CA Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 05 March

CA Penarol

D L D W D

2nd place in Autumn

2 - 1

05/03/2023 16:00

Deportivo Maldonado

W W W L L

11th place in Autumn

Uruguay Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for CA Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado on 05 March 2023 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full CA Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado preview before placing your bet.

CA Penarol are currently 2nd with 25 points after 15 matches.
Deportivo Maldonado sit 11th with 18 points from 15 matches.
Head-to-head history favors CA Penarol, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Deportivo Maldonado have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 05/03/2023

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Liverpool URU	35	15	11	2	2	23	8	15
02 CA Penarol	25	15	6	7	2	19	13	6
03 Racing Club Montevideo	25	15	7	4	4	16	13	3
04 Nacional Montevideo	24	15	6	6	3	20	17	3
05 Danubio FC	22	15	6	4	5	15	14	1
06 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	21	15	6	3	6	19	13	6
07 Torque	21	15	6	3	6	21	20	1
08 Boston River	20	15	6	2	7	17	16	1
09 Plaza Colonia	19	15	4	7	4	13	15	-2
10 CA River Plate	19	15	5	4	6	9	14	-5
11 Deportivo Maldonado	18	15	5	3	7	14	19	-5
12 Cerro Largo	17	15	4	5	6	14	17	-3
13 Centro Atletico Fenix	16	15	3	7	5	11	15	-4
14 Cerro Montevideo	15	15	3	6	6	12	15	-3
15 Wanderers FC	15	15	4	3	8	13	21	-8
16 La Luz	13	15	3	4	8	13	19	-6

Torneo Intermedio Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	14	7	4	2	1	11	5	6
02 Wanderers FC	12	7	3	3	1	10	6	4
03 Danubio FC	11	7	3	2	2	6	4	2
04 CA Penarol	10	7	3	1	3	9	9	0
05 Boston River	9	7	3	0	4	8	7	1
06 CA River Plate	9	7	2	3	2	5	7	-2
07 Torque	8	7	2	2	3	8	8	0
08 La Luz	4	7	1	1	5	6	17	-11

Torneo Intermedio Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Liverpool URU	16	7	5	1	1	15	8	7
02 Cerro Montevideo	12	7	3	3	1	6	4	2
03 Nacional Montevideo	11	7	3	2	2	12	8	4
04 Racing Club Montevideo	10	7	3	1	3	12	12	0
05 Centro Atletico Fenix	9	7	2	3	2	7	5	2
06 Cerro Largo	8	7	2	2	3	8	9	-1
07 Deportivo Maldonado	5	7	1	2	4	7	13	-6
08 Plaza Colonia	4	7	0	4	3	9	17	-8

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	34	15	10	4	1	25	11	14
02 Nacional Montevideo	29	15	8	5	2	28	11	17
03 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	25	15	6	7	2	27	14	13
04 Cerro Largo	25	15	6	7	2	13	10	3
05 Liverpool URU	23	15	6	5	4	24	19	5
06 Wanderers FC	23	15	6	5	4	16	12	4
07 CA River Plate	20	15	5	5	5	17	19	-2
08 Deportivo Maldonado	20	15	5	5	5	18	23	-5
09 La Luz	19	15	5	4	6	23	27	-4
10 Cerro Montevideo	16	15	3	7	5	13	16	-3
11 Plaza Colonia	16	15	4	4	7	15	25	-10
12 Danubio FC	15	15	3	6	6	20	19	1
13 Racing Club Montevideo	15	15	3	6	6	13	17	-4
14 Torque	14	15	3	5	7	15	24	-9
15 Boston River	12	15	2	6	7	15	23	-8
16 Centro Atletico Fenix	12	15	3	3	9	11	23	-12

Head To Head

22/08/2022 18:00

Deportivo Maldonado

1 - 1

CA Penarol

URU D1

19/06/2022 16:30

Deportivo Maldonado

1 - 3

CA Penarol

URU D1

19/03/2022 17:00

CA Penarol

1 - 1

Deportivo Maldonado

URU D1

17/10/2021 14:30

Deportivo Maldonado

1 - 0

CA Penarol

URU D1

20/06/2021 14:55

CA Penarol

4 - 0

Deportivo Maldonado

URU D1

11/02/2021 19:00

CA Penarol

1 - 1

Deportivo Maldonado

URU D1

CA Penarol

33%

Draw

50%

Deportivo Maldonado

17%

CA Penarol Last 6 matches

19/02/2023 20:00

CA Penarol 1 - 0 Boston River URU D1

13/02/2023 20:00

La Luz 3 - 4 CA Penarol URU D1

04/02/2023 16:00

CA Penarol 2 - 0 Cerro Montevideo URU D1

23/01/2023 19:30

Nacional Montevideo 2 - 2 CA Penarol INT CF

20/01/2023 20:30

CA Penarol 0 - 0 Club Atlético Unión INT CF

17/01/2023 19:00

CA Penarol 1 - 0 San Lorenzo INT CF

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Last 6 matches Deportivo Maldonado

23/02/2023 20:00

Deportivo Maldonado 0 - 0 Fortaleza CON CLA

18/02/2023 16:00

Cerro Montevideo 0 - 0 Deportivo Maldonado URU D1

11/02/2023 18:30

Deportivo Maldonado 1 - 1 Racing Club Montevideo URU D1

06/02/2023 18:00

Plaza Colonia 0 - 1 Deportivo Maldonado URU D1

22/01/2023 16:30

Barracas Central 1 - 2 Deportivo Maldonado INT CF

18/01/2023 17:15

Deportivo Maldonado 2 - 1 Independiente Jose Teran INT CF

Win

50%

Draw

50%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uruguay Primera Divisi...

Played games

Goals

Scored

440

Avg. per game

1.47

Conceded

252

Avg. per game

0.84

Scored

260

Avg. per game

1.12

Conceded

291

Avg. per game

1.25

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

227 (76%)73 (24%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

159 (68%)74 (32%)

CA Penarol

Recent matches

Deportivo Maldonado

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

/Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

CA Penarol

Deportivo Maldonado

Shots

CA Penarol

Total shots

8.86 avg / game

Blocked

81 total

Avg. 2.89

Deportivo Maldonado

Total shots

8.11 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

CA Penarol Pass Deportivo Maldonado

Total passes

14455

Avg. 329 / game

Accurate

66%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

290

Avg. 290 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

CA Penarol

300

Played games

Deportivo Maldonado

233

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.45

135

Clean sheets

0.27

4.57

1370

Corners

946

4.06

1.57

472

Throw-ins

0.00

0.29

Offsides

0.02

1.41

424

GK saves

341

1.46

CA Penarol

DISCIPLINARY

Deportivo Maldonado

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.03

609

586

2.52

0.10

0.12

2.13

638

Fouls

0.18

2.42

725

Tackles

0.11

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the CA Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for CA Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado on 05 March 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

CA Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess CA Penarol's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Deportivo Maldonado's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Primera Division standings and the Uruguay Primera Division form table to understand exactly where CA Penarol and Deportivo Maldonado sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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