Chelsea vs Arsenal: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 21 October

Chelsea
DWWWW
6th place in English Premier League
2
2-2
FT
21/10/2023 12:30
Arsenal
WWWWW
2nd place in English Premier League
English Premier League
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Chelsea vs Arsenal on 21 October 2023 (kick-off: 12:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Chelsea vs Arsenal preview before placing your bet.

  • Chelsea will face Arsenal in English Premier League on October 21, 2023 at 12:30.
  • Chelsea are currently 6th with 63 points after 38 matches.
  • Arsenal sit 2nd with 89 points from 38 matches.
  • Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 2.05.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
12:30

2023-10-21

Chelsea vs Arsenal - Prediction & Odds

Chelsea
Chelsea
Arsenal
Arsenal
2023-10-21 12:30
29
27
44
2
1 - 1
1 - 1
2.50
2.05
FT
2-2 1-0
-
weather
12℃～13℃
STANDINGS UP TO 21/10/2023
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Manchester City Manchester City
91 38 28 7 3 96 34 62
02 Arsenal Arsenal
89 38 28 5 5 91 29 62
03 Liverpool Liverpool
82 38 24 10 4 86 41 45
04 Aston Villa Aston Villa
68 38 20 8 10 76 61 15
05 Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur
66 38 20 6 12 74 61 13
06 Chelsea Chelsea
63 38 18 9 11 77 63 14
07 Newcastle United Newcastle United
60 38 18 6 14 85 62 23
08 Manchester United Manchester United
60 38 18 6 14 57 58 -1
09 West Ham United West Ham United
52 38 14 10 14 60 74 -14
10 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
49 38 13 10 15 57 58 -1
11 Brighton Hove Albion Brighton Hove Albion
48 38 12 12 14 55 62 -7
12 AFC Bournemouth AFC Bournemouth
48 38 13 9 16 54 67 -13
13 Fulham Fulham
47 38 13 8 17 55 61 -6
14 Wolves Wolves
46 38 13 7 18 50 65 -15
15 Everton Everton
40 38 13 9 16 40 51 -11
16 Brentford Brentford
39 38 10 9 19 56 65 -9
17 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
32 38 9 9 20 49 67 -18
18 Luton Town Luton Town
26 38 6 8 24 52 85 -33
19 Burnley Burnley
24 38 5 9 24 41 78 -37
20 Sheffield United Sheffield United
16 38 3 7 28 35 104 -69
Head To Head
02/05/2023 15:00
Arsenal Arsenal
3 - 1
Chelsea Chelsea
ENG PR
06/11/2022 08:00
Chelsea Chelsea
0 - 1
Arsenal Arsenal
ENG PR
23/07/2022 20:00
Arsenal Arsenal
4 - 0
Chelsea Chelsea
Florida Cup
20/04/2022 14:45
Chelsea Chelsea
2 - 4
Arsenal Arsenal
ENG PR
22/08/2021 11:30
Arsenal Arsenal
0 - 2
Chelsea Chelsea
ENG PR
01/08/2021 10:00
Arsenal Arsenal
1 - 2
Chelsea Chelsea
INT CF
Arsenal
2
33%
Draw
0
0%
Chelsea
4
67%
Chelsea Chelsea Last 6 matches
07/10/2023 10:00
Burnley 1 - 4 Chelsea
ENG PR
02/10/2023 15:00
Fulham 0 - 2 Chelsea
ENG PR
27/09/2023 14:45
Chelsea 1 - 0 Brighton Hove Albion
ENG LC
24/09/2023 09:00
Chelsea 0 - 1 Aston Villa
ENG PR
17/09/2023 09:00
AFC Bournemouth 0 - 0 Chelsea
ENG PR
02/09/2023 10:00
Chelsea 0 - 1 Nottingham Forest
ENG PR
Win
50%
Draw
17%
Lost
33%
Last 6 matches Arsenal Arsenal
08/10/2023 11:30
Arsenal 1 - 0 Manchester City
ENG PR
03/10/2023 15:00
Lens 2 - 1 Arsenal
UEFA CL
30/09/2023 10:00
AFC Bournemouth 0 - 4 Arsenal
ENG PR
27/09/2023 14:45
Brentford 0 - 1 Arsenal
ENG LC
24/09/2023 09:00
Arsenal 2 - 2 Tottenham Hotspur
ENG PR
20/09/2023 15:00
Arsenal 4 - 0 PSV Eindhoven
UEFA CL
Win
67%
Draw
17%
Lost
17%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues English Premier League
Played games
Chelsea
Chelsea
51
 Arsenal
Arsenal
51
Goals
Scored
103
Avg. per game
2.02
Conceded
73
Avg. per game
1.43
Scored
112
Avg. per game
2.20
Conceded
42
Avg. per game
0.82
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
6 (100%)0 (0%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
6 (100%)0 (0%)
In last 51 matches
YesNo
41 (80%)10 (20%)
In last 51 matches
NoYes
43 (84%)8 (16%)
Chelsea

Chelsea

Recent matches

Arsenal

Arsenal

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

/Yes

(62%)28 17(38%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(40%)18 27(60%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Chelsea Chelsea
Arsenal Arsenal
Shots
Chelsea
Chelsea
Total shots
14.96 avg / game
Blocked
190 total
Avg. 3.80
Arsenal
Arsenal
Total shots
16.08 avg / game
Blocked
253 total
Avg. 5.16
Chelsea Chelsea Pass Arsenal Arsenal
Total passes
29575
Avg. 580 / game
Accurate
87%
Ball possession
59%
Total passes
27979
Avg. 549 / game
Accurate
86%
Ball possession
58%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Chelsea
Chelsea
5433
Avg. 106.53 / game
 Arsenal
Arsenal
5782
Avg. 113.37 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Chelsea
Chelsea
2786
Avg. 54.63 / game
 Arsenal
Arsenal
3514
Avg. 68.90 / game
OTHERS
Chelsea
Chelsea
51
Played games
Arsenal
Arsenal
51
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.25
13
Clean sheets
23
0.45
5.71
291
Corners
327
6.41
16.22
827
Throw-ins
820
16.08
2.16
110
Offsides
103
2.02
3.08
157
GK saves
83
1.63
Chelsea
Chelsea
DISCIPLINARY
Arsenal
Arsenal
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
2.51
128
Yellow card
81
1.59
0.08
4
Red card
2
0.04
11.16
569
Fouls
553
10.84
17.73
904
Tackles
797
15.63
NEXT MATCHES
08/24
Fulham Fulham
VS
Chelsea Chelsea
ENG
08/30
Chelsea Chelsea
VS
Brighton Hove Albion Brighton Hove Albion
ENG
09/06
Arsenal Arsenal
VS
Chelsea Chelsea
ENG
09/12
Chelsea Chelsea
VS
Hull City Hull City
ENG
09/18
Brentford Brentford
VS
Chelsea Chelsea
ENG
NEXT MATCHES
08/01
Girona Girona
VS
Arsenal Arsenal
INT
08/05
Arsenal Arsenal
VS
Real Betis Real Betis
INT
08/09
Arsenal Arsenal
VS
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
EMI
08/16
Arsenal Arsenal
VS
Manchester City Manchester City
ENG
08/21
Arsenal Arsenal
VS
Coventry City Coventry City
ENG

How We Build the Chelsea vs Arsenal Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Chelsea vs Arsenal on 21 October 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Chelsea vs Arsenal Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Chelsea's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Arsenal's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Chelsea and Arsenal sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More English Premier League Predictions

Find every upcoming English Premier League fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less