Caernarfon vs Penybont FC: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 18 May

Caernarfon

D W L L W

6th place in League

3-1

18/05/2024 13:45

Penybont FC

D L L W W

8th place in League

Welsh Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Caernarfon vs Penybont FC on 18 May 2024 (kick-off: 13:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Caernarfon vs Penybont FC preview before placing your bet.

Caernarfon are currently 6th with 31 points after 22 matches.
Penybont FC sit 8th with 25 points from 22 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Caernarfon to win with probability 49%.
Head-to-head history favors Penybont FC, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Caernarfon have 2 wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

13:45

2024-05-18

Caernarfon vs Penybont FC - Prediction & Odds

Caernarfon

Penybont FC

2024-05-18 13:45

STANDINGS UP TO 18/05/2024

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	62	22	20	2	0	77	14	63
02 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	47	22	15	2	5	59	29	30
03 Bala Town F.C.	37	22	10	7	5	25	20	5
04 UWIC Inter Cardiff	34	22	9	7	6	28	39	-11
05 Newtown AFC	33	22	10	3	9	35	31	4
06 Caernarfon	31	22	9	4	9	40	41	-1
07 Haverfordwest County	28	22	7	7	8	29	33	-4
08 Pen-y-Bont FC	25	22	8	4	10	28	32	-4
09 Barry Town United	23	22	6	5	11	27	41	-14
10 Aberystwyth Town	15	22	4	3	15	18	46	-28
11 Colwyn Bay	14	22	4	2	16	27	49	-22
12 Pontypridd	13	22	5	4	13	13	31	-18

Championship Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	92	10	10	0	0	40	4	36
02 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	59	10	3	3	4	11	14	-3
03 Bala Town F.C.	51	10	3	5	2	13	11	2
04 Newtown AFC	44	10	3	2	5	14	15	-1
05 Caernarfon	41	10	2	4	4	12	29	-17
06 UWIC Inter Cardiff	39	10	1	2	7	7	24	-17

Relegation Quarter	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Pen-y-Bont FC	46	10	6	3	1	18	5	13
02 Haverfordwest County	43	10	4	3	3	10	7	3
03 Barry Town United	32	10	1	6	3	9	13	-4
04 Aberystwyth Town	27	10	3	3	4	9	11	-2
05 Pontypridd	25	10	3	3	4	10	10	0
06 Colwyn Bay	25	10	3	2	5	7	17	-10

Head To Head

04/11/2023 14:30

Caernarfon

2 - 4

Pen-y-Bont FC

Welsh PR

16/09/2023 13:30

Pen-y-Bont FC

3 - 2

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

07/01/2023 12:45

Pen-y-Bont FC

5 - 1

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

05/11/2022 14:30

Caernarfon

0 - 2

Pen-y-Bont FC

Welsh PR

15/04/2022 13:30

Caernarfon

1 - 0

Pen-y-Bont FC

Welsh PR

05/03/2022 14:30

Pen-y-Bont FC

0 - 3

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

Caernarfon

33%

Draw

Penybont FC

67%

Caernarfon Last 6 matches

10/05/2024 18:45

Caernarfon 2 - 0 UWIC Inter Cardiff Welsh PR

21/04/2024 13:15

Caernarfon 2 - 2 Bala Town F.C. Welsh PR

13/04/2024 13:30

Newtown AFC 5 - 0 Caernarfon Welsh PR

05/04/2024 18:45

The New Saints 7 - 1 Caernarfon Welsh PR

23/03/2024 14:30

Caernarfon 1 - 2 UWIC Inter Cardiff Welsh PR

15/03/2024 19:45

Caernarfon 2 - 1 Connahs Quay Nomads FC Welsh PR

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Penybont FC

11/05/2024 11:20

Newtown AFC 0 - 5 Pen-y-Bont FC Welsh PR

21/04/2024 13:15

Pen-y-Bont FC 1 - 0 Haverfordwest County Welsh PR

13/04/2024 13:30

Pontypridd 0 - 3 Pen-y-Bont FC Welsh PR

06/04/2024 16:15

Aberystwyth Town 0 - 3 Pen-y-Bont FC Welsh PR

29/03/2024 12:30

Barry Town United 0 - 0 Pen-y-Bont FC Welsh PR

16/03/2024 14:30

Pen-y-Bont FC 5 - 0 Colwyn Bay Welsh PR

Win

Draw

100%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Welsh Premier League

Played games

Caernarfon

Penybont FC

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.72

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.83

Scored

Avg. per game

1.13

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.06

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 18 home matches

YesNo

16 (89%)2 (11%)

In last 18 home matches

NoYes

10 (63%)6 (38%)

Caernarfon

Recent matches

Penybont FC

Under /Over

(83%)15 3(17%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(56%)9 7(44%)

Under /Over

(39%)7 11(61%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(19%)3 13(81%)

Under /Over

(72%)13 5(28%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(38%)6 10(62%)

/Yes

(67%)12 6(33%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(31%)5 11(69%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Caernarfon

Penybont FC

Shots

Caernarfon

Total shots

11.06 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Penybont FC

Total shots

10.00 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Caernarfon Pass Penybont FC

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Caernarfon

Played games

Penybont FC

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.22

Clean sheets

0.38

5.67

102

Corners

100

6.25

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

2.89

GK saves

1.69

Caernarfon

DISCIPLINARY

Penybont FC

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.78

2.75

0.17

0.25

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

08/02

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Caernarfon vs Penybont FC Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Caernarfon vs Penybont FC on 18 May 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Welsh Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Caernarfon vs Penybont FC Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Caernarfon's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Penybont FC's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Welsh Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Welsh Premier League standings and the Welsh Premier League form table to understand exactly where Caernarfon and Penybont FC sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Welsh Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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