Cerro Largo vs Nacional Montevideo: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 13 October

Cerro Largo

L W D W W

6th place in Autumn

0-1

13/10/2024 19:00

Nacional Montevideo

W W W W D

2nd place in Autumn

Uruguay Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Cerro Largo vs Nacional Montevideo on 13 October 2024 (kick-off: 19:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Cerro Largo vs Nacional Montevideo preview before placing your bet.

Cerro Largo are currently 6th with 22 points after 15 matches.
Nacional Montevideo sit 2nd with 36 points from 15 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Nacional Montevideo to win with probability 59%.
Head-to-head history favors Nacional Montevideo, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Cerro Largo have no wins, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

19:00

2024-10-13

Cerro Largo vs Nacional Montevideo - Prediction & Odds

Cerro Largo

Nacional Montevideo

2024-10-13 19:00

STANDINGS UP TO 13/10/2024

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	38	15	12	2	1	32	5	27
02 Nacional Montevideo	36	15	11	3	1	37	11	26
03 Racing Club Montevideo	27	15	7	6	2	16	10	6
04 Boston River	26	15	8	2	5	19	15	4
05 Danubio FC	25	15	6	7	2	14	7	7
06 Cerro Largo	22	15	6	4	5	15	11	4
07 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	20	15	5	5	5	17	17	0
08 Miramar Misiones FC	19	15	4	7	4	11	15	-4
09 Liverpool URU	18	15	4	6	5	15	16	-1
10 CA River Plate	18	15	5	3	7	15	20	-5
11 Wanderers FC	17	15	4	5	6	15	20	-5
12 Rampla Juniors FC	16	15	4	4	7	12	19	-7
13 Centro Atletico Fenix	14	15	4	2	9	14	28	-14
14 Cerro Montevideo	12	15	2	6	7	9	20	-11
15 Deportivo Maldonado	9	15	2	3	10	12	24	-12
16 Club Atletico Progreso	8	15	1	5	9	9	24	-15

Torneo Intermedio Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	14	7	4	2	1	10	5	5
02 Wanderers FC	13	7	4	1	2	11	9	2
03 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	11	7	3	2	2	7	5	2
04 Centro Atletico Fenix	10	7	3	1	3	10	9	1
05 CA River Plate	8	7	2	2	3	8	9	-1
06 Club Atletico Progreso	8	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3
07 Racing Club Montevideo	6	7	1	3	3	8	10	-2
08 Deportivo Maldonado	6	7	1	3	3	5	9	-4

Torneo Intermedio Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Nacional Montevideo	16	7	5	1	1	18	5	13
02 Danubio FC	14	7	4	2	1	11	11	0
03 Cerro Largo	11	7	3	2	2	6	7	-1
04 Cerro Montevideo	10	7	3	1	3	8	5	3
05 Miramar Misiones FC	10	7	3	1	3	7	10	-3
06 Rampla Juniors FC	8	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4
07 Boston River	7	7	2	1	4	6	8	-2
08 Liverpool URU	3	7	1	0	6	4	10	-6

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	41	15	13	2	0	31	7	24
02 Nacional Montevideo	34	15	10	4	1	31	16	15
03 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	28	15	8	4	3	31	17	14
04 Boston River	27	15	8	3	4	21	17	4
05 Club Atletico Progreso	24	15	7	3	5	25	25	0
06 Cerro Largo	21	15	6	3	6	16	16	0
07 Racing Club Montevideo	19	15	5	4	6	22	22	0
08 Liverpool URU	18	15	4	6	5	22	24	-2
09 Wanderers FC	18	15	5	3	7	15	20	-5
10 Cerro Montevideo	17	15	4	5	6	19	25	-6
11 Deportivo Maldonado	15	15	4	3	8	14	19	-5
12 Rampla Juniors FC	15	15	4	3	8	15	27	-12
13 CA River Plate	14	15	3	5	7	20	25	-5
14 Danubio FC	14	15	3	5	7	13	19	-6
15 Centro Atletico Fenix	13	15	3	4	8	11	17	-6
16 Miramar Misiones FC	11	15	2	5	8	18	28	-10

