Celaya FC vs Leones Negros Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – April 12

Celaya FC

D D W W L

4th place in Autumn

2-3

12/04/2025 21:05

Leones Negros

W W L L W

1st place in Autumn

Mexico Primera Divison A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Celaya FC vs Leones Negros on April 12, 2025 (kick-off: 21:05) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Celaya FC vs Leones Negros preview before placing for you.

Celaya FC are currently 4th with 25 points after 14 matches.
Leones Negros sit 1st with 29 points from 14 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Celaya FC to win with probability 52%.
Head-to-head history favors Celaya FC, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Leones Negros have no wins, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

21:05

2025-04-12

Celaya FC vs Leones Negros - Prediction & Odds

Celaya FC

Leones Negros

2025-04-12 21:05

STANDINGS UP TO 12/04/2025

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Leones Negros	29	14	9	2	3	31	18	13
02 CF Atlante	28	14	8	4	2	26	11	15
03 Mineros de Zacatecas	26	14	7	5	2	19	11	8
04 Celaya FC	25	14	7	4	3	23	15	8
05 Tampico Madero	24	14	7	3	4	16	12	4
06 Venados FC	22	14	6	4	4	22	20	2
07 Monarcas Morelia	20	14	6	2	6	18	21	-3
08 Tepatitlan de Morelos	19	14	5	4	5	23	18	5
09 Cancun FC	19	14	5	4	5	18	17	1
10 Club Chivas Tapatio	19	14	6	1	7	18	18	0
11 Correcaminos UAT	18	14	5	3	6	19	24	-5
12 Tlaxcala FC	13	14	2	7	5	21	29	-8
13 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa	12	14	3	3	8	16	24	-8
14 Atletico La Paz	10	14	2	4	8	20	35	-15
15 Alebrijes de Oaxaca	5	14	1	2	11	13	30	-17

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CF Atlante	29	14	8	5	1	31	11	20
02 Club Chivas Tapatio	29	14	8	5	1	32	14	18
03 Leones Negros	28	14	8	4	2	23	15	8
04 Celaya FC	23	14	6	5	3	24	12	12
05 Venados FC	22	14	5	7	2	26	12	14
06 Mineros de Zacatecas	20	14	5	5	4	17	11	6
07 Tepatitlan de Morelos	18	14	4	6	4	21	15	6
08 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa	18	14	5	3	6	23	24	-1
09 Cancun FC	18	14	5	3	6	19	21	-2
10 Tampico Madero	18	14	4	6	4	13	17	-4
11 Monarcas Morelia	16	14	4	4	6	14	22	-8
12 Tlaxcala FC	14	14	4	2	8	14	21	-7
13 Atletico La Paz	12	14	3	3	8	13	34	-21
14 Correcaminos UAT	9	14	2	3	9	19	36	-17
15 Alebrijes de Oaxaca	9	14	2	3	9	11	35	-24

Head To Head

27/10/2024 14:00

Leones Negros

1 - 1

Celaya FC

MEX D2

14/03/2024 23:05

Leones Negros

0 - 0

Celaya FC

MEX D2

02/11/2023 19:05

Celaya FC

0 - 0

Leones Negros

MEX D2

05/05/2023 21:05

Celaya FC

1 - 0

Leones Negros

MEX D2

02/05/2023 21:00

Leones Negros

0 - 3

Celaya FC

MEX D2

25/01/2023 19:00

Celaya FC

1 - 0

Leones Negros

MEX D2

Celaya FC

50%

Draw

50%

Leones Negros

Celaya FC Last 6 matches

05/04/2025 21:05

Tlaxcala FC 0 - 3 Celaya FC MEX D2

29/03/2025 21:00

Celaya FC 3 - 0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEX D2

22/03/2025 21:00

Cancun FC 1 - 1 Celaya FC MEX D2

15/03/2025 21:00

Tampico Madero 0 - 0 Celaya FC MEX D2

08/03/2025 21:00

Celaya FC 1 - 0 Monarcas Morelia MEX D2

01/03/2025 21:00

Mineros de Zacatecas 2 - 0 Celaya FC MEX D2

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Leones Negros

06/04/2025 14:00

Leones Negros 1 - 2 Tampico Madero MEX D2

28/03/2025 23:00

Atletico La Paz 3 - 1 Leones Negros MEX D2

20/03/2025 23:00

Leones Negros 2 - 1 Monarcas Morelia MEX D2

16/03/2025 14:00

Leones Negros 3 - 2 Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEX D2

08/03/2025 19:00

CF Atlante 2 - 1 Leones Negros MEX D2

28/02/2025 21:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos 1 - 1 Leones Negros MEX D2

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Mexico Primera Divison...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Celaya FC

Leones Negros

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.69

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.42

Scored

Avg. per game

0.78

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.58

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

0 (0%)6 (100%)

In last 36 matches

YesNo

19 (53%)17 (47%)

In last 36 matches

NoYes

23 (58%)17 (43%)

Celaya FC

Recent matches

Leones Negros

Under /Over

(78%)28 8(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(80%)32 8(20%)

Under /Over

(33%)12 24(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(43%)17 23(57%)

Under /Over

(47%)17 19(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(48%)19 21(52%)

/Yes

(56%)20 16(44%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(65%)26 14(35%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Celaya FC

Leones Negros

Shots

Celaya FC

Total shots

12.03 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Leones Negros

Total shots

9.78 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Celaya FC Pass Leones Negros

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

45%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Celaya FC

Played games

Leones Negros

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.31

Clean sheets

0.28

5.53

199

Corners

209

5.23

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Celaya FC

DISCIPLINARY

Leones Negros

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.00

2.25

0.19

0.18

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

CD Alacranes de Durango

How We Build the Celaya FC vs Leones Negros Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Celaya FC vs Leones Negros on 12 April 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Mexico Primera Divison A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Celaya FC vs Leones Negros Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Celaya FC's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Leones Negros's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Mexico Primera Divison A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Mexico Primera Divison A standings and the Mexico Primera Divison A form table to understand exactly where Celaya FC and Leones Negros sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Mexico Primera Divison A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Mexico Primera Divison A Predictions

Find every upcoming Mexico Primera Divison A fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less