CA Penarol vs Racing Club Montevideo Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – March 09

CA Penarol

W W W W W

4th place in Apertura

0-2

09/03/2025 18:30

Racing Club Montevideo

W D L D D

6th place in Apertura

Uruguay Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for CA Penarol vs Racing Club Montevideo on March 09, 2025 (kick-off: 18:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full CA Penarol vs Racing Club Montevideo preview before placing for you.

CA Penarol are currently 4th with 27 points after 15 matches.
Racing Club Montevideo sit 6th with 23 points from 15 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: CA Penarol to win with probability 62%.
Head-to-head history favors CA Penarol, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Racing Club Montevideo have no wins, while 4 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

18:30

2025-03-09

CA Penarol vs Racing Club Montevideo - Prediction & Odds

CA Penarol

Racing Club Montevideo

2025-03-09 18:30

STANDINGS UP TO 09/03/2025

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Liverpool URU	32	15	9	5	1	22	9	13
02 Nacional Montevideo	31	15	9	4	2	35	16	19
03 CA Juventud	30	15	9	3	3	23	15	8
04 CA Penarol	27	15	8	3	4	21	17	4
05 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	24	15	7	3	5	17	12	5
06 Racing Club Montevideo	23	15	6	5	4	14	10	4
07 Boston River	22	15	6	4	5	16	17	-1
08 Cerro Largo	21	15	5	6	4	15	16	-1
09 Plaza Colonia	19	15	5	4	6	13	13	0
10 Montevideo City Torque	17	15	4	5	6	16	22	-6
11 Club Atletico Progreso	15	15	3	6	6	17	27	-10
12 Cerro Montevideo	14	15	3	6	6	13	20	-7
13 Danubio FC	12	15	1	9	5	12	17	-5
14 Wanderers FC	12	15	2	6	7	12	17	-5
15 Miramar Misiones FC	12	15	3	3	9	16	24	-8
16 CA River Plate	10	15	2	4	9	10	20	-10

Clausura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	35	15	11	2	2	30	12	18
02 Nacional Montevideo	27	15	8	6	1	25	11	14
03 Montevideo City Torque	27	15	8	3	4	28	17	11
04 Boston River	26	15	6	8	1	26	10	16
05 Cerro Largo	25	15	7	4	4	19	14	5
06 Liverpool URU	25	15	7	4	4	19	16	3
07 Cerro Montevideo	24	15	7	3	5	13	13	0
08 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	23	15	7	2	6	13	16	-3
09 Danubio FC	21	15	6	3	6	18	13	5
10 Club Atletico Progreso	18	15	5	3	7	17	23	-6
11 Racing Club Montevideo	17	15	4	5	6	14	22	-8
12 CA Juventud	16	15	4	4	7	8	13	-5
13 CA River Plate	14	15	3	5	7	12	18	-6
14 Miramar Misiones FC	13	15	3	4	8	17	26	-9
15 Plaza Colonia	8	15	2	2	11	9	26	-17
16 Wanderers FC	7	15	1	4	10	7	25	-18

Torneo Intermedio Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	16	7	5	1	1	15	5	10
02 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	14	7	4	2	1	12	10	2
03 Wanderers FC	12	7	3	3	1	6	5	1
04 Plaza Colonia	8	7	1	5	1	6	7	-1
05 Liverpool URU	8	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2
06 Cerro Montevideo	8	7	2	2	3	7	9	-2
07 CA River Plate	5	7	1	2	4	6	10	-4
08 Cerro Largo	3	7	0	3	4	7	11	-4

Torneo Intermedio Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Nacional Montevideo	21	7	7	0	0	16	6	10
02 CA Juventud	15	7	5	0	2	14	11	3
03 Racing Club Montevideo	13	7	4	1	2	11	6	5
04 Danubio FC	10	7	3	1	3	11	11	0
05 Boston River	7	7	2	1	4	8	12	-4
06 Club Atletico Progreso	6	7	2	0	5	4	10	-6
07 Montevideo City Torque	5	7	1	2	4	10	12	-2
08 Miramar Misiones FC	4	7	1	1	5	2	8	-6

