Burton Albion vs Derby County: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 26 July

Burton Albion
LWWLL
No standing data
2
2-1
FT
26/07/2025 10:00
Derby County
WWDDW
No standing data
International Club Friendly
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Burton Albion vs Derby County on 26 July 2025 (kick-off: 10:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Burton Albion vs Derby County preview before placing your bet.

  • Our algorithm prediction: Derby County to win with probability 51%.
  • Head-to-head history favors Derby County, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Burton Albion have one win, while one match ended in a draw.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
10:00

2025-07-26

Burton Albion vs Derby County - Prediction & Odds

Burton Albion
Burton Albion
Derby County
Derby County
2025-07-26 10:00
24
25
51
2
2 - 1
2 - 1
2.50
1.76
FT
2-1 1-0
-
weather
STANDINGS UP TO 26/07/2025
The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Burton Albion and Derby County in the International Club Friendly football standings for the 2025 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.
Head To Head
15/01/2024 16:00
Derby County Derby County
3 - 2
Burton Albion Burton Albion
ENG L1
12/08/2023 10:00
Burton Albion Burton Albion
0 - 3
Derby County Derby County
ENG L1
22/04/2023 10:00
Derby County Derby County
1 - 0
Burton Albion Burton Albion
ENG L1
10/12/2022 10:00
Burton Albion Burton Albion
1 - 1
Derby County Derby County
ENG L1
20/07/2019 10:00
Burton Albion Burton Albion
2 - 5
Derby County Derby County
INT CF
14/04/2018 10:00
Burton Albion Burton Albion
3 - 1
Derby County Derby County
ENG LCH
Burton Albion
1
17%
Draw
1
17%
Derby County
4
67%
Burton Albion Burton Albion Last 6 matches
22/07/2025 14:45
Burton Albion 1 - 2 Sheffield United INT CF
19/07/2025 10:00
Birmingham City 0 - 1 Burton Albion INT CF
12/07/2025 10:00
Alfreton Town 0 - 1 Burton Albion INT CF
08/07/2025 14:00
Chesterfield 5 - 0 Burton Albion INT CF
03/05/2025 10:00
Charlton Athletic 3 - 1 Burton Albion ENG L1
29/04/2025 14:45
Burton Albion 1 - 1 Wigan Athletic ENG L1
Win
33%
Draw
17%
Lost
50%
Last 6 matches Derby County Derby County
22/07/2025 14:30
Walsall 2 - 3 Derby County INT CF
18/07/2025 12:00
Red Bull Salzburg 1 - 2 Derby County INT CF
12/07/2025 08:00
Matlock Town 1 - 1 Derby County INT CF
03/05/2025 07:30
Derby County 0 - 0 Stoke City ENG LCH
26/04/2025 10:00
Hull City 0 - 1 Derby County ENG LCH
21/04/2025 10:00
West Bromwich(WBA) 1 - 3 Derby County ENG LCH
Win
67%
Draw
33%
Lost
0%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues International Club Fri...
Played games
Burton Albion
Burton Albion
300
 Derby County
Derby County
300
Goals
Scored
353
Avg. per game
1.18
Conceded
443
Avg. per game
1.48
Scored
406
Avg. per game
1.35
Conceded
347
Avg. per game
1.16
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
6 (100%)0 (0%)
In last 300 matches
YesNo
195 (65%)105 (35%)
In last 300 matches
NoYes
233 (78%)67 (22%)
Burton Albion

Burton Albion

Recent matches

Derby County

Derby County

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Burton Albion Burton Albion
Derby County Derby County
Shots
Burton Albion
Burton Albion
Total shots
11.07 avg / game
Blocked
751 total
Avg. 3.32
Derby County
Derby County
Total shots
11.42 avg / game
Blocked
831 total
Avg. 3.48
Burton Albion Burton Albion Pass Derby County Derby County
Total passes
85284
Avg. 331 / game
Accurate
64%
Ball possession
45%
Total passes
100963
Avg. 382 / game
Accurate
72%
Ball possession
49%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Burton Albion
Burton Albion
27569
Avg. 91.90 / game
 Derby County
Derby County
28584
Avg. 95.28 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Burton Albion
Burton Albion
14039
Avg. 46.80 / game
 Derby County
Derby County
13387
Avg. 44.62 / game
OTHERS
Burton Albion
Burton Albion
300
Played games
Derby County
Derby County
300
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.23
70
Clean sheets
97
0.32
4.71
1414
Corners
1524
5.08
20.82
6245
Throw-ins
6384
21.28
1.43
430
Offsides
562
1.87
2.56
767
GK saves
684
2.28
Burton Albion
Burton Albion
DISCIPLINARY
Derby County
Derby County
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.75
526
Yellow card
527
1.76
0.07
22
Red card
16
0.05
10.25
3076
Fouls
2991
9.97
11.65
3494
Tackles
3673
12.24
NEXT MATCHES
08/01
Burton Albion Burton Albion
VS
Derby County Derby County
INT
08/06
Burton Albion Burton Albion
VS
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ENG
08/15
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VS
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ENG
08/22
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VS
Burton Albion Burton Albion
ENG
08/29
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VS
Burton Albion Burton Albion
ENG
NEXT MATCHES
07/31
Mansfield Town Mansfield Town
VS
Derby County Derby County
INT
08/01
Burton Albion Burton Albion
VS
Derby County Derby County
INT
08/06
Derby County Derby County
VS
Lincoln City Lincoln City
ENG
08/15
Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic
VS
Derby County Derby County
ENG
08/22
Derby County Derby County
VS
Cardiff City Cardiff City
ENG

How We Build the Burton Albion vs Derby County Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Burton Albion vs Derby County on 26 July 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this International Club Friendly fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Burton Albion vs Derby County Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Burton Albion's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Derby County's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

International Club Friendly Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live International Club Friendly standings and the International Club Friendly form table to understand exactly where Burton Albion and Derby County sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our International Club Friendly predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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