CA Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 05 March

CA Penarol
DLDWD
2nd place in Autumn
2 - 1
FT
05/03/2023 16:00
Deportivo Maldonado
WWWLL
11th place in Autumn
Uruguay Primera Division
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for CA Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado on 05 March 2023 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full CA Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado preview before placing your bet.

  • CA Penarol will face Deportivo Maldonado in Uruguay Primera Division on March 5, 2023 at 16:00.
  • CA Penarol are currently 2nd with 25 points after 15 matches.
  • Deportivo Maldonado sit 11th with 18 points from 15 matches.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
STANDINGS UP TO 05/03/2023
Autumn PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Liverpool URU Liverpool URU
35 15 11 2 2 23 8 15
02 CA Penarol CA Penarol
25 15 6 7 2 19 13 6
03 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo
25 15 7 4 4 16 13 3
04 Nacional Montevideo Nacional Montevideo
24 15 6 6 3 20 17 3
05 Danubio FC Danubio FC
22 15 6 4 5 15 14 1
06 Defensor Sporting Montevideo Defensor Sporting Montevideo
21 15 6 3 6 19 13 6
07 Torque Torque
21 15 6 3 6 21 20 1
08 Boston River Boston River
20 15 6 2 7 17 16 1
09 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia
19 15 4 7 4 13 15 -2
10 CA River Plate CA River Plate
19 15 5 4 6 9 14 -5
11 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado
18 15 5 3 7 14 19 -5
12 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo
17 15 4 5 6 14 17 -3
13 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix
16 15 3 7 5 11 15 -4
14 Cerro Montevideo Cerro Montevideo
15 15 3 6 6 12 15 -3
15 Wanderers FC Wanderers FC
15 15 4 3 8 13 21 -8
16 La Luz La Luz
13 15 3 4 8 13 19 -6
Torneo Intermedio Group A PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Defensor Sporting Montevideo Defensor Sporting Montevideo
14 7 4 2 1 11 5 6
02 Wanderers FC Wanderers FC
12 7 3 3 1 10 6 4
03 Danubio FC Danubio FC
11 7 3 2 2 6 4 2
04 CA Penarol CA Penarol
10 7 3 1 3 9 9 0
05 Boston River Boston River
9 7 3 0 4 8 7 1
06 CA River Plate CA River Plate
9 7 2 3 2 5 7 -2
07 Torque Torque
8 7 2 2 3 8 8 0
08 La Luz La Luz
4 7 1 1 5 6 17 -11
Torneo Intermedio Group B PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Liverpool URU Liverpool URU
16 7 5 1 1 15 8 7
02 Cerro Montevideo Cerro Montevideo
12 7 3 3 1 6 4 2
03 Nacional Montevideo Nacional Montevideo
11 7 3 2 2 12 8 4
04 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo
10 7 3 1 3 12 12 0
05 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix
9 7 2 3 2 7 5 2
06 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo
8 7 2 2 3 8 9 -1
07 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado
5 7 1 2 4 7 13 -6
08 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia
4 7 0 4 3 9 17 -8
League PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 CA Penarol CA Penarol
34 15 10 4 1 25 11 14
02 Nacional Montevideo Nacional Montevideo
29 15 8 5 2 28 11 17
03 Defensor Sporting Montevideo Defensor Sporting Montevideo
25 15 6 7 2 27 14 13
04 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo
25 15 6 7 2 13 10 3
05 Liverpool URU Liverpool URU
23 15 6 5 4 24 19 5
06 Wanderers FC Wanderers FC
23 15 6 5 4 16 12 4
07 CA River Plate CA River Plate
20 15 5 5 5 17 19 -2
08 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado
20 15 5 5 5 18 23 -5
09 La Luz La Luz
19 15 5 4 6 23 27 -4
10 Cerro Montevideo Cerro Montevideo
16 15 3 7 5 13 16 -3
11 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia
16 15 4 4 7 15 25 -10
12 Danubio FC Danubio FC
15 15 3 6 6 20 19 1
13 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo
15 15 3 6 6 13 17 -4
14 Torque Torque
14 15 3 5 7 15 24 -9
15 Boston River Boston River
12 15 2 6 7 15 23 -8
16 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix
12 15 3 3 9 11 23 -12
Head To Head
22/08/2022 18:00
Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado
1 - 1
CA Penarol CA Penarol
URU D1
19/06/2022 16:30
Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado
1 - 3
CA Penarol CA Penarol
URU D1
19/03/2022 17:00
CA Penarol CA Penarol
1 - 1
Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado
URU D1
17/10/2021 14:30
Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado
1 - 0
CA Penarol CA Penarol
URU D1
20/06/2021 14:55
CA Penarol CA Penarol
4 - 0
Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado
URU D1
11/02/2021 19:00
CA Penarol CA Penarol
1 - 1
Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado
URU D1
Deportivo Maldonado
2
33%
Draw
3
50%
CA Penarol
1
17%
CA Penarol CA Penarol Last 6 matches
19/02/2023 20:00
CA Penarol 1 - 0 Boston River
URU D1
13/02/2023 20:00
La Luz 3 - 4 CA Penarol
URU D1
04/02/2023 16:00
CA Penarol 2 - 0 Cerro Montevideo
URU D1
23/01/2023 19:30
Nacional Montevideo 2 - 2 CA Penarol
INT CF
20/01/2023 20:30
CA Penarol 0 - 0 Club Atlético Unión
INT CF
17/01/2023 19:00
CA Penarol 1 - 0 San Lorenzo
INT CF
Win
67%
Draw
33%
Lost
0%
Last 6 matches Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado
23/02/2023 20:00
Deportivo Maldonado 0 - 0 Fortaleza
CON CLA
18/02/2023 16:00
Cerro Montevideo 0 - 0 Deportivo Maldonado
URU D1
11/02/2023 18:30
Deportivo Maldonado 1 - 1 Racing Club Montevideo
URU D1
06/02/2023 18:00
Plaza Colonia 0 - 1 Deportivo Maldonado
URU D1
22/01/2023 16:30
Barracas Central 1 - 2 Deportivo Maldonado
INT CF
18/01/2023 17:15
Deportivo Maldonado 2 - 1 Independiente Jose Teran
INT CF
Win
50%
Draw
50%
Lost
0%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Uruguay Primera Divisi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
CA Penarol
CA Penarol
40
 Deportivo Maldonado
Deportivo Maldonado
37
Goals
Scored
32
Avg. per game
0.80
Conceded
19
Avg. per game
0.48
Scored
18
Avg. per game
0.49
Conceded
35
Avg. per game
0.95
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
2 (33%)4 (67%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
4 (67%)2 (33%)
In last 40 matches
YesNo
25 (63%)15 (38%)
In last 40 matches
NoYes
14 (38%)23 (62%)
CA Penarol