Head To Head

30/09/2024 19:00

CA Penarol

0 - 0

Racing Club Montevideo

URU D1

16/06/2024 17:00

CA Penarol

1 - 1

Racing Club Montevideo

URU D1

16/03/2024 18:30

Racing Club Montevideo

1 - 2

CA Penarol

URU D1

02/12/2023 18:00

CA Penarol

1 - 1

Racing Club Montevideo

URU D1

08/05/2023 19:00

Racing Club Montevideo

0 - 2

CA Penarol

URU D1

17/10/2019 15:00

Racing Club Montevideo

3 - 3

CA Penarol

URU D1

CA Penarol

33%

Draw

67%

Racing Club Montevideo

CA Penarol Last 6 matches

23/02/2025 20:30

CA River Plate 1 - 1 CA Penarol URU D1

15/02/2025 18:30

CA Penarol 1 - 1 Boston River URU D1

09/02/2025 18:30

Nacional Montevideo 1 - 1 CA Penarol URU D1

01/02/2025 19:00

Club Atletico Progreso 1 - 3 CA Penarol URU D1

26/01/2025 19:30

Nacional Montevideo 2 - 1 CA Penarol Uruguay SC

20/01/2025 20:00

Nacional Montevideo 3 - 1 CA Penarol INT CF

Win

17%

Draw

50%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Racing Club Montevideo

05/03/2025 18:00

Racing Club Montevideo 0 - 0 Wanderers FC CON CSA

21/02/2025 16:00

Racing Club Montevideo 3 - 1 Montevideo City Torque URU D1

15/02/2025 20:45

Defensor Sporting Montevideo 2 - 0 Racing Club Montevideo URU D1

08/02/2025 16:00

Racing Club Montevideo 0 - 1 Cerro Montevideo URU D1

02/02/2025 20:45

Wanderers FC 0 - 0 Racing Club Montevideo URU D1

21/01/2025 19:00

Racing Club Montevideo 0 - 0 Colon de Santa Fe INT CF

Win

17%

Draw

50%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uruguay Primera Divisi...

Played games

CA Penarol

Racing Club Montevideo

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.85

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.80

Scored

Avg. per game

0.89

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.89

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 20 home matches

YesNo

17 (85%)3 (15%)

In last 20 home matches

NoYes

12 (63%)7 (37%)

CA Penarol

Recent matches

Racing Club Montevideo

Under /Over

(90%)18 2(10%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(53%)10 9(47%)

Under /Over

(30%)6 14(70%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(11%)2 17(89%)

Under /Over

(45%)9 11(55%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(37%)7 12(63%)

/Yes

(35%)7 13(65%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(42%)8 11(58%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

CA Penarol

Racing Club Montevideo

Shots

CA Penarol

Total shots

9.40 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Racing Club Montevideo

Total shots

7.74 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

CA Penarol Pass Racing Club Montevideo

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

56%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

CA Penarol

2088

Avg. 104.40 / game

Racing Club Montevideo

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Racing Club Montevideo

1208

Avg. 63.58 / game

OTHERS

CA Penarol

Played games

Racing Club Montevideo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.50

Clean sheets

0.37

4.70

Corners

4.21

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

0.05

Offsides

0.00

0.85

GK saves

1.58

CA Penarol

DISCIPLINARY

Racing Club Montevideo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.50

2.47

0.05

0.32

0.20

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the CA Penarol vs Racing Club Montevideo Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for CA Penarol vs Racing Club Montevideo on 09 March 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

CA Penarol vs Racing Club Montevideo Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess CA Penarol's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Racing Club Montevideo's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Primera Division standings and the Uruguay Primera Division form table to understand exactly where CA Penarol and Racing Club Montevideo sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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