CA Penarol vs Danubio FC: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 05 October

CA Penarol
WWWWW
4th place in Apertura
1
2-0
FT
05/10/2025 17:00
Danubio FC
LLLLD
13th place in Apertura
Uruguay Primera Division
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for CA Penarol vs Danubio FC on 05 October 2025 (kick-off: 17:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full CA Penarol vs Danubio FC preview before placing your bet.

  • CA Penarol will face Danubio FC in Uruguay Primera Division on October 5, 2025 at 17:00.
  • CA Penarol are currently 4th with 27 points after 15 matches.
  • Danubio FC sit 13th with 12 points from 15 matches.
  • Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 1.40.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
17:00

2025-10-05

CA Penarol vs Danubio FC - Prediction & Odds

CA Penarol
CA Penarol
Danubio FC
Danubio FC
2025-10-05 17:00
62
23
15
1
2 - 1
2 - 1
2.25
1.40
FT
2-0 0-0
-
weather
23℃～24℃
STANDINGS UP TO 05/10/2025
Apertura PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Liverpool URU Liverpool URU
32 15 9 5 1 22 9 13
02 Nacional Montevideo Nacional Montevideo
31 15 9 4 2 35 16 19
03 CA Juventud CA Juventud
30 15 9 3 3 23 15 8
04 CA Penarol CA Penarol
27 15 8 3 4 21 17 4
05 Defensor Sporting Montevideo Defensor Sporting Montevideo
24 15 7 3 5 17 12 5
06 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo
23 15 6 5 4 14 10 4
07 Boston River Boston River
22 15 6 4 5 16 17 -1
08 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo
21 15 5 6 4 15 16 -1
09 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia
19 15 5 4 6 13 13 0
10 Montevideo City Torque Montevideo City Torque
17 15 4 5 6 16 22 -6
11 Club Atletico Progreso Club Atletico Progreso
15 15 3 6 6 17 27 -10
12 Cerro Montevideo Cerro Montevideo
14 15 3 6 6 13 20 -7
13 Danubio FC Danubio FC
12 15 1 9 5 12 17 -5
14 Wanderers FC Wanderers FC
12 15 2 6 7 12 17 -5
15 Miramar Misiones FC Miramar Misiones FC
12 15 3 3 9 16 24 -8
16 CA River Plate CA River Plate
10 15 2 4 9 10 20 -10
Clausura PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 CA Penarol CA Penarol
35 15 11 2 2 30 12 18
02 Nacional Montevideo Nacional Montevideo
27 15 8 6 1 25 11 14
03 Montevideo City Torque Montevideo City Torque
27 15 8 3 4 28 17 11
04 Boston River Boston River
26 15 6 8 1 26 10 16
05 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo
25 15 7 4 4 19 14 5
06 Liverpool URU Liverpool URU
25 15 7 4 4 19 16 3
07 Cerro Montevideo Cerro Montevideo
24 15 7 3 5 13 13 0
08 Defensor Sporting Montevideo Defensor Sporting Montevideo
23 15 7 2 6 13 16 -3
09 Danubio FC Danubio FC
21 15 6 3 6 18 13 5
10 Club Atletico Progreso Club Atletico Progreso
18 15 5 3 7 17 23 -6
11 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo
17 15 4 5 6 14 22 -8
12 CA Juventud CA Juventud
16 15 4 4 7 8 13 -5
13 CA River Plate CA River Plate
14 15 3 5 7 12 18 -6
14 Miramar Misiones FC Miramar Misiones FC
13 15 3 4 8 17 26 -9
15 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia
8 15 2 2 11 9 26 -17
16 Wanderers FC Wanderers FC
7 15 1 4 10 7 25 -18
Torneo Intermedio Group A PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 CA Penarol CA Penarol
16 7 5 1 1 15 5 10
02 Defensor Sporting Montevideo Defensor Sporting Montevideo
14 7 4 2 1 12 10 2
03 Wanderers FC Wanderers FC
12 7 3 3 1 6 5 1
04 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia
8 7 1 5 1 6 7 -1
05 Liverpool URU Liverpool URU
8 7 2 2 3 10 12 -2
06 Cerro Montevideo Cerro Montevideo
8 7 2 2 3 7 9 -2
07 CA River Plate CA River Plate
5 7 1 2 4 6 10 -4
08 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo
3 7 0 3 4 7 11 -4
Torneo Intermedio Group B PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Nacional Montevideo Nacional Montevideo
21 7 7 0 0 16 6 10
02 CA Juventud CA Juventud
15 7 5 0 2 14 11 3
03 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo
13 7 4 1 2 11 6 5
04 Danubio FC Danubio FC
10 7 3 1 3 11 11 0
05 Boston River Boston River
7 7 2 1 4 8 12 -4
06 Club Atletico Progreso Club Atletico Progreso
6 7 2 0 5 4 10 -6
07 Montevideo City Torque Montevideo City Torque
5 7 1 2 4 10 12 -2
08 Miramar Misiones FC Miramar Misiones FC
4 7 1 1 5 2 8 -6
Head To Head
05/04/2025 15:00
Danubio FC Danubio FC
0 - 1
CA Penarol CA Penarol
URU D1
16/10/2024 14:00
Danubio FC Danubio FC
0 - 1
CA Penarol CA Penarol
URU D1
14/04/2024 17:00
CA Penarol CA Penarol
2 - 0
Danubio FC Danubio FC
URU D1
19/11/2023 15:30
Danubio FC Danubio FC
2 - 1
CA Penarol CA Penarol
URU D1
08/07/2023 14:00
Danubio FC Danubio FC
1 - 0
CA Penarol CA Penarol
URU D1
15/04/2023 14:30
CA Penarol CA Penarol
2 - 0
Danubio FC Danubio FC
URU D1
Danubio FC
4
67%
Draw
0
0%
CA Penarol
2
33%
CA Penarol CA Penarol Last 6 matches
27/09/2025 17:00
Cerro Largo 1 - 3 CA Penarol
URU D1
24/09/2025 19:30
Tacuarembo 1 - 2 CA Penarol
U Cup
21/09/2025 17:30
CA Penarol 1 - 0 CA Juventud
URU D1
13/09/2025 14:30
Liverpool URU 2 - 2 CA Penarol
URU D1
10/09/2025 19:30
CA Penarol 2 - 1 Liverpool URU
U Cup
06/09/2025 17:00
CA Penarol 1 - 0 Plaza Colonia
URU D1
Win
83%
Draw
17%
Lost
0%
Last 6 matches Danubio FC Danubio FC
28/09/2025 12:30
Danubio FC 2 - 0 Montevideo City Torque
URU D1
19/09/2025 19:00
Defensor Sporting Montevideo 2 - 1 Danubio FC
URU D1
14/09/2025 14:30
Danubio FC 5 - 1 Cerro Montevideo
URU D1
06/09/2025 14:30
Wanderers FC 0 - 2 Danubio FC
URU D1
31/08/2025 12:00
Danubio FC 2 - 3 Miramar Misiones FC
URU D1
24/08/2025 09:30
Club Atletico Progreso 1 - 0 Danubio FC
URU D1
Win
50%
Draw
0%
Lost
50%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Uruguay Primera Divisi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
CA Penarol
CA Penarol
41
 Danubio FC
Danubio FC
37
Goals
Scored
41
Avg. per game
1.00
Conceded
17
Avg. per game
0.41
Scored
17
Avg. per game
0.46
Conceded
27
Avg. per game
0.73
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
2 (33%)4 (67%)
In last 41 matches
YesNo
30 (73%)11 (27%)
In last 41 matches
NoYes
15 (41%)22 (59%)
CA Penarol

