kairat Almaty	1	8	0	1	7	7	22	-15

Head To Head

28/06/2025 16:00

Benfica

1 - 1

Chelsea

FCWC

15/05/2013 14:45

Benfica

1 - 2

Chelsea

UEFA EL

04/04/2012 14:45

Chelsea

2 - 1

Benfica

UEFA CL

27/03/2012 14:45

Benfica

0 - 1

Chelsea

UEFA CL

17/07/2005 15:00

Benfica

0 - 1

Chelsea

INT CF

Benfica

20%

Draw

20%

Chelsea

60%

Chelsea Last 6 matches

27/09/2025 10:00

Chelsea 1 - 3 Brighton Hove Albion

ENG PR

23/09/2025 14:45

Lincoln City 1 - 2 Chelsea

ENG LC

20/09/2025 12:30

Manchester United 2 - 1 Chelsea

ENG PR

17/09/2025 15:00

Bayern Munchen 3 - 1 Chelsea

UEFA CL

13/09/2025 15:00

Brentford 2 - 2 Chelsea

ENG PR

30/08/2025 07:30

Chelsea 2 - 0 Fulham

ENG PR

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Benfica

26/09/2025 15:15

Benfica 2 - 1 Gil Vicente

POR D1

23/09/2025 15:15

Benfica 1 - 1 Rio Ave

POR D1

20/09/2025 13:00

AVS Futebol SAD 0 - 3 Benfica

POR D1

16/09/2025 15:00

Benfica 2 - 3 Qarabag

UEFA CL

12/09/2025 15:15

Benfica 1 - 1 Santa Clara

POR D1

31/08/2025 13:00

Alverca 1 - 2 Benfica

POR D1

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Champions League

Played games

Chelsea

Benfica

Goals

Scored

107

Avg. per game

1.84

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.41

Scored

100

Avg. per game

1.85

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.81

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 58 matches

YesNo

49 (84%)9 (16%)

In last 58 matches

NoYes

45 (83%)9 (17%)

Chelsea

Recent matches

Benfica

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

/Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Chelsea

Benfica

Shots

Chelsea

Total shots

13.93 avg / game

Blocked

247 total

Avg. 4.26

Benfica

Total shots

16.02 avg / game

Blocked

238 total

Avg. 4.76

Chelsea Pass Benfica

Total passes

31625

Avg. 545 / game

Accurate

87%

Ball possession

58%

Total passes

24866

Avg. 469 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

55%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Chelsea

Played games

Benfica

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.26

Clean sheets

0.44

5.83

338

Corners

349

6.46

15.38

892

Throw-ins

1018

18.85

1.71

Offsides

1.43

2.50

145

GK saves

135

2.50

Chelsea

DISCIPLINARY

Benfica

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.45

142

105

1.94

0.17

0.11

11.07

642

Fouls

585

10.83

8.50

493

Tackles

535

9.91

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Chelsea vs Benfica Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Chelsea vs Benfica on 30 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Champions League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Chelsea vs Benfica Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Chelsea's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Benfica's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Champions League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Champions League standings and the UEFA Champions League form table to understand exactly where Chelsea and Benfica sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Champions League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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