Caerau Ely vs Trefelin: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 16 January

Caerau Ely

W W D W W

4th place in South

1-2

16/01/2026 15:30

Trefelin

L W W W W

1st place in South

Wales FAW Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Caerau Ely vs Trefelin on 16 January 2026 (kick-off: 15:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Caerau Ely vs Trefelin preview before placing your bet.

Caerau Ely will face Trefelin in Wales FAW Championship on January 16, 2026 at 15:30.
Caerau Ely are currently 4th with 57 points after 30 matches.
Trefelin sit 1st with 78 points from 30 matches.
Current model prediction leans yellow with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 2.30.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:30

2026-01-16

Caerau Ely vs Trefelin - Prediction & Odds

Caerau Ely

Trefelin

2026-01-16 15:30

STANDINGS UP TO 16/01/2026

South	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Trefelin	78	30	25	3	2	83	17	66
02 Cambrian Clydach	76	30	24	4	2	75	20	55
03 Ammanford	58	30	16	10	4	48	26	22
04 Caerau Ely	57	30	17	6	7	66	34	32
05 Carmarthen	45	30	11	12	7	45	38	7
06 Aberystwyth Town	44	30	13	5	12	35	38	-3
07 Cardiff Draconians FC	40	30	12	4	14	50	48	2
08 Llantwit Major	38	31	9	11	11	44	47	-3
09 Treowen Stars	37	30	10	7	13	51	63	-12
10 Newport City	37	30	9	10	11	36	48	-12
11 Pontypridd	34	30	9	7	14	46	51	-5
12 Afan Lido	30	30	9	3	18	32	57	-25
13 Trey Thomas Drossel	29	30	6	11	13	45	62	-17
14 Baglan Dragons	25	30	5	10	15	26	52	-26
15 Ynyshir Albions	23	30	5	8	17	27	56	-29
16 Cwmbran Celtic	12	31	1	9	21	25	77	-52

North	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Llandudno	80	30	26	2	2	77	22	55
02 Airbus UK Broughton	75	30	24	3	3	93	22	71
03 Holywell	60	30	18	6	6	78	40	38
04 Newtown AFC	48	30	15	3	12	51	49	2
05 Rhyl FC	46	30	14	4	12	46	55	-9
06 Guilsfield	43	30	13	4	13	50	48	2
07 Mold Alexandra	41	30	12	5	13	38	45	-7
08 Denbigh Town	40	30	12	4	14	52	59	-7
09 Caersws	37	30	11	4	15	46	51	-5
10 Brickfield Rangers	37	60	22	8	30	78	98	-20
11 Holyhead	36	30	10	6	14	44	49	-5
12 Penrhyncoch	35	30	10	5	15	45	53	-8
13 Buckley Town	30	30	9	3	18	50	77	-27
14 Flint Mountain	29	30	9	2	19	39	61	-22
15 Gresford	28	30	8	4	18	47	87	-40
16 Ruthin Town FC	23	30	6	5	19	36	64	-28

Head To Head

26/12/2025 10:00

Trefelin

3 - 0

Caerau Ely

WAL FAWC

18/07/2025 14:30

Caerau Ely

3 - 4

Trefelin

WAL CLC

12/11/2024 15:30

Caerau Ely

2 - 0

Trefelin

WAL FAWC

26/07/2024 14:30

Trefelin

1 - 0

Caerau Ely

WAL FAWC

20/07/2024 09:30

Caerau Ely

2 - 1

Trefelin

WAL CLC

05/01/2024 15:30

Trefelin

3 - 1

Caerau Ely

WAL FAWC

Trefelin

83%

Draw

Caerau Ely

17%

Caerau Ely Last 6 matches

09/01/2026 15:30

Newport City 1 - 1 Caerau Ely

WAL FAWC

02/01/2026 15:00

Caerau Ely 2 - 1 Cardiff Draconians FC

WAL FAWC

26/12/2025 10:00

Trefelin 3 - 0 Caerau Ely

WAL FAWC

20/12/2025 10:00

Caerau Ely 1 - 0 Aberystwyth Town

WAL FAWC

13/12/2025 10:00

Caerau Ely 2 - 1 Llandudno

WALC

28/11/2025 15:30

Carmarthen 1 - 1 Caerau Ely

WAL FAWC

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Trefelin

09/01/2026 15:30

Trefelin 3 - 1 Trey Thomas Drossel

WAL FAWC

30/12/2025 15:30

Afan Lido 0 - 2 Trefelin

WAL FAWC

26/12/2025 10:00

Trefelin 3 - 0 Caerau Ely

WAL FAWC

13/12/2025 10:00

Bangor 1876 2 - 0 Trefelin

WALC

29/11/2025 10:00

Cardiff Draconians FC 3 - 3 Trefelin

WALC

14/11/2025 15:30

Trefelin 2 - 0 Carmarthen

WAL FAWC

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Wales FAW Championship

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Caerau Ely

Trefelin

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.83

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.53

Scored

Avg. per game

1.13

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.33

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 30 matches

YesNo

16 (53%)14 (47%)

In last 30 matches

NoYes

19 (63%)11 (37%)

Caerau Ely

Recent matches

Trefelin

Under /Over

(83%)25 5(17%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(93%)28 2(7%)

Under /Over

(37%)11 19(63%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(43%)13 17(57%)

Under /Over

(53%)16 14(47%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)16 14(47%)

/Yes

(53%)16 14(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(30%)9 21(70%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Caerau Ely

Trefelin

Shots

Caerau Ely

Total shots

13.23 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Trefelin

Total shots

14.83 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Caerau Ely Pass Trefelin

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

55%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

55%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Caerau Ely

Played games

Trefelin

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.40

Clean sheets

0.63

5.87

176

Corners

197

6.57

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

1.57

Offsides

1.47

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Caerau Ely

DISCIPLINARY

Trefelin

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.80

1.63

0.13

0.13

5.43

163

Fouls

200

6.67

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

How We Build the Caerau Ely vs Trefelin Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Caerau Ely vs Trefelin on 16 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Wales FAW Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Caerau Ely vs Trefelin Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Caerau Ely's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Trefelin's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Wales FAW Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Wales FAW Championship standings and the Wales FAW Championship form table to understand exactly where Caerau Ely and Trefelin sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Wales FAW Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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