Burnley vs Newcastle United: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 30 December

Burnley

L L L D L

19th place in English Premier League

1-3

30/12/2025 19:30

Newcastle United

L L W D W

12th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Burnley vs Newcastle United on 30 December 2025 (kick-off: 19:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Burnley vs Newcastle United preview before placing your bet.

Burnley are currently 19th with 22 points after 38 matches.
Newcastle United sit 12th with 49 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Newcastle United to win with probability 58%.
Head-to-head history favors Newcastle United, who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. Burnley have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

19:30

2025-12-30

Burnley vs Newcastle United - Prediction & Odds

Burnley

Newcastle United

2025-12-30 19:30

STANDINGS UP TO 30/12/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Arsenal	85	38	26	7	5	71	27	44
02 Manchester City	78	38	23	9	6	77	35	42
03 Manchester United	71	38	20	11	7	69	50	19
04 Aston Villa	65	38	19	8	11	56	49	7
05 Liverpool	60	38	17	9	12	63	53	10
06 AFC Bournemouth	57	38	13	18	7	58	54	4
07 Sunderland A.F.C	54	38	14	12	12	42	48	-6
08 Brighton Hove Albion	53	38	14	11	13	52	46	6
09 Brentford	53	38	14	11	13	55	52	3
10 Chelsea	52	38	14	10	14	58	52	6
11 Fulham	52	38	15	7	16	47	51	-4
12 Newcastle United	49	38	14	7	17	53	55	-2
13 Everton	49	38	13	10	15	47	50	-3
14 Leeds United	47	38	11	14	13	49	56	-7
15 Crystal Palace	45	38	11	12	15	41	51	-10
16 Nottingham Forest	44	38	11	11	16	48	51	-3
17 Tottenham Hotspur	41	38	10	11	17	48	57	-9
18 West Ham United	39	38	10	9	19	46	65	-19
19 Burnley	22	38	4	10	24	38	75	-37
20 Wolves	20	38	3	11	24	27	68	-41

Head To Head

06/12/2025 15:00

Newcastle United

2 - 1

Burnley

ENG PR

04/05/2024 14:00

Burnley

1 - 4

Newcastle United

ENG PR

30/09/2023 14:00

Newcastle United

2 - 0

Burnley

ENG PR

22/05/2022 15:00

Burnley

1 - 2

Newcastle United

ENG PR

04/12/2021 15:00

Newcastle United

1 - 0

Burnley

ENG PR

25/08/2021 18:45

Newcastle United

0 - 0

Burnley

ENG LC

Burnley

Draw

17%

Newcastle United

83%

Burnley Last 6 matches

27/12/2025 15:00

Burnley 0 - 0 Everton ENG PR

20/12/2025 15:00

AFC Bournemouth 1 - 1 Burnley ENG PR

13/12/2025 17:30

Burnley 2 - 3 Fulham ENG PR

06/12/2025 15:00

Newcastle United 2 - 1 Burnley ENG PR

03/12/2025 19:30

Burnley 0 - 1 Crystal Palace ENG PR

29/11/2025 15:00

Brentford 3 - 1 Burnley ENG PR

Win

Draw

33%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Newcastle United

26/12/2025 20:00

Manchester United 1 - 0 Newcastle United ENG PR

20/12/2025 12:30

Newcastle United 2 - 2 Chelsea ENG PR

17/12/2025 20:15

Newcastle United 2 - 1 Fulham ENG LC

14/12/2025 14:00

Sunderland A.F.C 1 - 0 Newcastle United ENG PR

10/12/2025 20:00

Bayer Leverkusen 2 - 2 Newcastle United UEFA CL

06/12/2025 15:00

Newcastle United 2 - 1 Burnley ENG PR

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Played games

Goals

Scored

365

Avg. per game

1.23

Conceded

383

Avg. per game

1.29

Scored

504

Avg. per game

1.68

Conceded

399

Avg. per game

1.33

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 296 matches

YesNo

202 (68%)94 (32%)

In last 296 matches

NoYes

237 (79%)63 (21%)

Burnley

Recent matches

Newcastle United

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

/Yes

(69%)31 14(31%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(76%)34 11(24%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Burnley

Newcastle United

Shots

Burnley

Total shots

11.36 avg / game

Blocked

727 total

Avg. 3.05

Newcastle United

Total shots

13.08 avg / game

Blocked

970 total

Avg. 3.82

Burnley Pass Newcastle United

Total passes

115638

Avg. 438 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

113793

Avg. 420 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Burnley

296

Played games

Newcastle United

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.31

Clean sheets

0.29

4.71

1393

Corners

1611

5.37

17.26

5108

Throw-ins

5058

16.86

1.77

524

Offsides

465

1.55

2.77

820

GK saves

855

2.85

Burnley

DISCIPLINARY

Newcastle United

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.59

472

494

1.65

0.06

0.04

9.71

2875

Fouls

2845

9.48

12.57

3720

Tackles

3896

12.99

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Burnley vs Newcastle United Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Burnley vs Newcastle United on 30 December 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Burnley vs Newcastle United Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Burnley's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Newcastle United's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Burnley and Newcastle United sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More English Premier League Predictions

Find every upcoming English Premier League fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less