Caravaggio vs Desenzano Calvina: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 05 May

Caravaggio
LLWLD
No standing data
2 - 1
FT
05/05/2024 09:00
Desenzano Calvina
DWWWW
No standing data
Italy Serie D
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Caravaggio vs Desenzano Calvina on 05 May 2024 (kick-off: 09:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Caravaggio vs Desenzano Calvina preview before placing your bet.

  • Head-to-head history favors Desenzano Calvina, who have won 2 of the last 4 meetings. Caravaggio have one win, while one match ended in a draw.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
STANDINGS UP TO 05/05/2024
The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Caravaggio and Desenzano Calvina in the Italy Serie D football standings for the 2024 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.
Head To Head
20/12/2023 09:30
Desenzano Calvina Desenzano Calvina
0 - 0
Caravaggio Caravaggio
ITA S4
20/03/2022 09:30
Desenzano Calvina Desenzano Calvina
2 - 1
Caravaggio Caravaggio
ITA S4
19/09/2021 09:00
Caravaggio Caravaggio
3 - 2
Desenzano Calvina Desenzano Calvina
ITA S4
02/05/2021 09:00
Desenzano Calvina Desenzano Calvina
3 - 1
Caravaggio Caravaggio
ITA S4
Caravaggio
1
25%
Draw
1
25%
Desenzano Calvina
2
50%
Caravaggio Caravaggio Last 6 matches
28/04/2024 09:00
AC Palazzolo （ITL） 1 - 0 Caravaggio ITA S4
21/04/2024 09:00
Caravaggio 0 - 2 Arconatese ITA S4
14/04/2024 09:00
Caravaggio 3 - 2 Tritium ITA S4
07/04/2024 09:00
Clivense 1 - 0 Caravaggio ITA S4
28/03/2024 09:30
Caravaggio 1 - 1 USD Casatese ITA S4
24/03/2024 09:30
US Folgore Caratese 2 - 1 Caravaggio ITA S4
Win
17%
Draw
17%
Lost
67%
Last 6 matches Desenzano Calvina Desenzano Calvina
28/04/2024 09:00
Desenzano Calvina 1 - 1 Arconatese ITA S4
21/04/2024 09:00
Tritium 0 - 2 Desenzano Calvina ITA S4
14/04/2024 09:00
Desenzano Calvina 2 - 0 USD Casatese ITA S4
07/04/2024 09:00
US Folgore Caratese 0 - 2 Desenzano Calvina ITA S4
28/03/2024 09:30
Desenzano Calvina 2 - 1 Villa dAlme Valbrembana ITA S4
24/03/2024 09:30
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 0 - 2 Desenzano Calvina ITA S4
Win
83%
Draw
17%
Lost
0%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Italy Serie D

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Caravaggio
Caravaggio
38
 Desenzano Calvina
Desenzano Calvina
40
Goals
Scored
19
Avg. per game
0.50
Conceded
24
Avg. per game
0.63
Scored
30
Avg. per game
0.75
Conceded
14
Avg. per game
0.35
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
4 (67%)2 (33%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
5 (83%)1 (17%)
In last 38 matches
YesNo
16 (42%)22 (58%)
In last 38 matches
NoYes
24 (60%)16 (40%)
Caravaggio

Caravaggio

Recent matches

Desenzano Calvina

Desenzano Calvina

Under /Over

(68%)26 12(32%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(70%)28 12(30%)

Under /Over

(34%)13 25(66%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(28%)11 29(72%)

Under /Over

(32%)12 26(68%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(30%)12 28(70%)

/Yes

(45%)17 21(55%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(40%)16 24(60%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Caravaggio Caravaggio
Desenzano Calvina Desenzano Calvina
Shots
Caravaggio
Caravaggio
Total shots
9.43 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Desenzano Calvina
Desenzano Calvina
Total shots
10.29 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Caravaggio Caravaggio Pass Desenzano Calvina Desenzano Calvina
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
52%
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
51%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Caravaggio
Caravaggio
1866
Avg. 49.11 / game
 Desenzano Calvina
Desenzano Calvina
2414
Avg. 60.35 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Caravaggio
Caravaggio
1062
Avg. 27.95 / game
 Desenzano Calvina
Desenzano Calvina
1312
Avg. 32.80 / game
OTHERS
Caravaggio
Caravaggio
38
Played games
Desenzano Calvina
Desenzano Calvina
40
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.24
9
Clean sheets
22
0.55
3.13
119
Corners
131
3.28
0.00
0
Throw-ins
0
0.00
0.00
0
Offsides
0
0.00
0.00
0
GK saves
0
0.00
Caravaggio
Caravaggio
DISCIPLINARY
Desenzano Calvina
Desenzano Calvina
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.11
42
Yellow card
41
1.03
0.08
3
Red card
1
0.03
0.00
0
Fouls
0
0.00
0.00
0
Tackles
0
0.00
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.
NEXT MATCHES
08/23
Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli
VS
Desenzano Calvina Desenzano Calvina
ITA
08/30
Desenzano Calvina Desenzano Calvina
VS
Trento Trento
ITA
09/06
Brescia Brescia
VS
Desenzano Calvina Desenzano Calvina
ITA
09/13
Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo
VS
Desenzano Calvina Desenzano Calvina
ITA
09/16
Desenzano Calvina Desenzano Calvina
VS
Lecco Lecco
ITA

How We Build the Caravaggio vs Desenzano Calvina Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Caravaggio vs Desenzano Calvina on 05 May 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italy Serie D fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Caravaggio vs Desenzano Calvina Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Caravaggio's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Desenzano Calvina's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italy Serie D Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italy Serie D standings and the Italy Serie D form table to understand exactly where Caravaggio and Desenzano Calvina sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italy Serie D predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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