CA Penarol

Recent matches

Danubio FC

Danubio FC

Under /Over

(80%)33 8(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(68%)25 12(32%)

Under /Over

(32%)13 28(68%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(35%)13 24(65%)

Under /Over

(44%)18 23(56%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(35%)13 24(65%)

/Yes

(46%)19 22(54%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)19 18(49%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
CA Penarol CA Penarol
Danubio FC Danubio FC
Shots
CA Penarol
CA Penarol
Total shots
9.73 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Danubio FC
Danubio FC
Total shots
7.27 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
CA Penarol CA Penarol Pass Danubio FC Danubio FC
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
54%
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
50%
TOTAL ATTACKS
CA Penarol
CA Penarol
4271
Avg. 104.17 / game
 Danubio FC
Danubio FC
3581
Avg. 96.78 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
CA Penarol
CA Penarol
2696
Avg. 65.76 / game
 Danubio FC
Danubio FC
2174
Avg. 58.76 / game
OTHERS
CA Penarol
CA Penarol
41
Played games
Danubio FC
Danubio FC
37
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.41
17
Clean sheets
10
0.27
5.02
206
Corners
182
4.92
0.00
0
Throw-ins
0
0.00
0.02
1
Offsides
2
0.05
1.05
43
GK saves
69
1.86
CA Penarol
CA Penarol
DISCIPLINARY
Danubio FC
Danubio FC
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
2.07
85
Yellow card
83
2.24
0.15
6
Red card
5
0.14
0.10
4
Fouls
15
0.41
0.00
0
Tackles
0
0.00
NEXT MATCHES
07/26
CA Penarol CA Penarol
VS
Cerro Largo Cerro Largo
URU
NEXT MATCHES
07/24
Montevideo City Torque Montevideo City Torque
VS
Danubio FC Danubio FC
URU
07/26
Albion FC Albion FC
VS
Danubio FC Danubio FC
URU

How We Build the CA Penarol vs Danubio FC Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for CA Penarol vs Danubio FC on 05 October 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

CA Penarol vs Danubio FC Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess CA Penarol's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Danubio FC's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Primera Division standings and the Uruguay Primera Division form table to understand exactly where CA Penarol and Danubio FC sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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