Caernarfon vs Connahs Quay Nomads FC: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 September

Caernarfon

D W L L W

4th place in League

3-1

28/09/2024 12:15

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

W D W L L

8th place in League

Welsh Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Caernarfon vs Connahs Quay Nomads FC on 28 September 2024 (kick-off: 12:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Caernarfon vs Connahs Quay Nomads FC preview before placing your bet.

Caernarfon are currently 4th with 34 points after 22 matches.
Connahs Quay Nomads FC sit 8th with 26 points from 22 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Connahs Quay Nomads FC to win with probability 41%.
Head-to-head history favors Connahs Quay Nomads FC, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Caernarfon have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

12:15

2024-09-28

Caernarfon vs Connahs Quay Nomads FC - Prediction & Odds

Caernarfon

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

2024-09-28 12:15

STANDINGS UP TO 28/09/2024

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	51	22	17	0	5	61	26	35
02 Pen-y-Bont FC	50	22	15	5	2	42	16	26
03 Haverfordwest County	40	22	11	7	4	29	11	18
04 Caernarfon	34	22	10	4	8	35	35	0
05 Bala Town F.C.	32	22	7	11	4	28	21	7
06 UWIC Inter Cardiff	32	22	9	5	8	32	29	3
07 Barry Town United	30	22	8	6	8	32	38	-6
08 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	26	22	7	5	10	32	26	6
09 Briton Ferry Athletic	21	22	6	3	13	33	45	-12
10 Flint Town	20	22	6	2	14	27	47	-20
11 Newtown AFC	19	22	5	4	13	24	46	-22
12 Aberystwyth Town	14	22	4	2	16	18	53	-35

Championship Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	78	10	9	0	1	28	5	23
02 Pen-y-Bont FC	64	10	4	2	4	14	16	-2
03 Haverfordwest County	51	10	2	5	3	10	15	-5
04 Caernarfon	48	10	4	2	4	18	16	2
05 UWIC Inter Cardiff	44	10	3	3	4	11	17	-6
06 Bala Town F.C.	37	10	1	2	7	10	22	-12

Relegation	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Barry Town United	52	10	7	1	2	23	13	10
02 Flint Town	42	10	7	1	2	21	15	6
03 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	42	10	5	1	4	15	9	6
04 Briton Ferry Athletic	32	10	3	2	5	13	20	-7
05 Newtown AFC	26	10	1	4	5	12	19	-7
06 Aberystwyth Town	21	10	2	1	7	10	18	-8

Head To Head

17/09/2024 14:45

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

3 - 2

Caernarfon

WAL CLC

22/06/2024 10:00

Caernarfon

3 - 2

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

INT CF

15/03/2024 15:45

Caernarfon

2 - 1

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

Welsh PR

02/02/2024 15:45

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

1 - 1

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

27/10/2023 14:45

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

6 - 1

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

14/10/2023 09:00

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

4 - 1

Caernarfon

WALC

Caernarfon

33%

Draw

17%

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

50%

Caernarfon Last 6 matches

17/09/2024 14:45

Connahs Quay Nomads FC 3 - 2 Caernarfon WAL CLC

14/09/2024 09:30

Caernarfon 3 - 2 Briton Ferry Athletic Welsh PR

07/09/2024 09:30

Pen-y-Bont FC 2 - 0 Caernarfon Welsh PR

31/08/2024 09:30

Caernarfon 1 - 2 UWIC Inter Cardiff Welsh PR

26/08/2024 09:30

Caernarfon 0 - 0 Bala Town F.C. Welsh PR

23/08/2024 14:45

Newtown AFC 0 - 4 Caernarfon Welsh PR

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Connahs Quay Nomads FC

17/09/2024 14:45

Connahs Quay Nomads FC 3 - 2 Caernarfon WAL CLC

15/09/2024 09:30

Connahs Quay Nomads FC 0 - 1 Pen-y-Bont FC Welsh PR

07/09/2024 09:30

Connahs Quay Nomads FC 1 - 2 Barry Town United Welsh PR

31/08/2024 09:30

Briton Ferry Athletic 1 - 5 Connahs Quay Nomads FC Welsh PR

26/08/2024 09:30

Flint Town 0 - 1 Connahs Quay Nomads FC Welsh PR

16/08/2024 15:00

Aberystwyth Town 1 - 1 Connahs Quay Nomads FC Welsh PR

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Welsh Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Caernarfon

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.97

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.77

Scored

Avg. per game

0.69

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.72

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 35 matches

YesNo

23 (66%)12 (34%)

In last 35 matches

NoYes

15 (47%)17 (53%)

Caernarfon

Recent matches

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

Under /Over

(86%)30 5(14%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)22 10(31%)

Under /Over

(49%)17 18(51%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(34%)11 21(66%)

Under /Over

(57%)20 15(43%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(41%)13 19(59%)

/Yes

(69%)24 11(31%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)15 17(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Caernarfon

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

Shots

Caernarfon

Total shots

9.66 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

Total shots

10.28 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Caernarfon Pass Connahs Quay Nomads FC

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

55%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Caernarfon

3010

Avg. 86.00 / game

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

2052

Avg. 64.13 / game

OTHERS

Caernarfon

Played games

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.23

Clean sheets

0.31

4.29

150

Corners

183

5.72

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

3.40

119

GK saves

2.66

Caernarfon

DISCIPLINARY

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.77

1.91

0.06

0.06

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

08/02

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

NEXT MATCHES

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

WEL

08/14

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

WEL

08/28

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

Cambrian Clydach

WEL

How We Build the Caernarfon vs Connahs Quay Nomads FC Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Caernarfon vs Connahs Quay Nomads FC on 28 September 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Welsh Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Caernarfon vs Connahs Quay Nomads FC Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Caernarfon's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Connahs Quay Nomads FC's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Welsh Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Welsh Premier League standings and the Welsh Premier League form table to understand exactly where Caernarfon and Connahs Quay Nomads FC sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Welsh Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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