Chateauroux vs Caen: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 26 September

Chateauroux
DLLLW
16th place in France Ligue 3
2
2-1
FT
26/09/2025 13:30
Caen
DDWWW
8th place in France Ligue 3
France Ligue 3
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Chateauroux vs Caen on 26 September 2025 (kick-off: 13:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Chateauroux vs Caen preview before placing your bet.

  • Chateauroux will face Caen in France Ligue 3 on September 26, 2025 at 13:30.
  • Chateauroux are currently 16th with 30 points after 31 matches.
  • Caen sit 8th with 40 points from 31 matches.
  • Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 2.08.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
13:30

2025-09-26

Chateauroux vs Caen - Prediction & Odds

Chateauroux
Chateauroux
Caen
Caen
2025-09-26 13:30
29
28
43
2
1 - 1
1 - 1
2.25
2.08
FT
2-1 0-1
-
weather
13°C
STANDINGS UP TO 26/09/2025
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Dijon Dijon
62 31 17 11 3 49 23 26
02 Sochaux Sochaux
57 31 16 9 6 47 24 23
03 Fleury Merogis U.S. Fleury Merogis U.S.
54 31 15 9 7 46 28 18
04 FC Rouen FC Rouen
52 31 13 13 5 41 28 13
05 Versailles 78 Versailles 78
52 31 15 7 9 44 32 12
06 Orleans US 45 Orleans US 45
51 31 14 9 8 40 39 1
07 Le Puy Foot 43 Auvergne Le Puy Foot 43 Auvergne
46 31 12 10 9 43 36 7
08 Caen Caen
40 31 8 16 7 38 31 7
09 Concarneau Concarneau
37 31 8 13 10 30 35 -5
10 Valenciennes Valenciennes
37 31 10 7 14 33 40 -7
11 Villefranche Villefranche
36 31 10 6 15 32 43 -11
12 Aubagne Aubagne
34 31 8 10 13 35 45 -10
13 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico
32 31 7 11 13 26 40 -14
14 Bourg Peronnas Bourg Peronnas
31 32 8 7 17 25 44 -19
15 Quevilly Quevilly
30 31 7 9 15 33 45 -12
16 Chateauroux Chateauroux
30 31 6 12 13 33 47 -14
17 Stade Briochin Stade Briochin
26 31 5 11 15 33 48 -15
18 Ajaccio Ajaccio
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Head To Head
20/03/2021 15:00
Chateauroux Chateauroux
2 - 2
Caen Caen
FRA D2
28/11/2020 14:00
Caen Caen
1 - 1
Chateauroux Chateauroux
FRA D2
06/03/2020 15:00
Chateauroux Chateauroux
2 - 1
Caen Caen
FRA D2
04/10/2019 14:00
Caen Caen
1 - 1
Chateauroux Chateauroux
FRA D2
21/03/2014 15:00
Caen Caen
1 - 1
Chateauroux Chateauroux
FRA D2
18/10/2013 14:00
Chateauroux Chateauroux
0 - 2
Caen Caen
FRA D2
Chateauroux
1
17%
Draw
4
67%
Caen
1
17%
Chateauroux Chateauroux Last 6 matches
19/09/2025 13:30
Paris 13 Atletico 1 - 1 Chateauroux
FRA D3
12/09/2025 13:30
Chateauroux 2 - 2 Stade Briochin
FRA D3
06/09/2025 12:00
FC Rouen 1 - 2 Chateauroux
FRA D3
29/08/2025 13:30
Chateauroux 0 - 1 Orleans US 45
FRA D3
22/08/2025 13:30
Le Puy Foot 43 Auvergne 2 - 2 Chateauroux
FRA D3
15/08/2025 13:30
Chateauroux 2 - 2 Bourg Peronnas
FRA D3
Win
17%
Draw
67%
Lost
17%
Last 6 matches Caen Caen
19/09/2025 13:30
Caen 0 - 0 Valenciennes
FRA D3
12/09/2025 13:30
Sochaux 1 - 1 Caen
FRA D3
05/09/2025 12:30
Caen 0 - 0 Dijon
FRA D3
29/08/2025 13:30
Fleury Merogis U.S. 1 - 2 Caen
FRA D3
22/08/2025 13:30
Caen 0 - 2 Versailles 78
FRA D3
15/08/2025 13:30
Quevilly 1 - 1 Caen
FRA D3
Win
17%
Draw
67%
Lost
17%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues France Ligue 3

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Chateauroux
Chateauroux
31
 Caen
Caen
31
Goals
Scored
16
Avg. per game
0.52
Conceded
26
Avg. per game
0.84
Scored
21
Avg. per game
0.68
Conceded
19
Avg. per game
0.61
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
2 (33%)4 (67%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
4 (67%)2 (33%)
In last 31 matches
YesNo
10 (32%)21 (68%)
In last 31 matches
NoYes
18 (58%)13 (42%)
Chateauroux

Chateauroux

Recent matches

Caen

Caen

Under /Over

(74%)23 8(26%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(74%)23 8(26%)

Under /Over

(32%)10 21(68%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(16%)5 26(84%)

Under /Over

(42%)13 18(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)13 18(58%)

/Yes

(55%)17 14(45%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(55%)17 14(45%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Chateauroux Chateauroux
Caen Caen
Shots
Chateauroux
Chateauroux
Total shots
9.06 avg / game
Blocked
2 total
Avg. 2.00
Caen
Caen
Total shots
9.48 avg / game
Blocked
5 total
Avg. 2.50
Chateauroux Chateauroux Pass Caen Caen
Total passes
718
Avg. 103 / game
Accurate
91%
Ball possession
51%
Total passes
727
Avg. 121 / game
Accurate
86%
Ball possession
54%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Chateauroux
Chateauroux
2619
Avg. 84.48 / game
 Caen
Caen
3193
Avg. 103.00 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Chateauroux
Chateauroux
1450
Avg. 46.77 / game
 Caen
Caen
1697
Avg. 54.74 / game
OTHERS
Chateauroux
Chateauroux
31
Played games
Caen
Caen
31
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.16
5
Clean sheets
12
0.39
4.29
133
Corners
140
4.52
0.00
0
Throw-ins
0
0.00
0.29
9
Offsides
8
0.26
0.19
6
GK saves
6
0.19
Chateauroux
Chateauroux
DISCIPLINARY
Caen
Caen
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
2.42
75
Yellow card
68
2.19
0.29
9
Red card
6
0.19
0.81
25
Fouls
37
1.19
1.23
38
Tackles
32
1.03
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How We Build the Chateauroux vs Caen Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Chateauroux vs Caen on 26 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this France Ligue 3 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Chateauroux vs Caen Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Chateauroux's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Caen's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

France Ligue 3 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live France Ligue 3 standings and the France Ligue 3 form table to understand exactly where Chateauroux and Caen sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our France Ligue 3 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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