Celaya FC vs Leones Negros: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 25 January

Celaya FC
WWDWW
1st place in Mexico Primera Divison A
1 - 0
FT
25/01/2023 19:00
Leones Negros
WWDWL
3rd place in Mexico Primera Divison A
Mexico Primera Divison A
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Celaya FC vs Leones Negros on 25 January 2023 (kick-off: 19:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Celaya FC vs Leones Negros preview before placing your bet.

  • Celaya FC are currently 1st with 38 points after 17 matches.
  • Leones Negros sit 3rd with 31 points from 17 matches.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
STANDINGS UP TO 25/01/2023
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Celaya FC Celaya FC
38 17 12 2 3 28 13 15
02 CF Atlante CF Atlante
34 17 9 7 1 34 14 20
03 Leones Negros Leones Negros
31 17 9 4 4 26 13 13
04 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora
30 17 8 6 3 29 16 13
05 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa
27 17 8 3 6 23 20 3
06 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia
26 17 7 5 5 23 17 6
07 Venados FC Venados FC
25 17 7 4 6 21 20 1
08 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas
23 17 6 5 6 27 29 -2
09 Club Chivas Tapatio Club Chivas Tapatio
22 17 6 4 7 22 27 -5
10 Tepatitlan de Morelos Tepatitlan de Morelos
21 17 5 6 6 22 23 -1
11 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca
20 17 4 8 5 21 16 5
12 CD Alacranes de Durango CD Alacranes de Durango
20 17 4 8 5 23 28 -5
13 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT
19 17 5 4 8 19 22 -3
14 Tlaxcala FC Tlaxcala FC
19 17 5 4 8 14 26 -12
15 Raya2 Expansion Raya2 Expansion
18 17 4 6 7 16 22 -6
16 Atletico La Paz Atletico La Paz
17 17 4 5 8 22 32 -10
17 Cancun FC Cancun FC
14 17 3 5 9 8 22 -14
18 Pumas Tabasco Pumas Tabasco
10 17 2 4 11 14 32 -18
Celaya FC Celaya FC Last 6 matches
26/04/2026 09:00
Cimarrones de Sonora 2 - 1 Celaya FC Mexico Liga Premier Serie A
23/04/2026 09:00
Celaya FC 2 - 1 Cimarrones de Sonora Mexico Liga Premier Serie A
19/04/2026 00:00
Universidad Guadalajara II 1 - 2 Celaya FC Mexico Liga Premier Serie A
16/04/2026 08:00
Celaya FC 5 - 0 Universidad Guadalajara II Mexico Liga Premier Serie A
12/04/2026 08:00
Celaya FC 1 - 1 Jaguares Chiapas FC Mexico Liga Premier Serie A
30/03/2026 01:00
Montaneses FC 5 - 1 Celaya FC Mexico Liga Premier Serie A
Win
50%
Draw
17%
Lost
33%
Last 6 matches Leones Negros Leones Negros
26/07/2026 05:00
Tlaxcala 2 - 4 Leones Negros Liga de Expansion MX
20/04/2026 01:00
Leones Negros 1 - 2 Cancun Liga de Expansion MX
12/04/2026 08:00
Venados FC 2 - 1 Leones Negros Liga de Expansion MX
05/04/2026 08:00
Leones Negros 2 - 0 Atletico Morelia Liga de Expansion MX
28/03/2026 08:00
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1 - 1 Leones Negros Liga de Expansion MX
23/03/2026 01:00
Leones Negros 1 - 3 Mineros de Zacatecas Liga de Expansion MX
Win
33%
Draw
17%
Lost
50%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Mexico Primera Divison...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Celaya FC
Celaya FC
44
 Leones Negros
Leones Negros
41
Goals
Scored
45
Avg. per game
1.02
Conceded
19
Avg. per game
0.43
Scored
36
Avg. per game
0.88
Conceded
26
Avg. per game
0.63
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
5 (83%)1 (17%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
2 (33%)4 (67%)
In last 44 matches
YesNo
32 (73%)12 (27%)
In last 44 matches
NoYes
25 (61%)16 (39%)
Celaya FC

Celaya FC

Recent matches

Leones Negros

Leones Negros

Under /Over

(66%)29 15(34%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)29 12(29%)

Under /Over

(20%)9 35(80%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(22%)9 32(78%)

Under /Over

(50%)22 22(50%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(41%)17 24(59%)

/Yes

(48%)21 23(52%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(37%)15 26(63%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Celaya FC Celaya FC
Leones Negros Leones Negros
Shots
Celaya FC
Celaya FC
Total shots
6.89 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Leones Negros
Leones Negros
Total shots
9.83 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Celaya FC Celaya FC Pass Leones Negros Leones Negros
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
52%
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
52%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Celaya FC
Celaya FC
3306
Avg. 75.14 / game
 Leones Negros
Leones Negros
3592
Avg. 87.61 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Celaya FC
Celaya FC
2038
Avg. 46.32 / game
 Leones Negros
Leones Negros
2220
Avg. 54.15 / game
OTHERS
Celaya FC
Celaya FC
44
Played games
Leones Negros
Leones Negros
41
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.45
20
Clean sheets
17
0.41
4.18
184
Corners
184
4.49
0.00
0
Throw-ins
0
0.00
0.00
0
Offsides
0
0.00
0.00
0
GK saves
0
0.00
Celaya FC
Celaya FC
DISCIPLINARY
Leones Negros
Leones Negros
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
2.95
130
Yellow card
95
2.32
0.14
6
Red card
7
0.17
0.00
0
Fouls
0
0.00
0.00
0
Tackles
0
0.00
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.
NEXT MATCHES
08/01
Cancun Cancun
VS
Leones Negros Leones Negros
MEX
08/06
Leones Negros Leones Negros
VS
Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT
MEX
08/13
Leones Negros Leones Negros
VS
Tampico Madero Tampico Madero
MEX
08/20
CD Alacranes de Durango CD Alacranes de Durango
VS
Leones Negros Leones Negros
MEX
08/27
Leones Negros Leones Negros
VS
Piratas Piratas
MEX

How We Build the Celaya FC vs Leones Negros Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Celaya FC vs Leones Negros on 25 January 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Mexico Primera Divison A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Celaya FC vs Leones Negros Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Celaya FC's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Leones Negros's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Mexico Primera Divison A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Mexico Primera Divison A standings and the Mexico Primera Divison A form table to understand exactly where Celaya FC and Leones Negros sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Mexico Primera Divison A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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