Chapada vs Varzea Grande: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 January

Prediction Match Centre

Chapada

WDLLW

7th place in Brazil Mato-grossense Division 1

3-1

Chapada
Win Probability 47%

17/01/2026 15:00

Varzea Grande

DDLLL

10th place in Brazil Mato-grossense Division 1

Brazil Mato-grossense Division 1

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Chapada vs Varzea Grande on 17 January 2026 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Chapada vs Varzea Grande preview before placing your bet.

Chapada will face Varzea Grande in Brazil Mato-grossense Division 1 on January 17, 2026 at 15:00.
Chapada are currently 7th with 11 points after 9 matches.
Varzea Grande sit 10th with 5 points from 9 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 1.91.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2026-01-17

Chapada vs Varzea Grande - Prediction & Odds

Chapada

Varzea Grande

2026-01-17 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 17/01/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Luverdense	17	9	5	2	2	7	3	4
02 Mixto EC	15	9	4	3	2	13	4	9
03 OperArio MT	14	9	4	2	3	9	9	0
04 Sport Sinop	13	9	3	4	2	6	4	2
05 Cuiaba	12	9	3	3	3	8	8	0
06 Nova Mutum EC	12	9	3	3	3	13	15	-2
07 Chapada	11	9	3	2	4	12	13	-1
08 Uniao Rondonopolis MT	10	9	2	4	3	7	7	0
09 EC Primavera MT	10	9	1	7	1	6	9	-3
10 Varzea Grande	5	9	1	2	6	5	14	-9

Chapada Last 6 matches

13/01/2026 16:00

Chapada 0 - 2 Mixto EC

BRA MT

10/01/2026 13:00

EC Primavera MT 0 - 0 Chapada

BRA MT

Win

Draw

50%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Varzea Grande

14/01/2026 13:00

Varzea Grande 0 - 2 Luverdense

BRA MT

10/01/2026 13:00

OperArio MT 2 - 0 Varzea Grande

BRA MT

Win

Draw

Lost

100%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Brazil Mato-grossense...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Chapada

Varzea Grande

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.67

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.56

Scored

Avg. per game

0.00

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.56

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

0 (0%)6 (100%)

In last 9 matches

YesNo

5 (56%)4 (44%)

In last 9 matches

NoYes

0 (0%)9 (100%)

Chapada

Recent matches

Varzea Grande

Under /Over

(78%)7 2(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(67%)6 3(33%)

Under /Over

(33%)3 6(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(11%)1 8(89%)

Under /Over

(44%)4 5(56%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(56%)5 4(44%)

/Yes

(44%)4 5(56%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(44%)4 5(56%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Chapada

Varzea Grande

Shots

Chapada

Total shots

5.25 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Varzea Grande

Total shots

10.71 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Chapada Pass Varzea Grande

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

48%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Chapada

Played games

Varzea Grande

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.22

Clean sheets

0.33

2.00

Corners

4.44

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

1.00

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Chapada

DISCIPLINARY

Varzea Grande

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.89

1.67

0.22

0.00

Fouls

2.89

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Chapada vs Varzea Grande Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Chapada vs Varzea Grande on 17 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Brazil Mato-grossense Division 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Chapada vs Varzea Grande Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Chapada's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Varzea Grande's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Brazil Mato-grossense Division 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Brazil Mato-grossense Division 1 standings and the Brazil Mato-grossense Division 1 form table to understand exactly where Chapada and Varzea Grande sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Brazil Mato-grossense Division 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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