Chelsea vs Aston Villa: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 26 January

Chelsea

W W L W W

No standing data

0-0

26/01/2024 15:45

Aston Villa

D W W L D

No standing data

England FA Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Chelsea vs Aston Villa on 26 January 2024 (kick-off: 15:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Chelsea vs Aston Villa preview before placing your bet.

Our algorithm prediction: Chelsea to win with probability 45%.
Head-to-head history favors Aston Villa, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Chelsea have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:45

2024-01-26

Chelsea vs Aston Villa - Prediction & Odds

Chelsea

Aston Villa

2024-01-26 15:45

STANDINGS UP TO 26/01/2024

The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Chelsea and Aston Villa in the England FA Cup football standings for the 2023-2024 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.

Head To Head

24/09/2023 09:00

Chelsea

0 - 1

Aston Villa

ENG PR

01/04/2023 12:30

Chelsea

0 - 2

Aston Villa

ENG PR

11/12/2022 10:10

Aston Villa

1 - 0

Chelsea

INT CF

16/10/2022 09:00

Aston Villa

0 - 2

Chelsea

ENG PR

26/12/2021 13:30

Aston Villa

1 - 3

Chelsea

ENG PR

22/09/2021 14:45

Chelsea

1 - 1

Aston Villa

ENG LC

Chelsea

33%

Draw

17%

Aston Villa

50%

Chelsea Last 6 matches

23/01/2024 16:00

Chelsea 6 - 1 Middlesbrough ENG LC

13/01/2024 08:30

Chelsea 1 - 0 Fulham ENG PR

09/01/2024 16:00

Middlesbrough 1 - 0 Chelsea ENG LC

06/01/2024 13:30

Chelsea 4 - 0 Preston North End ENG FAC

30/12/2023 08:30

Luton Town 2 - 3 Chelsea ENG PR

27/12/2023 15:30

Chelsea 2 - 1 Crystal Palace ENG PR

Win

83%

Draw

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Aston Villa

14/01/2024 10:00

Everton 0 - 0 Aston Villa ENG PR

06/01/2024 13:30

Middlesbrough 0 - 1 Aston Villa ENG FAC

30/12/2023 11:00

Aston Villa 3 - 2 Burnley ENG PR

26/12/2023 16:00

Manchester United 3 - 2 Aston Villa ENG PR

22/12/2023 16:00

Aston Villa 1 - 1 Sheffield United ENG PR

17/12/2023 10:00

Brentford 1 - 2 Aston Villa ENG PR

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England FA Cup

Played games

Goals

Scored

543

Avg. per game

1.81

Conceded

362

Avg. per game

1.21

Scored

499

Avg. per game

1.66

Conceded

392

Avg. per game

1.31

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

243 (81%)57 (19%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

245 (82%)55 (18%)

Chelsea

Recent matches

Aston Villa

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

/Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Chelsea

Aston Villa

Shots

Chelsea

Total shots

14.78 avg / game

Blocked

1068 total

Avg. 4.17

Aston Villa

Total shots

12.12 avg / game

Blocked

833 total

Avg. 3.36

Chelsea Pass Aston Villa

Total passes

157357

Avg. 566 / game

Accurate

87%

Ball possession

59%

Total passes

114242

Avg. 436 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Chelsea

300

Played games

Aston Villa

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.31

Clean sheets

0.29

5.77

1731

Corners

1561

5.20

15.24

4571

Throw-ins

3972

13.24

1.77

530

Offsides

369

1.23

2.70

810

GK saves

793

2.64

Chelsea

DISCIPLINARY

Aston Villa

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.09

628

544

1.81

0.07

0.06

11.02

3307

Fouls

2895

9.65

13.64

4091

Tackles

3610

12.03

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Indonesia Super League All Star

Aston Villa

INT

08/12

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

How We Build the Chelsea vs Aston Villa Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Chelsea vs Aston Villa on 26 January 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England FA Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Chelsea vs Aston Villa Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Chelsea's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Aston Villa's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England FA Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England FA Cup standings and the England FA Cup form table to understand exactly where Chelsea and Aston Villa sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England FA Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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