Celaya FC vs Leones Negros: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 05 May

Celaya FC

W W D W W

1st place in Mexico Primera Divison A

1 - 0

05/05/2023 21:05

Leones Negros

W W D W L

3rd place in Mexico Primera Divison A

Mexico Primera Divison A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Celaya FC vs Leones Negros on 05 May 2023 (kick-off: 21:05) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Celaya FC vs Leones Negros preview before placing your bet.

Celaya FC are currently 1st with 38 points after 17 matches.
Leones Negros sit 3rd with 31 points from 17 matches.
Head-to-head history favors Celaya FC, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Leones Negros have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 05/05/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Celaya FC	38	17	12	2	3	28	13	15
02 CF Atlante	34	17	9	7	1	34	14	20
03 Leones Negros	31	17	9	4	4	26	13	13
04 Cimarrones de Sonora	30	17	8	6	3	29	16	13
05 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa	27	17	8	3	6	23	20	3
06 Monarcas Morelia	26	17	7	5	5	23	17	6
07 Venados FC	25	17	7	4	6	21	20	1
08 Mineros de Zacatecas	23	17	6	5	6	27	29	-2
09 Club Chivas Tapatio	22	17	6	4	7	22	27	-5
10 Tepatitlan de Morelos	21	17	5	6	6	22	23	-1
11 Alebrijes de Oaxaca	20	17	4	8	5	21	16	5
12 CD Alacranes de Durango	20	17	4	8	5	23	28	-5
13 Correcaminos UAT	19	17	5	4	8	19	22	-3
14 Tlaxcala FC	19	17	5	4	8	14	26	-12
15 Raya2 Expansion	18	17	4	6	7	16	22	-6
16 Atletico La Paz	17	17	4	5	8	22	32	-10
17 Cancun FC	14	17	3	5	9	8	22	-14
18 Pumas Tabasco	10	17	2	4	11	14	32	-18

Head To Head

25/01/2023 19:00

Celaya FC

1 - 0

Leones Negros

MEX D2

04/10/2022 18:05

Leones Negros

0 - 2

Celaya FC

MEX D2

09/02/2022 21:05

Celaya FC

0 - 0

Leones Negros

MEX D2

05/12/2021 19:00

Celaya FC

3 - 0

Leones Negros

MEX D2

30/11/2021 23:05

Leones Negros

1 - 0

Celaya FC

MEX D2

14/10/2021 18:00

Leones Negros

1 - 2

Celaya FC

MEX D2

Celaya FC

67%

Draw

17%

Leones Negros

17%

Celaya FC Last 6 matches

19/04/2023 21:05

Celaya FC 4 - 2 Atletico La Paz MEX D2

12/04/2023 23:05

Correcaminos UAT 0 - 1 Celaya FC MEX D2

05/04/2023 19:00

Celaya FC 2 - 1 Mineros de Zacatecas MEX D2

02/04/2023 23:05

Monarcas Morelia 3 - 2 Celaya FC MEX D2

25/03/2023 19:00

Celaya FC 2 - 1 Venados FC MEX D2

21/03/2023 23:05

Cimarrones de Sonora 1 - 1 Celaya FC MEX D2

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Leones Negros

27/04/2023 23:05

Tepatitlan de Morelos 0 - 1 Leones Negros MEX D2

20/04/2023 20:00

Leones Negros 2 - 0 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa MEX D2

13/04/2023 19:00

Leones Negros 4 - 0 Raya2 Expansion MEX D2

04/04/2023 21:05

Venados FC 1 - 1 Leones Negros MEX D2

31/03/2023 19:00

Leones Negros 3 - 0 Tlaxcala FC MEX D2

26/03/2023 14:00

CF Atlante 0 - 0 Leones Negros MEX D2

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Mexico Primera Divison...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Celaya FC

Leones Negros

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.02

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.43

Scored

Avg. per game

0.88

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.63

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 44 matches

YesNo

32 (73%)12 (27%)

In last 44 matches

NoYes

25 (61%)16 (39%)

Celaya FC

Recent matches

Leones Negros

Under /Over

(66%)29 15(34%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)29 12(29%)

Under /Over

(20%)9 35(80%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(22%)9 32(78%)

Under /Over

(50%)22 22(50%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(41%)17 24(59%)

/Yes

(48%)21 23(52%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(37%)15 26(63%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Celaya FC

Leones Negros

Shots

Celaya FC

Total shots

6.89 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Leones Negros

Total shots

9.83 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Celaya FC Pass Leones Negros

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Celaya FC

Played games

Leones Negros

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.45

Clean sheets

0.41

4.18

184

Corners

184

4.49

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Celaya FC

DISCIPLINARY

Leones Negros

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.95

130

2.32

0.14

0.17

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

CD Alacranes de Durango

How We Build the Celaya FC vs Leones Negros Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Celaya FC vs Leones Negros on 05 May 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Mexico Primera Divison A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Celaya FC vs Leones Negros Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Celaya FC's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Leones Negros's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Mexico Primera Divison A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Mexico Primera Divison A standings and the Mexico Primera Divison A form table to understand exactly where Celaya FC and Leones Negros sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Mexico Primera Divison A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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