CA Penarol

Recent matches

Deportivo Maldonado

Deportivo Maldonado

Under /Over

(65%)26 14(35%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(70%)26 11(30%)

Under /Over

(28%)11 29(72%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(30%)11 26(70%)

Under /Over

(30%)12 28(70%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(43%)16 21(57%)

/Yes

(45%)18 22(55%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(49%)18 19(51%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
CA Penarol CA Penarol
Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado
Shots
CA Penarol
CA Penarol
Total shots
7.80 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Deportivo Maldonado
Deportivo Maldonado
Total shots
8.36 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
CA Penarol CA Penarol Pass Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
56%
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
49%
TOTAL ATTACKS
CA Penarol
CA Penarol
4089
Avg. 102.23 / game
 Deportivo Maldonado
Deportivo Maldonado
3513
Avg. 94.95 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
CA Penarol
CA Penarol
2637
Avg. 65.93 / game
 Deportivo Maldonado
Deportivo Maldonado
2191
Avg. 59.22 / game
OTHERS
CA Penarol
CA Penarol
40
Played games
Deportivo Maldonado
Deportivo Maldonado
37
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.43
17
Clean sheets
11
0.30
4.93
197
Corners
165
4.46
0.00
0
Throw-ins
0
0.00
0.03
1
Offsides
1
0.03
0.63
25
GK saves
55
1.49
CA Penarol
CA Penarol
DISCIPLINARY
Deportivo Maldonado
Deportivo Maldonado
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
2.30
92
Yellow card
88
2.38
0.13
5
Red card
4
0.11
0.60
24
Fouls
32
0.86
0.00
0
Tackles
0
0.00
NEXT MATCHES
08/01
CA Penarol CA Penarol
VS
Cerro Largo Cerro Largo
URU
NEXT MATCHES
08/01
Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado
VS
CA Juventud CA Juventud
URU

How We Build the CA Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for CA Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado on 05 March 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

CA Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess CA Penarol's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Deportivo Maldonado's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Primera Division standings and the Uruguay Primera Division form table to understand exactly where CA Penarol and Deportivo Maldonado sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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