Caernarfon vs Aberystwyth Town: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 15 October

Caernarfon

D W L L W

4th place in League

1-4

15/10/2024 14:45

Aberystwyth Town

L L W D L

12th place in League

Welsh Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Caernarfon vs Aberystwyth Town on 15 October 2024 (kick-off: 14:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Caernarfon vs Aberystwyth Town preview before placing your bet.

Caernarfon are currently 4th with 34 points after 22 matches.
Aberystwyth Town sit 12th with 14 points from 22 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Caernarfon to win with probability 68%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Caernarfon and Aberystwyth Town have each won 3 of the last 6 meetings, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:45

2024-10-15

Caernarfon vs Aberystwyth Town - Prediction & Odds

Caernarfon

Aberystwyth Town

2024-10-15 14:45

STANDINGS UP TO 15/10/2024

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	51	22	17	0	5	61	26	35
02 Pen-y-Bont FC	50	22	15	5	2	42	16	26
03 Haverfordwest County	40	22	11	7	4	29	11	18
04 Caernarfon	34	22	10	4	8	35	35	0
05 Bala Town F.C.	32	22	7	11	4	28	21	7
06 UWIC Inter Cardiff	32	22	9	5	8	32	29	3
07 Barry Town United	30	22	8	6	8	32	38	-6
08 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	26	22	7	5	10	32	26	6
09 Briton Ferry Athletic	21	22	6	3	13	33	45	-12
10 Flint Town	20	22	6	2	14	27	47	-20
11 Newtown AFC	19	22	5	4	13	24	46	-22
12 Aberystwyth Town	14	22	4	2	16	18	53	-35

Championship Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	78	10	9	0	1	28	5	23
02 Pen-y-Bont FC	64	10	4	2	4	14	16	-2
03 Haverfordwest County	51	10	2	5	3	10	15	-5
04 Caernarfon	48	10	4	2	4	18	16	2
05 UWIC Inter Cardiff	44	10	3	3	4	11	17	-6
06 Bala Town F.C.	37	10	1	2	7	10	22	-12

Relegation	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Barry Town United	52	10	7	1	2	23	13	10
02 Flint Town	42	10	7	1	2	21	15	6
03 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	42	10	5	1	4	15	9	6
04 Briton Ferry Athletic	32	10	3	2	5	13	20	-7
05 Newtown AFC	26	10	1	4	5	12	19	-7
06 Aberystwyth Town	21	10	2	1	7	10	18	-8

Head To Head

17/10/2023 14:45

Caernarfon

3 - 0

Aberystwyth Town

Welsh PR

09/09/2023 09:30

Aberystwyth Town

2 - 4

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

22/04/2023 07:45

Aberystwyth Town

3 - 2

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

17/03/2023 15:45

Caernarfon

0 - 1

Aberystwyth Town

Welsh PR

21/01/2023 13:15

Aberystwyth Town

2 - 1

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

21/10/2022 14:45

Caernarfon

2 - 1

Aberystwyth Town

Welsh PR

Caernarfon

50%

Draw

Aberystwyth Town

50%

Caernarfon Last 6 matches

12/10/2024 09:30

Caernarfon 1 - 2 Newtown AFC Welsh PR

09/10/2024 14:45

The New Saints 1 - 2 Caernarfon Welsh PR

05/10/2024 09:30

UWIC Inter Cardiff 1 - 2 Caernarfon Welsh PR

28/09/2024 12:15

Caernarfon 3 - 1 Connahs Quay Nomads FC Welsh PR

25/09/2024 14:45

Flint Town 1 - 2 Caernarfon Welsh PR

21/09/2024 09:30

Barry Town United 1 - 1 Caernarfon Welsh PR

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Aberystwyth Town

12/10/2024 09:30

Aberystwyth Town 0 - 3 Pen-y-Bont FC Welsh PR

04/10/2024 14:45

Connahs Quay Nomads FC 3 - 0 Aberystwyth Town Welsh PR

27/09/2024 14:45

Barry Town United 1 - 0 Aberystwyth Town Welsh PR

24/09/2024 15:00

Aberystwyth Town 1 - 2 UWIC Inter Cardiff Welsh PR

20/09/2024 15:00

Aberystwyth Town 0 - 3 Haverfordwest County Welsh PR

17/09/2024 15:00

Aberystwyth Town 3 - 2 Llandudno WAL CLC

Win

17%

Draw

Lost

83%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Welsh Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

233

Avg. per game

0.97

Conceded

247

Avg. per game

1.03

Scored

153

Avg. per game

0.69

Conceded

233

Avg. per game

1.04

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 240 matches

YesNo

145 (60%)95 (40%)

In last 240 matches

NoYes

104 (47%)119 (53%)

Caernarfon

Recent matches

Aberystwyth Town

Under /Over

(93%)42 3(7%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(42%)19 26(58%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Caernarfon

Aberystwyth Town

Shots

Caernarfon

Total shots

10.19 avg / game

Blocked

3 total

Avg. 1.50

Aberystwyth Town

Total shots

8.26 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Caernarfon Pass Aberystwyth Town

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

46%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Caernarfon

240

Played games

Aberystwyth Town

223

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.24

Clean sheets

0.18

4.33

1040

Corners

852

3.82

0.13

Throw-ins

0.00

0.12

Offsides

0.20

1.58

379

GK saves

341

1.53

Caernarfon

DISCIPLINARY

Aberystwyth Town

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.78

427

434

1.95

0.12

0.12

0.46

110

Fouls

236

1.06

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

08/02

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Caernarfon vs Aberystwyth Town Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Caernarfon vs Aberystwyth Town on 15 October 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Welsh Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Caernarfon vs Aberystwyth Town Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Caernarfon's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Aberystwyth Town's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Welsh Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Welsh Premier League standings and the Welsh Premier League form table to understand exactly where Caernarfon and Aberystwyth Town sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Welsh Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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