Celaya FC vs Tepatitlan de Morelos: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 23 February

Celaya FC

D D W W L

4th place in Autumn

3-1

23/02/2025 01:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos

L L W L W

8th place in Autumn

Mexico Primera Divison A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Celaya FC vs Tepatitlan de Morelos on 23 February 2025 (kick-off: 01:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Celaya FC vs Tepatitlan de Morelos preview before placing your bet.

Celaya FC are currently 4th with 25 points after 14 matches.
Tepatitlan de Morelos sit 8th with 19 points from 14 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Celaya FC to win with probability 59%.
Head-to-head history favors Celaya FC, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Tepatitlan de Morelos have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

01:00

2025-02-23

Celaya FC vs Tepatitlan de Morelos - Prediction & Odds

Celaya FC

Tepatitlan de Morelos

2025-02-23 01:00

STANDINGS UP TO 23/02/2025

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Leones Negros	29	14	9	2	3	31	18	13
02 CF Atlante	28	14	8	4	2	26	11	15
03 Mineros de Zacatecas	26	14	7	5	2	19	11	8
04 Celaya FC	25	14	7	4	3	23	15	8
05 Tampico Madero	24	14	7	3	4	16	12	4
06 Venados FC	22	14	6	4	4	22	20	2
07 Monarcas Morelia	20	14	6	2	6	18	21	-3
08 Tepatitlan de Morelos	19	14	5	4	5	23	18	5
09 Cancun FC	19	14	5	4	5	18	17	1
10 Club Chivas Tapatio	19	14	6	1	7	18	18	0
11 Correcaminos UAT	18	14	5	3	6	19	24	-5
12 Tlaxcala FC	13	14	2	7	5	21	29	-8
13 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa	12	14	3	3	8	16	24	-8
14 Atletico La Paz	10	14	2	4	8	20	35	-15
15 Alebrijes de Oaxaca	5	14	1	2	11	13	30	-17

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CF Atlante	29	14	8	5	1	31	11	20
02 Club Chivas Tapatio	29	14	8	5	1	32	14	18
03 Leones Negros	28	14	8	4	2	23	15	8
04 Celaya FC	23	14	6	5	3	24	12	12
05 Venados FC	22	14	5	7	2	26	12	14
06 Mineros de Zacatecas	20	14	5	5	4	17	11	6
07 Tepatitlan de Morelos	18	14	4	6	4	21	15	6
08 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa	18	14	5	3	6	23	24	-1
09 Cancun FC	18	14	5	3	6	19	21	-2
10 Tampico Madero	18	14	4	6	4	13	17	-4
11 Monarcas Morelia	16	14	4	4	6	14	22	-8
12 Tlaxcala FC	14	14	4	2	8	14	21	-7
13 Atletico La Paz	12	14	3	3	8	13	34	-21
14 Correcaminos UAT	9	14	2	3	9	19	36	-17
15 Alebrijes de Oaxaca	9	14	2	3	9	11	35	-24

Head To Head

06/09/2024 23:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos

2 - 1

Celaya FC

MEX D2

01/03/2024 01:05

Tepatitlan de Morelos

0 - 2

Celaya FC

MEX D2

19/08/2023 23:05

Celaya FC

1 - 1

Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX D2

10/03/2023 01:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos

1 - 2

Celaya FC

MEX D2

09/08/2022 22:05

Celaya FC

1 - 0

Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX D2

06/01/2022 23:00

Celaya FC

1 - 1

Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX D2

Celaya FC

50%

Draw

33%

Tepatitlan de Morelos

17%

Celaya FC Last 6 matches

13/02/2025 03:00

Atletico La Paz 2 - 3 Celaya FC MEX D2

09/02/2025 01:00

Celaya FC 4 - 1 Correcaminos UAT MEX D2

02/02/2025 03:05

CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa 1 - 1 Celaya FC MEX D2

26/01/2025 03:05

Celaya FC 1 - 1 Venados FC MEX D2

19/01/2025 17:00

Celaya FC 2 - 2 Colorado Rapids INT CF

12/01/2025 01:00

CF Atlante 3 - 0 Celaya FC MEX D2

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Tepatitlan de Morelos

15/02/2025 01:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos 1 - 0 Club Chivas Tapatio MEX D2

08/02/2025 23:00

CF Atlante 1 - 0 Tepatitlan de Morelos MEX D2

01/02/2025 03:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos 3 - 1 Monarcas Morelia MEX D2

26/01/2025 00:00

Tlaxcala FC 2 - 2 Tepatitlan de Morelos MEX D2

18/01/2025 01:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos 1 - 1 Cancun FC MEX D2

11/01/2025 01:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos 2 - 2 Venados FC MEX D2

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Mexico Primera Divison...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Celaya FC

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.03

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.64

Scored

Avg. per game

0.81

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.63

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 36 matches

YesNo

19 (53%)17 (47%)

In last 36 matches

NoYes

18 (56%)14 (44%)

Celaya FC

Recent matches

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Under /Over

(78%)28 8(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(84%)27 5(16%)

Under /Over

(33%)12 24(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)12 20(62%)

Under /Over

(47%)17 19(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(38%)12 20(62%)

/Yes

(56%)20 16(44%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(69%)22 10(31%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Celaya FC

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Shots

Celaya FC

Total shots

12.03 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Total shots

7.94 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Celaya FC Pass Tepatitlan de Morelos

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Celaya FC

3362

Avg. 93.39 / game

Tepatitlan de Morelos

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Tepatitlan de Morelos

1685

Avg. 52.66 / game

OTHERS

Celaya FC

Played games

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.31

Clean sheets

0.16

5.53

199

Corners

165

5.16

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Celaya FC

DISCIPLINARY

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.00

2.50

0.19

0.22

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

08/01

Correcaminos UAT

Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX

08/08

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX

08/21

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX

How We Build the Celaya FC vs Tepatitlan de Morelos Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Celaya FC vs Tepatitlan de Morelos on 23 February 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Mexico Primera Divison A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Celaya FC vs Tepatitlan de Morelos Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Celaya FC's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Tepatitlan de Morelos's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Mexico Primera Divison A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Mexico Primera Divison A standings and the Mexico Primera Divison A form table to understand exactly where Celaya FC and Tepatitlan de Morelos sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Mexico Primera Divison A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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