Caernarfon vs Newtown AFC Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – October 12

Caernarfon

D W L L W

4th place in League

1-2

12/10/2024 09:30

Newtown AFC

L L L L L

11th place in League

Welsh Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Caernarfon vs Newtown AFC on October 12, 2024 (kick-off: 09:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Caernarfon vs Newtown AFC preview before placing for you.

Caernarfon are currently 4th with 34 points after 22 matches.
Newtown AFC sit 11th with 19 points from 22 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Caernarfon to win with probability 47%.
Head-to-head history favors Caernarfon, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Newtown AFC have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

09:30

2024-10-12

Caernarfon vs Newtown AFC - Prediction & Odds

Caernarfon

Newtown AFC

2024-10-12 09:30

STANDINGS UP TO 12/10/2024

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	51	22	17	0	5	61	26	35
02 Pen-y-Bont FC	50	22	15	5	2	42	16	26
03 Haverfordwest County	40	22	11	7	4	29	11	18
04 Caernarfon	34	22	10	4	8	35	35	0
05 Bala Town F.C.	32	22	7	11	4	28	21	7
06 UWIC Inter Cardiff	32	22	9	5	8	32	29	3
07 Barry Town United	30	22	8	6	8	32	38	-6
08 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	26	22	7	5	10	32	26	6
09 Briton Ferry Athletic	21	22	6	3	13	33	45	-12
10 Flint Town	20	22	6	2	14	27	47	-20
11 Newtown AFC	19	22	5	4	13	24	46	-22
12 Aberystwyth Town	14	22	4	2	16	18	53	-35

Championship Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	78	10	9	0	1	28	5	23
02 Pen-y-Bont FC	64	10	4	2	4	14	16	-2
03 Haverfordwest County	51	10	2	5	3	10	15	-5
04 Caernarfon	48	10	4	2	4	18	16	2
05 UWIC Inter Cardiff	44	10	3	3	4	11	17	-6
06 Bala Town F.C.	37	10	1	2	7	10	22	-12

Relegation	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Barry Town United	52	10	7	1	2	23	13	10
02 Flint Town	42	10	7	1	2	21	15	6
03 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	42	10	5	1	4	15	9	6
04 Briton Ferry Athletic	32	10	3	2	5	13	20	-7
05 Newtown AFC	26	10	1	4	5	12	19	-7
06 Aberystwyth Town	21	10	2	1	7	10	18	-8

Head To Head

23/08/2024 14:45

Newtown AFC

0 - 4

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

04/08/2024 09:30

Newtown AFC

2 - 2

Caernarfon

WAL CLC

13/04/2024 09:30

Newtown AFC

5 - 0

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

01/03/2024 15:45

Caernarfon

1 - 0

Newtown AFC

Welsh PR

07/10/2023 09:30

Newtown AFC

4 - 0

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

18/08/2023 14:45

Caernarfon

2 - 1

Newtown AFC

Welsh PR

Caernarfon

50%

Draw

17%

Newtown AFC

33%

Caernarfon Last 6 matches

09/10/2024 14:45

The New Saints 1 - 2 Caernarfon Welsh PR

05/10/2024 09:30

UWIC Inter Cardiff 1 - 2 Caernarfon Welsh PR

28/09/2024 12:15

Caernarfon 3 - 1 Connahs Quay Nomads FC Welsh PR

25/09/2024 14:45

Flint Town 1 - 2 Caernarfon Welsh PR

21/09/2024 09:30

Barry Town United 1 - 1 Caernarfon Welsh PR

17/09/2024 14:45

Connahs Quay Nomads FC 3 - 2 Caernarfon WAL CLC

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Newtown AFC

04/10/2024 14:45

Newtown AFC 2 - 4 Flint Town Welsh PR

27/09/2024 14:45

Newtown AFC 1 - 6 The New Saints Welsh PR

24/09/2024 14:45

Connahs Quay Nomads FC 1 - 1 Newtown AFC Welsh PR

20/09/2024 14:45

Bala Town F.C. 2 - 2 Newtown AFC Welsh PR

13/09/2024 14:45

Newtown AFC 2 - 1 UWIC Inter Cardiff Welsh PR

07/09/2024 09:30

Newtown AFC 1 - 0 Briton Ferry Athletic Welsh PR

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Welsh Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Caernarfon

Newtown AFC

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.17

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.83

Scored

Avg. per game

0.88

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.44

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 18 home matches

YesNo

12 (67%)6 (33%)

In last 18 home matches

NoYes

10 (63%)6 (38%)

Caernarfon

Recent matches

Newtown AFC

Under /Over

(83%)15 3(17%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(88%)14 2(12%)

Under /Over

(50%)9 9(50%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(44%)7 9(56%)

Under /Over

(72%)13 5(28%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(69%)11 5(31%)

/Yes

(72%)13 5(28%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(69%)11 5(31%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Caernarfon

Newtown AFC

Shots

Caernarfon

Total shots

9.78 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Newtown AFC

Total shots

10.50 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Caernarfon Pass Newtown AFC

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

47%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Caernarfon

Played games

Newtown AFC

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.22

Clean sheets

0.13

4.06

Corners

5.13

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

2.78

GK saves

2.38

Caernarfon

DISCIPLINARY

Newtown AFC

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.00

2.13

0.00

0.06

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Caernarfon vs Newtown AFC Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Caernarfon vs Newtown AFC on 12 October 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Welsh Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Caernarfon vs Newtown AFC Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Caernarfon's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Newtown AFC's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Welsh Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Welsh Premier League standings and the Welsh Premier League form table to understand exactly where Caernarfon and Newtown AFC sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Welsh Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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