Caernarfon vs Penybont FC Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – February 22

Caernarfon

D W L L W

4th place in League

3-2

22/02/2025 10:30

Penybont FC

L W W D W

2nd place in League

Welsh Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Caernarfon vs Penybont FC on February 22, 2025 (kick-off: 10:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Caernarfon vs Penybont FC preview before placing for you.

Caernarfon are currently 4th with 34 points after 22 matches.
Penybont FC sit 2nd with 50 points from 22 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Penybont FC to win with probability 44%.
Head-to-head history favors Penybont FC, who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. Caernarfon have one win, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:30

2025-02-22

Caernarfon vs Penybont FC - Prediction & Odds

Caernarfon

Penybont FC

2025-02-22 10:30

STANDINGS UP TO 22/02/2025

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	51	22	17	0	5	61	26	35
02 Pen-y-Bont FC	50	22	15	5	2	42	16	26
03 Haverfordwest County	40	22	11	7	4	29	11	18
04 Caernarfon	34	22	10	4	8	35	35	0
05 Bala Town F.C.	32	22	7	11	4	28	21	7
06 UWIC Inter Cardiff	32	22	9	5	8	32	29	3
07 Barry Town United	30	22	8	6	8	32	38	-6
08 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	26	22	7	5	10	32	26	6
09 Briton Ferry Athletic	21	22	6	3	13	33	45	-12
10 Flint Town	20	22	6	2	14	27	47	-20
11 Newtown AFC	19	22	5	4	13	24	46	-22
12 Aberystwyth Town	14	22	4	2	16	18	53	-35

Championship Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	78	10	9	0	1	28	5	23
02 Pen-y-Bont FC	64	10	4	2	4	14	16	-2
03 Haverfordwest County	51	10	2	5	3	10	15	-5
04 Caernarfon	48	10	4	2	4	18	16	2
05 UWIC Inter Cardiff	44	10	3	3	4	11	17	-6
06 Bala Town F.C.	37	10	1	2	7	10	22	-12

Relegation	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Barry Town United	52	10	7	1	2	23	13	10
02 Flint Town	42	10	7	1	2	21	15	6
03 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	42	10	5	1	4	15	9	6
04 Briton Ferry Athletic	32	10	3	2	5	13	20	-7
05 Newtown AFC	26	10	1	4	5	12	19	-7
06 Aberystwyth Town	21	10	2	1	7	10	18	-8

Head To Head

02/11/2024 10:30

Caernarfon

1 - 5

Pen-y-Bont FC

Welsh PR

07/09/2024 09:30

Pen-y-Bont FC

2 - 0

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

18/05/2024 09:45

Caernarfon

3 - 1

Pen-y-Bont FC

Welsh PR

04/11/2023 10:30

Caernarfon

2 - 4

Pen-y-Bont FC

Welsh PR

16/09/2023 09:30

Pen-y-Bont FC

3 - 2

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

07/01/2023 08:45

Pen-y-Bont FC

5 - 1

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

Caernarfon

17%

Draw

Penybont FC

83%

Caernarfon Last 6 matches

11/02/2025 15:45

Caernarfon 0 - 1 The New Saints Welsh PR

08/02/2025 10:30

Caernarfon 1 - 1 Haverfordwest County Welsh PR

31/01/2025 15:45

Bala Town F.C. 1 - 3 Caernarfon Welsh PR

14/01/2025 15:45

Caernarfon 3 - 0 Flint Town Welsh PR

11/01/2025 08:45

Bala Town F.C. 0 - 2 Caernarfon Welsh PR

26/12/2024 10:30

Caernarfon 2 - 5 The New Saints Welsh PR

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Penybont FC

08/02/2025 08:15

The New Saints 4 - 0 Pen-y-Bont FC Welsh PR

01/02/2025 08:15

Pen-y-Bont FC 0 - 0 Haverfordwest County Welsh PR

24/01/2025 15:45

UWIC Inter Cardiff 2 - 1 Pen-y-Bont FC Welsh PR

14/01/2025 15:45

Newtown AFC 1 - 2 Pen-y-Bont FC Welsh PR

04/01/2025 10:30

Pen-y-Bont FC 1 - 0 Connahs Quay Nomads FC Welsh PR

31/12/2024 13:45

Pen-y-Bont FC 2 - 2 UWIC Inter Cardiff Welsh PR

Win

Draw

100%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Welsh Premier League

Played games

Goals

Scored

395

Avg. per game

1.64

Conceded

424

Avg. per game

1.76

Scored

408

Avg. per game

1.66

Conceded

302

Avg. per game

1.23

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 241 matches

YesNo

188 (78%)53 (22%)

In last 241 matches

NoYes

181 (74%)65 (26%)

Caernarfon

Recent matches

Penybont FC

Under /Over

(93%)42 3(7%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(40%)18 27(60%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Caernarfon

Penybont FC

Shots

Caernarfon

Total shots

10.19 avg / game

Blocked

3 total

Avg. 1.50

Penybont FC

Total shots

10.20 avg / game

Blocked

2 total

Avg. 1.00

Caernarfon Pass Penybont FC

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Caernarfon

241

Played games

Penybont FC

246

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.24

Clean sheets

0.37

4.33

1044

Corners

1167

4.74

0.12

Throw-ins

0.14

0.12

Offsides

0.11

1.57

379

GK saves

237

0.96

Caernarfon

DISCIPLINARY

Penybont FC

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.78

430

473

1.92

0.12

0.10

0.46

110

Fouls

153

0.62

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Caernarfon vs Penybont FC Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Caernarfon vs Penybont FC on 22 February 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Welsh Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Caernarfon vs Penybont FC Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Caernarfon's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Penybont FC's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Welsh Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Welsh Premier League standings and the Welsh Premier League form table to understand exactly where Caernarfon and Penybont FC sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Welsh Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Welsh Premier League Predictions

Find every upcoming Welsh Premier League fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less