Head To Head

23/06/2024 18:00

Cerro Largo

0 - 4

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

06/04/2024 21:00

Nacional Montevideo

1 - 0

Cerro Largo

URU D1

26/08/2023 21:00

Cerro Largo

2 - 2

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

22/07/2023 22:30

Nacional Montevideo

1 - 0

Cerro Largo

URU D1

10/02/2023 23:00

Nacional Montevideo

0 - 0

Cerro Largo

URU D1

25/09/2022 21:00

Nacional Montevideo

1 - 1

Cerro Largo

URU D1

Cerro Largo

Draw

50%

Nacional Montevideo

50%

Cerro Largo Last 6 matches

05/10/2024 16:30

Racing Club Montevideo 0 - 0 Cerro Largo URU D1

28/09/2024 18:00

Cerro Largo 3 - 1 Cerro Montevideo URU D1

21/09/2024 16:30

Rampla Juniors FC 2 - 0 Cerro Largo URU D1

18/09/2024 23:00

Melo Wanderers 3 - 0 Cerro Largo U Cup

14/09/2024 16:30

Cerro Largo 1 - 2 Miramar Misiones FC URU D1

08/09/2024 15:30

Centro Atletico Fenix 1 - 0 Cerro Largo URU D1

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Nacional Montevideo

29/09/2024 23:00

Club Atletico Progreso 0 - 3 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

25/09/2024 23:00

Frontera Rivera Renegades 1 - 5 Nacional Montevideo U Cup

21/09/2024 22:00

Nacional Montevideo 1 - 1 Defensor Sporting Montevideo URU D1

15/09/2024 22:30

Wanderers FC 0 - 2 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

08/09/2024 21:00

Nacional Montevideo 1 - 0 Liverpool URU URU D1

22/08/2024 22:00

Sao Paulo 2 - 0 Nacional Montevideo CON CLA

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uruguay Primera Divisi...

Played games

Goals

Scored

252

Avg. per game

0.99

Conceded

284

Avg. per game

1.12

Scored

499

Avg. per game

1.66

Conceded

292

Avg. per game

0.97

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 254 matches

YesNo

158 (62%)96 (38%)

In last 254 matches

NoYes

235 (78%)65 (22%)

Cerro Largo

Recent matches

Nacional Montevideo

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

Under /Over

(18%)8 37(82%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

/Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Cerro Largo

Nacional Montevideo

Shots

Cerro Largo

Total shots

7.94 avg / game

Blocked

17 total

Avg. 2.83

Nacional Montevideo

Total shots

8.96 avg / game

Blocked

76 total

Avg. 2.92

Cerro Largo Pass Nacional Montevideo

Total passes

3288

Avg. 274 / game

Accurate

65%

Ball possession

48%

Total passes

15669

Avg. 348 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Cerro Largo

254

Played games

Nacional Montevideo

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.35

Clean sheets

119

0.40

3.99

1014

Corners

1351

4.50

0.72

184

Throw-ins

312

1.04

0.09

Offsides

0.26

1.81

459

GK saves

447

1.49

Cerro Largo

DISCIPLINARY

Nacional Montevideo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.54

644

704

2.35

0.13

0.14

0.85

217

Fouls

636

2.12

0.76

194

Tackles

727

2.42

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Club Atletico Progreso

URU

How We Build the Cerro Largo vs Nacional Montevideo Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Cerro Largo vs Nacional Montevideo on 13 October 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Cerro Largo vs Nacional Montevideo Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Cerro Largo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Nacional Montevideo's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Primera Division standings and the Uruguay Primera Division form table to understand exactly where Cerro Largo and Nacional Montevideo sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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