CA Penarol vs Danubio FC Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – October 05

CA Penarol

W W W W W

4th place in Apertura

2-0

05/10/2025 17:00

Danubio FC

L L L L D

13th place in Apertura

Uruguay Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for CA Penarol vs Danubio FC on October 05, 2025 (kick-off: 17:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full CA Penarol vs Danubio FC preview before placing for you.

CA Penarol are currently 4th with 27 points after 15 matches.
Danubio FC sit 13th with 12 points from 15 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: CA Penarol to win with probability 62%.
Head-to-head history favors CA Penarol, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Danubio FC have 2 wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

17:00

2025-10-05

CA Penarol vs Danubio FC - Prediction & Odds

CA Penarol

Danubio FC

2025-10-05 17:00

STANDINGS UP TO 05/10/2025

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Liverpool URU	32	15	9	5	1	22	9	13
02 Nacional Montevideo	31	15	9	4	2	35	16	19
03 CA Juventud	30	15	9	3	3	23	15	8
04 CA Penarol	27	15	8	3	4	21	17	4
05 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	24	15	7	3	5	17	12	5
06 Racing Club Montevideo	23	15	6	5	4	14	10	4
07 Boston River	22	15	6	4	5	16	17	-1
08 Cerro Largo	21	15	5	6	4	15	16	-1
09 Plaza Colonia	19	15	5	4	6	13	13	0
10 Montevideo City Torque	17	15	4	5	6	16	22	-6
11 Club Atletico Progreso	15	15	3	6	6	17	27	-10
12 Cerro Montevideo	14	15	3	6	6	13	20	-7
13 Danubio FC	12	15	1	9	5	12	17	-5
14 Wanderers FC	12	15	2	6	7	12	17	-5
15 Miramar Misiones FC	12	15	3	3	9	16	24	-8
16 CA River Plate	10	15	2	4	9	10	20	-10

Clausura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	35	15	11	2	2	30	12	18
02 Nacional Montevideo	27	15	8	6	1	25	11	14
03 Montevideo City Torque	27	15	8	3	4	28	17	11
04 Boston River	26	15	6	8	1	26	10	16
05 Cerro Largo	25	15	7	4	4	19	14	5
06 Liverpool URU	25	15	7	4	4	19	16	3
07 Cerro Montevideo	24	15	7	3	5	13	13	0
08 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	23	15	7	2	6	13	16	-3
09 Danubio FC	21	15	6	3	6	18	13	5
10 Club Atletico Progreso	18	15	5	3	7	17	23	-6
11 Racing Club Montevideo	17	15	4	5	6	14	22	-8
12 CA Juventud	16	15	4	4	7	8	13	-5
13 CA River Plate	14	15	3	5	7	12	18	-6
14 Miramar Misiones FC	13	15	3	4	8	17	26	-9
15 Plaza Colonia	8	15	2	2	11	9	26	-17
16 Wanderers FC	7	15	1	4	10	7	25	-18

Torneo Intermedio Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	16	7	5	1	1	15	5	10
02 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	14	7	4	2	1	12	10	2
03 Wanderers FC	12	7	3	3	1	6	5	1
04 Plaza Colonia	8	7	1	5	1	6	7	-1
05 Liverpool URU	8	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2
06 Cerro Montevideo	8	7	2	2	3	7	9	-2
07 CA River Plate	5	7	1	2	4	6	10	-4
08 Cerro Largo	3	7	0	3	4	7	11	-4

Torneo Intermedio Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Nacional Montevideo	21	7	7	0	0	16	6	10
02 CA Juventud	15	7	5	0	2	14	11	3
03 Racing Club Montevideo	13	7	4	1	2	11	6	5
04 Danubio FC	10	7	3	1	3	11	11	0
05 Boston River	7	7	2	1	4	8	12	-4
06 Club Atletico Progreso	6	7	2	0	5	4	10	-6
07 Montevideo City Torque	5	7	1	2	4	10	12	-2
08 Miramar Misiones FC	4	7	1	1	5	2	8	-6

Head To Head

05/04/2025 15:00

Danubio FC

0 - 1

CA Penarol

URU D1

16/10/2024 14:00

Danubio FC

0 - 1

CA Penarol

URU D1

14/04/2024 17:00

CA Penarol

2 - 0

Danubio FC

URU D1

19/11/2023 15:30

Danubio FC

2 - 1

CA Penarol

URU D1

08/07/2023 14:00

Danubio FC

1 - 0

CA Penarol

URU D1

15/04/2023 14:30

CA Penarol

2 - 0

Danubio FC

URU D1

CA Penarol

67%

Draw

Danubio FC

33%

CA Penarol Last 6 matches

27/09/2025 17:00

Cerro Largo 1 - 3 CA Penarol URU D1

24/09/2025 19:30

Tacuarembo 1 - 2 CA Penarol U Cup

21/09/2025 17:30

CA Penarol 1 - 0 CA Juventud URU D1

13/09/2025 14:30

Liverpool URU 2 - 2 CA Penarol URU D1

10/09/2025 19:30

CA Penarol 2 - 1 Liverpool URU U Cup

06/09/2025 17:00

CA Penarol 1 - 0 Plaza Colonia URU D1

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Last 6 matches Danubio FC

28/09/2025 12:30

Danubio FC 2 - 0 Montevideo City Torque URU D1

19/09/2025 19:00

Defensor Sporting Montevideo 2 - 1 Danubio FC URU D1

14/09/2025 14:30

Danubio FC 5 - 1 Cerro Montevideo URU D1

06/09/2025 14:30

Wanderers FC 0 - 2 Danubio FC URU D1

31/08/2025 12:00

Danubio FC 2 - 3 Miramar Misiones FC URU D1

24/08/2025 09:30

Club Atletico Progreso 1 - 0 Danubio FC URU D1

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uruguay Primera Divisi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

265

Avg. per game

0.88

Conceded

124

Avg. per game

0.41

Scored

135

Avg. per game

0.55

Conceded

151

Avg. per game

0.61

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

0 (0%)6 (100%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

180 (60%)120 (40%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

101 (41%)145 (59%)

CA Penarol

Recent matches

Danubio FC

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

/Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

CA Penarol

Danubio FC

Shots

CA Penarol

Total shots

8.86 avg / game

Blocked

81 total

Avg. 2.89

Danubio FC

Total shots

7.81 avg / game

Blocked

22 total

Avg. 3.67

CA Penarol Pass Danubio FC

Total passes

14455

Avg. 329 / game

Accurate

66%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

4822

Avg. 344 / game

Accurate

61%

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

CA Penarol

300

Played games

Danubio FC

246

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.45

135

Clean sheets

0.35

4.57

1370

Corners

1105

4.49

1.57

472

Throw-ins

0.15

0.29

Offsides

0.09

1.41

424

GK saves

359

1.46

CA Penarol

DISCIPLINARY

Danubio FC

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.03

609

573

2.33

0.10

0.16

2.13

638

Fouls

200

0.81

2.42

725

Tackles

237

0.96

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the CA Penarol vs Danubio FC Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for CA Penarol vs Danubio FC on 05 October 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

CA Penarol vs Danubio FC Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess CA Penarol's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Danubio FC's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Primera Division standings and the Uruguay Primera Division form table to understand exactly where CA Penarol and Danubio FC sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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