CA Penarol vs Racing Club Montevideo: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 30 September

CA Penarol

W W W W W

1st place in Autumn

0-0

30/09/2024 19:00

Racing Club Montevideo

W L W D W

3rd place in Autumn

Uruguay Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for CA Penarol vs Racing Club Montevideo on 30 September 2024 (kick-off: 19:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full CA Penarol vs Racing Club Montevideo preview before placing your bet.

CA Penarol are currently 1st with 38 points after 15 matches.
Racing Club Montevideo sit 3rd with 27 points from 15 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: CA Penarol to win with probability 57%.
Head-to-head history favors CA Penarol, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Racing Club Montevideo have no wins, while 4 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

19:00

2024-09-30

CA Penarol vs Racing Club Montevideo - Prediction & Odds

CA Penarol

Racing Club Montevideo

2024-09-30 19:00

STANDINGS UP TO 30/09/2024

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	38	15	12	2	1	32	5	27
02 Nacional Montevideo	36	15	11	3	1	37	11	26
03 Racing Club Montevideo	27	15	7	6	2	16	10	6
04 Boston River	26	15	8	2	5	19	15	4
05 Danubio FC	25	15	6	7	2	14	7	7
06 Cerro Largo	22	15	6	4	5	15	11	4
07 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	20	15	5	5	5	17	17	0
08 Miramar Misiones FC	19	15	4	7	4	11	15	-4
09 Liverpool URU	18	15	4	6	5	15	16	-1
10 CA River Plate	18	15	5	3	7	15	20	-5
11 Wanderers FC	17	15	4	5	6	15	20	-5
12 Rampla Juniors FC	16	15	4	4	7	12	19	-7
13 Centro Atletico Fenix	14	15	4	2	9	14	28	-14
14 Cerro Montevideo	12	15	2	6	7	9	20	-11
15 Deportivo Maldonado	9	15	2	3	10	12	24	-12
16 Club Atletico Progreso	8	15	1	5	9	9	24	-15

Torneo Intermedio Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	14	7	4	2	1	10	5	5
02 Wanderers FC	13	7	4	1	2	11	9	2
03 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	11	7	3	2	2	7	5	2
04 Centro Atletico Fenix	10	7	3	1	3	10	9	1
05 CA River Plate	8	7	2	2	3	8	9	-1
06 Club Atletico Progreso	8	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3
07 Racing Club Montevideo	6	7	1	3	3	8	10	-2
08 Deportivo Maldonado	6	7	1	3	3	5	9	-4

Torneo Intermedio Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Nacional Montevideo	16	7	5	1	1	18	5	13
02 Danubio FC	14	7	4	2	1	11	11	0
03 Cerro Largo	11	7	3	2	2	6	7	-1
04 Cerro Montevideo	10	7	3	1	3	8	5	3
05 Miramar Misiones FC	10	7	3	1	3	7	10	-3
06 Rampla Juniors FC	8	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4
07 Boston River	7	7	2	1	4	6	8	-2
08 Liverpool URU	3	7	1	0	6	4	10	-6

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	41	15	13	2	0	31	7	24
02 Nacional Montevideo	34	15	10	4	1	31	16	15
03 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	28	15	8	4	3	31	17	14
04 Boston River	27	15	8	3	4	21	17	4
05 Club Atletico Progreso	24	15	7	3	5	25	25	0
06 Cerro Largo	21	15	6	3	6	16	16	0
07 Racing Club Montevideo	19	15	5	4	6	22	22	0
08 Liverpool URU	18	15	4	6	5	22	24	-2
09 Wanderers FC	18	15	5	3	7	15	20	-5
10 Cerro Montevideo	17	15	4	5	6	19	25	-6
11 Deportivo Maldonado	15	15	4	3	8	14	19	-5
12 Rampla Juniors FC	15	15	4	3	8	15	27	-12
13 CA River Plate	14	15	3	5	7	20	25	-5
14 Danubio FC	14	15	3	5	7	13	19	-6
15 Centro Atletico Fenix	13	15	3	4	8	11	17	-6
16 Miramar Misiones FC	11	15	2	5	8	18	28	-10

