CA Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 22 February

CA Penarol

W L D L D

4th place in Apertura

2-1

22/02/2026 19:30

Deportivo Maldonado

W W D L W

2nd place in Apertura

Uruguay Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for CA Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado on 22 February 2026 (kick-off: 19:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full CA Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado preview before placing your bet.

CA Penarol are currently 4th with 27 points after 15 matches.
Deportivo Maldonado sit 2nd with 29 points from 15 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: CA Penarol to win with probability 60%.
Head-to-head history favors CA Penarol, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Deportivo Maldonado have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

19:30

2026-02-22

CA Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado - Prediction & Odds

CA Penarol

Deportivo Maldonado

2026-02-22 19:30

STANDINGS UP TO 22/02/2026

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Racing Club Montevideo	31	15	9	4	2	23	14	9
02 Deportivo Maldonado	29	15	9	2	4	24	16	8
03 Albion FC	28	15	8	4	3	26	16	10
04 CA Penarol	27	15	8	3	4	23	16	7
05 Central Espanol	24	15	7	3	5	23	22	1
06 Montevideo City Torque	23	15	6	5	4	22	16	6
07 Nacional Montevideo	22	15	7	1	7	26	21	5
08 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	21	15	5	6	4	13	11	2
09 Liverpool URU	20	15	5	5	5	20	18	2
10 Wanderers FC	20	15	6	2	7	16	21	-5
11 Danubio FC	18	15	4	6	5	17	21	-4
12 Cerro Largo	17	15	5	2	8	16	19	-3
13 Boston River	17	15	5	2	8	14	20	-6
14 CA Juventud	15	15	4	3	8	17	22	-5
15 Club Atletico Progreso	10	15	2	4	9	12	23	-11
16 Cerro Montevideo	10	15	2	4	9	8	24	-16

Torneo Intermedio Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	16	7	5	1	1	12	3	9
02 Cerro Largo	11	7	3	2	2	7	5	2
03 Racing Club Montevideo	10	7	2	4	1	4	3	1
04 Liverpool URU	9	7	2	3	2	5	5	0
05 Central Espanol	9	7	2	3	2	4	4	0
06 Cerro Montevideo	9	6	3	0	3	5	8	-3
07 Boston River	5	7	1	2	4	5	10	-5
08 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	3	6	0	3	3	4	8	-4

Torneo Intermedio Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Wanderers FC	15	7	4	3	0	12	4	8
02 Nacional Montevideo	13	7	4	1	2	8	8	0
03 Deportivo Maldonado	12	7	3	3	1	12	6	6
04 Montevideo City Torque	12	7	4	0	3	11	11	0
05 CA Juventud	8	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3
06 Albion FC	6	7	1	3	3	6	8	-2
07 Club Atletico Progreso	6	7	2	0	5	6	11	-5
08 Danubio FC	4	7	0	4	3	5	9	-4
09 Unknown	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10 Unknown	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Head To Head

11/10/2024 18:00

CA Penarol

2 - 0

Deportivo Maldonado

URU D1

06/07/2024 14:30

CA Penarol

1 - 1

Deportivo Maldonado

URU D1

07/04/2024 17:00

Deportivo Maldonado

1 - 2

CA Penarol

URU D1

13/10/2023 20:00

Deportivo Maldonado

0 - 1

CA Penarol

URU D1

05/03/2023 16:00

CA Penarol

2 - 1

Deportivo Maldonado

URU D1

22/08/2022 18:00

Deportivo Maldonado

1 - 1

CA Penarol

URU D1

CA Penarol

67%

Draw

33%

Deportivo Maldonado

CA Penarol Last 6 matches

15/02/2026 19:30

Central Espanol 2 - 1 CA Penarol URU D1

07/02/2026 19:30

CA Penarol 3 - 1 Montevideo City Torque URU D1

01/02/2026 19:00

CA Penarol 0 - 0 Nacional Montevideo Uruguay SC

23/01/2026 19:30

CA Penarol 2 - 2 Boston River UCL

21/01/2026 20:00

CA Penarol 1 - 1 Colo Colo INT CF

19/01/2026 20:30

CA Penarol 1 - 0 Racing Club Montevideo UCL

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Deportivo Maldonado

14/02/2026 16:00

Deportivo Maldonado 2 - 0 Club Atletico Progreso URU D1

08/02/2026 16:00

Racing Club Montevideo 2 - 4 Deportivo Maldonado URU D1

13/01/2026 20:30

Nacional Montevideo 0 - 0 Deportivo Maldonado UCL

29/11/2025 19:30

CA Atenas 0 - 1 Deportivo Maldonado URU D2

22/11/2025 17:00

Deportivo Maldonado 0 - 0 CA Atenas URU D2

15/11/2025 15:30

Colon CF 0 - 1 Deportivo Maldonado URU D2

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uruguay Primera Divisi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

CA Penarol

Deportivo Maldonado

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.64

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.45

Scored

Avg. per game

0.91

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.50

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 22 matches

YesNo

9 (41%)13 (59%)

In last 22 matches

NoYes

15 (68%)7 (32%)

CA Penarol

Recent matches

Deportivo Maldonado

Under /Over

(77%)17 5(23%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(73%)16 6(27%)

Under /Over

(23%)5 17(77%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(41%)9 13(59%)

Under /Over

(36%)8 14(64%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(32%)7 15(68%)

/Yes

(50%)11 11(50%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(59%)13 9(41%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

CA Penarol

Deportivo Maldonado

Shots

CA Penarol

Total shots

5.95 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Deportivo Maldonado

Total shots

10.14 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

CA Penarol Pass Deportivo Maldonado

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

55%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

CA Penarol

Played games

Deportivo Maldonado

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.36

Clean sheets

0.36

2.64

Corners

4.14

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

GK saves

0.00

CA Penarol

DISCIPLINARY

Deportivo Maldonado

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.27

2.64

0.05

0.09

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the CA Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for CA Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado on 22 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

CA Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess CA Penarol's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Deportivo Maldonado's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Primera Division standings and the Uruguay Primera Division form table to understand exactly where CA Penarol and Deportivo Maldonado sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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