CA Penarol vs Cerro Montevideo: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 February

CA Penarol

D L D W D

2nd place in Autumn

2 - 0

04/02/2023 16:00

Cerro Montevideo

D L L D D

14th place in Autumn

Uruguay Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for CA Penarol vs Cerro Montevideo on 04 February 2023 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full CA Penarol vs Cerro Montevideo preview before placing your bet.

CA Penarol will face Cerro Montevideo in Uruguay Primera Division on February 4, 2023 at 16:00.
CA Penarol are currently 2nd with 25 points after 15 matches.
Cerro Montevideo sit 14th with 15 points from 15 matches.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 04/02/2023

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Liverpool URU	35	15	11	2	2	23	8	15
02 CA Penarol	25	15	6	7	2	19	13	6
03 Racing Club Montevideo	25	15	7	4	4	16	13	3
04 Nacional Montevideo	24	15	6	6	3	20	17	3
05 Danubio FC	22	15	6	4	5	15	14	1
06 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	21	15	6	3	6	19	13	6
07 Torque	21	15	6	3	6	21	20	1
08 Boston River	20	15	6	2	7	17	16	1
09 Plaza Colonia	19	15	4	7	4	13	15	-2
10 CA River Plate	19	15	5	4	6	9	14	-5
11 Deportivo Maldonado	18	15	5	3	7	14	19	-5
12 Cerro Largo	17	15	4	5	6	14	17	-3
13 Centro Atletico Fenix	16	15	3	7	5	11	15	-4
14 Cerro Montevideo	15	15	3	6	6	12	15	-3
15 Wanderers FC	15	15	4	3	8	13	21	-8
16 La Luz	13	15	3	4	8	13	19	-6

Torneo Intermedio Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	14	7	4	2	1	11	5	6
02 Wanderers FC	12	7	3	3	1	10	6	4
03 Danubio FC	11	7	3	2	2	6	4	2
04 CA Penarol	10	7	3	1	3	9	9	0
05 Boston River	9	7	3	0	4	8	7	1
06 CA River Plate	9	7	2	3	2	5	7	-2
07 Torque	8	7	2	2	3	8	8	0
08 La Luz	4	7	1	1	5	6	17	-11

Torneo Intermedio Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Liverpool URU	16	7	5	1	1	15	8	7
02 Cerro Montevideo	12	7	3	3	1	6	4	2
03 Nacional Montevideo	11	7	3	2	2	12	8	4
04 Racing Club Montevideo	10	7	3	1	3	12	12	0
05 Centro Atletico Fenix	9	7	2	3	2	7	5	2
06 Cerro Largo	8	7	2	2	3	8	9	-1
07 Deportivo Maldonado	5	7	1	2	4	7	13	-6
08 Plaza Colonia	4	7	0	4	3	9	17	-8

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	34	15	10	4	1	25	11	14
02 Nacional Montevideo	29	15	8	5	2	28	11	17
03 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	25	15	6	7	2	27	14	13
04 Cerro Largo	25	15	6	7	2	13	10	3
05 Liverpool URU	23	15	6	5	4	24	19	5
06 Wanderers FC	23	15	6	5	4	16	12	4
07 CA River Plate	20	15	5	5	5	17	19	-2
08 Deportivo Maldonado	20	15	5	5	5	18	23	-5
09 La Luz	19	15	5	4	6	23	27	-4
10 Cerro Montevideo	16	15	3	7	5	13	16	-3
11 Plaza Colonia	16	15	4	4	7	15	25	-10
12 Danubio FC	15	15	3	6	6	20	19	1
13 Racing Club Montevideo	15	15	3	6	6	13	17	-4
14 Torque	14	15	3	5	7	15	24	-9
15 Boston River	12	15	2	6	7	15	23	-8
16 Centro Atletico Fenix	12	15	3	3	9	11	23	-12

CA Penarol Last 6 matches

19/07/2026 01:55

CA Penarol 3 - 0 Boston River

Liga AUF Uruguaya

13/07/2026 04:30

Racing Club Montevideo 1 - 1 CA Penarol

Liga AUF Uruguaya

08/06/2026 01:00

Cerro Montevideo 0 - 1 CA Penarol

Liga AUF Uruguaya

02/06/2026 06:00

CA Penarol 0 - 1 Central Espanol

Liga AUF Uruguaya

28/05/2026 07:30

CA Penarol 0 - 1 Independiente Santa Fe

Copa Libertadores

25/05/2026 04:30

Defensor Sporting Montevideo 0 - 2 CA Penarol

Liga AUF Uruguaya

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Cerro Montevideo

12/07/2026 22:00

Liverpool URU 1 - 2 Cerro Montevideo

Liga AUF Uruguaya

08/06/2026 01:00

Cerro Montevideo 0 - 1 CA Penarol

Liga AUF Uruguaya

30/05/2026 05:25

Cerro Largo 2 - 0 Cerro Montevideo

Liga AUF Uruguaya

24/05/2026 20:00

Cerro Montevideo 1 - 0 Central Espanol

Liga AUF Uruguaya

16/05/2026 22:00

Boston River 4 - 1 Cerro Montevideo

Liga AUF Uruguaya

11/05/2026 05:25

Nacional Montevideo 4 - 0 Cerro Montevideo

Liga AUF Uruguaya

Win

33%

Draw

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uruguay Primera Divisi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

CA Penarol

Cerro Montevideo

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.80

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.48

Scored

Avg. per game

0.41

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.49

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 40 matches

YesNo

25 (63%)15 (38%)

In last 40 matches

NoYes

15 (41%)22 (59%)

CA Penarol

Recent matches

Cerro Montevideo

Under /Over

(65%)26 14(35%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(59%)22 15(41%)

Under /Over

(28%)11 29(72%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(16%)6 31(84%)

Under /Over

(30%)12 28(70%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(24%)9 28(76%)

/Yes

(45%)18 22(55%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(46%)17 20(54%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

CA Penarol

Cerro Montevideo

Shots

CA Penarol

Total shots

7.80 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Cerro Montevideo

Total shots

5.92 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

CA Penarol Pass Cerro Montevideo

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

56%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

47%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

CA Penarol

Played games

Cerro Montevideo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.43

Clean sheets

0.35

4.93

197

Corners

161

4.35

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

0.03

Offsides

0.03

0.63

GK saves

1.81

CA Penarol

DISCIPLINARY

Cerro Montevideo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.30

104

2.81

0.13

0.14

0.60

Fouls

0.86

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

Racing Club Montevideo

URU

How We Build the CA Penarol vs Cerro Montevideo Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for CA Penarol vs Cerro Montevideo on 04 February 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

CA Penarol vs Cerro Montevideo Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess CA Penarol's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Cerro Montevideo's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Primera Division standings and the Uruguay Primera Division form table to understand exactly where CA Penarol and Cerro Montevideo sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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