Head To Head

16/06/2024 17:00

CA Penarol

1 - 1

Racing Club Montevideo

URU D1

16/03/2024 18:30

Racing Club Montevideo

1 - 2

CA Penarol

URU D1

02/12/2023 18:00

CA Penarol

1 - 1

Racing Club Montevideo

URU D1

08/05/2023 19:00

Racing Club Montevideo

0 - 2

CA Penarol

URU D1

17/10/2019 15:00

Racing Club Montevideo

3 - 3

CA Penarol

URU D1

23/03/2019 18:00

CA Penarol

2 - 2

Racing Club Montevideo

URU D1

CA Penarol

33%

Draw

67%

Racing Club Montevideo

CA Penarol Last 6 matches

26/09/2024 18:00

CA Penarol 0 - 0 Flamengo CON CLA

22/09/2024 18:00

Cerro Montevideo 0 - 5 CA Penarol URU D1

19/09/2024 18:00

Flamengo 0 - 1 CA Penarol CON CLA

14/09/2024 18:30

CA Penarol 4 - 0 Rampla Juniors FC URU D1

11/09/2024 19:00

Piriapolis FC 3 - 0 CA Penarol U Cup

07/09/2024 17:00

Miramar Misiones FC 1 - 2 CA Penarol URU D1

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Racing Club Montevideo

21/09/2024 15:00

Racing Club Montevideo 1 - 0 Club Atletico Progreso URU D1

18/09/2024 19:30

Bristol de Mercedes 1 - 1 Racing Club Montevideo U Cup

13/09/2024 18:30

Defensor Sporting Montevideo 1 - 2 Racing Club Montevideo URU D1

07/09/2024 11:30

Racing Club Montevideo 0 - 1 Wanderers FC URU D1

17/08/2024 13:00

Liverpool URU 1 - 1 Racing Club Montevideo URU D1

29/07/2024 14:00

CA River Plate 2 - 2 Racing Club Montevideo URU D1

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uruguay Primera Divisi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

CA Penarol

Racing Club Montevideo

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.76

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.32

Scored

Avg. per game

0.65

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.54

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 38 matches

YesNo

21 (55%)17 (45%)

In last 38 matches

NoYes

20 (54%)17 (46%)

CA Penarol

Recent matches

Racing Club Montevideo

Under /Over

(79%)30 8(21%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(68%)25 12(32%)

Under /Over

(26%)10 28(74%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(35%)13 24(65%)

Under /Over

(34%)13 25(66%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(30%)11 26(70%)

/Yes

(37%)14 24(63%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(54%)20 17(46%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

CA Penarol

Racing Club Montevideo

Shots

CA Penarol

Total shots

8.32 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Racing Club Montevideo

Total shots

7.65 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

CA Penarol Pass Racing Club Montevideo

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

CA Penarol

3781

Avg. 99.50 / game

Racing Club Montevideo

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Racing Club Montevideo

2202

Avg. 59.51 / game

OTHERS

CA Penarol

Played games

Racing Club Montevideo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.61

Clean sheets

0.32

4.76

181

Corners

169

4.57

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

1.68

GK saves

1.70

CA Penarol

DISCIPLINARY

Racing Club Montevideo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.95

2.32

0.13

0.05

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Racing Club Montevideo

Boston River

URU

How We Build the CA Penarol vs Racing Club Montevideo Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for CA Penarol vs Racing Club Montevideo on 30 September 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

CA Penarol vs Racing Club Montevideo Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess CA Penarol's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Racing Club Montevideo's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Primera Division standings and the Uruguay Primera Division form table to understand exactly where CA Penarol and Racing Club Montevideo sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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