Cerro Largo vs CA Penarol: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 27 September

Cerro Largo

L L W D W

8th place in Apertura

1-3

27/09/2025 17:00

CA Penarol

W W W W W

4th place in Apertura

Uruguay Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Cerro Largo vs CA Penarol on 27 September 2025 (kick-off: 17:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Cerro Largo vs CA Penarol preview before placing your bet.

Cerro Largo will face CA Penarol in Uruguay Primera Division on September 27, 2025 at 17:00.
Cerro Largo are currently 8th with 21 points after 15 matches.
CA Penarol sit 4th with 27 points from 15 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 1.59.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

17:00

2025-09-27

Cerro Largo vs CA Penarol - Prediction & Odds

Cerro Largo

CA Penarol

2025-09-27 17:00

STANDINGS UP TO 27/09/2025

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Liverpool URU	32	15	9	5	1	22	9	13
02 Nacional Montevideo	31	15	9	4	2	35	16	19
03 CA Juventud	30	15	9	3	3	23	15	8
04 CA Penarol	27	15	8	3	4	21	17	4
05 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	24	15	7	3	5	17	12	5
06 Racing Club Montevideo	23	15	6	5	4	14	10	4
07 Boston River	22	15	6	4	5	16	17	-1
08 Cerro Largo	21	15	5	6	4	15	16	-1
09 Plaza Colonia	19	15	5	4	6	13	13	0
10 Montevideo City Torque	17	15	4	5	6	16	22	-6
11 Club Atletico Progreso	15	15	3	6	6	17	27	-10
12 Cerro Montevideo	14	15	3	6	6	13	20	-7
13 Danubio FC	12	15	1	9	5	12	17	-5
14 Wanderers FC	12	15	2	6	7	12	17	-5
15 Miramar Misiones FC	12	15	3	3	9	16	24	-8
16 CA River Plate	10	15	2	4	9	10	20	-10

Clausura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	35	15	11	2	2	30	12	18
02 Nacional Montevideo	27	15	8	6	1	25	11	14
03 Montevideo City Torque	27	15	8	3	4	28	17	11
04 Boston River	26	15	6	8	1	26	10	16
05 Cerro Largo	25	15	7	4	4	19	14	5
06 Liverpool URU	25	15	7	4	4	19	16	3
07 Cerro Montevideo	24	15	7	3	5	13	13	0
08 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	23	15	7	2	6	13	16	-3
09 Danubio FC	21	15	6	3	6	18	13	5
10 Club Atletico Progreso	18	15	5	3	7	17	23	-6
11 Racing Club Montevideo	17	15	4	5	6	14	22	-8
12 CA Juventud	16	15	4	4	7	8	13	-5
13 CA River Plate	14	15	3	5	7	12	18	-6
14 Miramar Misiones FC	13	15	3	4	8	17	26	-9
15 Plaza Colonia	8	15	2	2	11	9	26	-17
16 Wanderers FC	7	15	1	4	10	7	25	-18

Torneo Intermedio Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	16	7	5	1	1	15	5	10
02 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	14	7	4	2	1	12	10	2
03 Wanderers FC	12	7	3	3	1	6	5	1
04 Plaza Colonia	8	7	1	5	1	6	7	-1
05 Liverpool URU	8	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2
06 Cerro Montevideo	8	7	2	2	3	7	9	-2
07 CA River Plate	5	7	1	2	4	6	10	-4
08 Cerro Largo	3	7	0	3	4	7	11	-4

Torneo Intermedio Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Nacional Montevideo	21	7	7	0	0	16	6	10
02 CA Juventud	15	7	5	0	2	14	11	3
03 Racing Club Montevideo	13	7	4	1	2	11	6	5
04 Danubio FC	10	7	3	1	3	11	11	0
05 Boston River	7	7	2	1	4	8	12	-4
06 Club Atletico Progreso	6	7	2	0	5	4	10	-6
07 Montevideo City Torque	5	7	1	2	4	10	12	-2
08 Miramar Misiones FC	4	7	1	1	5	2	8	-6

Head To Head

01/06/2025 16:30

Cerro Largo

1 - 1

CA Penarol

URU D1

30/03/2025 19:30

CA Penarol

0 - 2

Cerro Largo

URU D1

17/08/2024 16:00

CA Penarol

0 - 0

Cerro Largo

URU D1

18/02/2024 19:00

Cerro Largo

1 - 2

CA Penarol

URU D1

14/11/2023 20:30

CA Penarol

1 - 1

Cerro Largo

URU D1

09/04/2023 17:00

Cerro Largo

0 - 0

CA Penarol

URU D1

Cerro Largo

Draw

67%

CA Penarol

33%

Cerro Largo Last 6 matches

20/09/2025 12:00

Montevideo City Torque 1 - 0 Cerro Largo

URU D1

13/09/2025 17:00

Cerro Largo 1 - 0 Defensor Sporting Montevideo

URU D1

10/09/2025 18:00

Cerro Largo 0 - 1 Tacuarembo

U Cup

07/09/2025 10:00

Cerro Montevideo 0 - 1 Cerro Largo

URU D1

01/09/2025 18:00

Cerro Largo 0 - 1 Wanderers FC

URU D1

23/08/2025 19:30

Miramar Misiones FC 1 - 1 Cerro Largo

URU D1

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches CA Penarol

13/09/2025 14:30

Liverpool URU 2 - 2 CA Penarol

URU D1

10/09/2025 19:30

CA Penarol 2 - 1 Liverpool URU

U Cup

06/09/2025 17:00

CA Penarol 1 - 0 Plaza Colonia

URU D1

31/08/2025 17:00

Racing Club Montevideo 1 - 4 CA Penarol

URU D1

27/08/2025 19:30

Rio Negro SJ 0 - 3 CA Penarol

U Cup

24/08/2025 17:00

CA Penarol 2 - 0 CA River Plate

URU D1

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uruguay Primera Divisi...

Played games

Cerro Largo

CA Penarol

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.00

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.16

Scored

Avg. per game

1.60

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.90

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 49 matches

YesNo

32 (65%)17 (35%)

In last 49 matches

NoYes

47 (81%)11 (19%)

Cerro Largo

Recent matches

CA Penarol

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(20%)9 36(80%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Cerro Largo

CA Penarol

Shots

Cerro Largo

Total shots

7.43 avg / game

Blocked

7 total

Avg. 2.33

CA Penarol

Total shots

9.64 avg / game

Blocked

11 total

Avg. 2.20

Cerro Largo Pass CA Penarol

Total passes

2197

Avg. 244 / game

Accurate

65%

Ball possession

47%

Total passes

2752

Avg. 344 / game

Accurate

67%

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Cerro Largo

Played games

CA Penarol

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.31

Clean sheets

0.43

3.51

172

Corners

274

4.72

3.76

184

Throw-ins

182

3.14

0.18

Offsides

0.33

1.94

GK saves

1.16

Cerro Largo

DISCIPLINARY

CA Penarol

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.43

119

112

1.93

0.14

0.12

2.14

105

Fouls

116

2.00

2.96

145

Tackles

135

2.33

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Cerro Largo vs CA Penarol Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Cerro Largo vs CA Penarol on 27 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Cerro Largo vs CA Penarol Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Cerro Largo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against CA Penarol's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Primera Division standings and the Uruguay Primera Division form table to understand exactly where Cerro Largo and CA Penarol sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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