Cerezo Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 May

Cerezo Osaka

D D D W W

2nd place in West

6-1

17/05/2026 06:00

Nagoya Grampus

D W W W L

3rd place in West

J-League Division 1

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Cerezo Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus on 17 May 2026 (kick-off: 06:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Cerezo Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus preview before placing your bet.

Cerezo Osaka are currently 2nd with 31 points after 18 matches.
Nagoya Grampus sit 3rd with 31 points from 18 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Cerezo Osaka to win with probability 40%.
Head-to-head history favors Nagoya Grampus, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Cerezo Osaka have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

06:00

2026-05-17

Cerezo Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus - Prediction & Odds

Cerezo Osaka

Nagoya Grampus

2026-05-17 06:00

STANDINGS UP TO 17/05/2026

East	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Kashima Antlers	45	18	13	4	1	29	9	20
02 FC Tokyo	37	18	9	6	3	28	16	12
03 Machida Zelvia	37	18	8	8	2	23	19	4
04 Kawasaki Frontale	28	18	7	4	7	23	27	-4
05 Tokyo Verdy	28	18	7	4	7	19	25	-6
06 Urawa Red Diamonds	25	18	7	4	7	25	18	7
07 Yokohama Marinos	20	18	6	2	10	28	29	-1
08 Kashiwa Reysol	20	18	6	1	11	21	24	-3
09 Mito Hollyhock	18	18	2	8	8	19	35	-16
10 JEF United Ichihara Chiba	12	18	3	3	12	18	31	-13

West	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Vissel Kobe	35	18	9	6	3	27	21	6
02 Cerezo Osaka	31	18	7	6	5	26	19	7
03 Nagoya Grampus	31	18	8	5	5	31	28	3
04 Hiroshima Sanfrecce	30	18	8	4	6	29	21	8
05 Gamba Osaka	28	18	5	8	5	26	22	4
06 Fagiano Okayama	26	18	6	6	6	24	25	-1
07 Shimizu S-Pulse	24	18	4	8	6	19	21	-2
08 Kyoto Sanga	23	18	5	5	8	19	26	-7
09 V-Varen Nagasaki	21	18	6	2	10	20	28	-8
10 Avispa Fukuoka	21	18	3	8	7	17	27	-10

Head To Head

04/04/2026 06:00

Nagoya Grampus

3 - 0

Cerezo Osaka

JPN D1

04/10/2025 04:30

Nagoya Grampus

2 - 1

Cerezo Osaka

JPN D1

08/03/2025 07:00

Cerezo Osaka

1 - 1

Nagoya Grampus

JPN D1

30/06/2024 09:00

Cerezo Osaka

2 - 1

Nagoya Grampus

JPN D1

21/04/2024 06:00

Nagoya Grampus

2 - 1

Cerezo Osaka

JPN D1

26/08/2023 10:30

Cerezo Osaka

3 - 1

Nagoya Grampus

JPN D1

Cerezo Osaka

33%

Draw

17%

Nagoya Grampus

50%

Cerezo Osaka Last 6 matches

09/05/2026 07:00

Cerezo Osaka 3 - 2 V-Varen Nagasaki JPN D1

06/05/2026 04:00

Shimizu S-Pulse 1 - 1 Cerezo Osaka JPN D1

03/05/2026 06:00

Cerezo Osaka 1 - 1 Avispa Fukuoka JPN D1

29/04/2026 05:00

Vissel Kobe 0 - 0 Cerezo Osaka JPN D1

25/04/2026 07:00

Hiroshima Sanfrecce 2 - 1 Cerezo Osaka JPN D1

18/04/2026 07:00

Cerezo Osaka 3 - 0 Kyoto Sanga JPN D1

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Nagoya Grampus

10/05/2026 07:00

Nagoya Grampus 3 - 0 Kyoto Sanga JPN D1

06/05/2026 05:00

Nagoya Grampus 2 - 1 Gamba Osaka JPN D1

03/05/2026 08:00

V-Varen Nagasaki 1 - 2 Nagoya Grampus JPN D1

29/04/2026 06:00

Nagoya Grampus 1 - 1 Fagiano Okayama JPN D1

25/04/2026 05:00

Shimizu S-Pulse 0 - 2 Nagoya Grampus JPN D1

19/04/2026 07:00

Nagoya Grampus 2 - 2 Avispa Fukuoka JPN D1

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues J-League Division 1

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Cerezo Osaka

Nagoya Grampus

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.65

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.80

Scored

Avg. per game

0.90

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.95

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 20 matches

YesNo

7 (35%)13 (65%)

In last 20 matches

NoYes

14 (70%)6 (30%)

Cerezo Osaka

Recent matches

Nagoya Grampus

Under /Over

(75%)15 5(25%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(85%)17 3(15%)

Under /Over

(35%)7 13(65%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(45%)9 11(55%)

Under /Over

(45%)9 11(55%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(60%)12 8(40%)

/Yes

(60%)12 8(40%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(65%)13 7(35%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Cerezo Osaka

Nagoya Grampus

Shots

Cerezo Osaka

Total shots

11.55 avg / game

Blocked

52 total

Avg. 2.74

Nagoya Grampus

Total shots

13.70 avg / game

Blocked

61 total

Avg. 3.21

Cerezo Osaka Pass Nagoya Grampus

Total passes

8690

Avg. 435 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

8656

Avg. 433 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Cerezo Osaka

Played games

Nagoya Grampus

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.30

Clean sheets

0.30

4.65

Corners

4.85

20.35

407

Throw-ins

349

17.45

1.80

Offsides

1.90

2.95

GK saves

3.85

Cerezo Osaka

DISCIPLINARY

Nagoya Grampus

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.55

0.85

0.05

0.05

11.40

228

Fouls

177

8.85

8.70

174

Tackles

163

8.15

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Cerezo Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Cerezo Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus on 17 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this J-League Division 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Cerezo Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Cerezo Osaka's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Nagoya Grampus's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

J-League Division 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live J-League Division 1 standings and the J-League Division 1 form table to understand exactly where Cerezo Osaka and Nagoya Grampus sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our J-League Division 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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