Burnley vs Millwall: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 03 May

Burnley

D W W W W

2nd place in England Championship

3-1

03/05/2025 07:30

Millwall

W W L W W

8th place in England Championship

England Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Burnley vs Millwall on 03 May 2025 (kick-off: 07:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Burnley vs Millwall preview before placing your bet.

Burnley will face Millwall in England Championship on May 3, 2025 at 07:30.
Burnley are currently 2nd with 100 points after 46 matches.
Millwall sit 8th with 66 points from 46 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 1.58.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

07:30

2025-05-03

Burnley vs Millwall - Prediction & Odds

Burnley

Millwall

2025-05-03 07:30

STANDINGS UP TO 03/05/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Leeds United	100	46	29	13	4	95	30	65
02 Burnley	100	46	28	16	2	69	16	53
03 Sheffield United	90	46	28	8	10	63	36	27
04 Sunderland A.F.C	76	46	21	13	12	58	44	14
05 Coventry City	69	46	20	9	17	64	58	6
06 Bristol City	68	46	17	17	12	59	55	4
07 Blackburn Rovers	66	46	19	9	18	53	48	5
08 Millwall	66	46	18	12	16	47	49	-2
09 West Bromwich(WBA)	64	46	15	19	12	57	47	10
10 Middlesbrough	64	46	18	10	18	64	56	8
11 Swansea City	61	46	17	10	19	51	56	-5
12 Sheffield Wednesday	58	46	15	13	18	60	69	-9
13 Norwich City	57	46	14	15	17	71	68	3
14 Watford	57	46	16	9	21	53	61	-8
15 Queens Park Rangers (QPR)	56	46	14	14	18	53	63	-10
16 Portsmouth	54	46	14	12	20	58	71	-13
17 Oxford United	53	46	13	14	19	49	65	-16
18 Stoke City	51	46	12	15	19	45	62	-17
19 Derby County	50	46	13	11	22	48	56	-8
20 Preston North End	50	46	10	20	16	48	59	-11
21 Hull City	49	46	12	13	21	44	54	-10
22 Luton Town	49	46	13	10	23	45	69	-24
23 Plymouth Argyle	46	46	11	13	22	51	88	-37
24 Cardiff City	44	46	9	17	20	48	73	-25

Head To Head

03/11/2024 11:00

Millwall

1 - 0

Burnley

ENG LCH

21/02/2023 15:45

Millwall

1 - 1

Burnley

ENG LCH

30/08/2022 14:45

Burnley

2 - 0

Millwall

ENG LCH

23/09/2020 14:00

Millwall

0 - 2

Burnley

ENG LC

08/02/2014 11:00

Burnley

3 - 1

Millwall

ENG LCH

02/11/2013 11:00

Millwall

2 - 2

Burnley

ENG LCH

Millwall

50%

Draw

33%

Burnley

17%

Burnley Last 6 matches

26/04/2025 07:30

Queens Park Rangers (QPR) 0 - 5 Burnley

ENG LCH

21/04/2025 12:30

Burnley 2 - 1 Sheffield United

ENG LCH

18/04/2025 10:00

Watford 1 - 2 Burnley

ENG LCH

11/04/2025 15:00

Burnley 2 - 1 Norwich City

ENG LCH

08/04/2025 14:45

Derby County 0 - 0 Burnley

ENG LCH

05/04/2025 07:30

Coventry City 1 - 2 Burnley

ENG LCH

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Last 6 matches Millwall

26/04/2025 10:00

Millwall 1 - 0 Swansea City

ENG LCH

21/04/2025 10:00

Millwall 3 - 1 Norwich City

ENG LCH

18/04/2025 10:00

Blackburn Rovers 4 - 1 Millwall

ENG LCH

12/04/2025 10:00

Millwall 1 - 0 Middlesbrough

ENG LCH

08/04/2025 14:45

Sheffield United 0 - 1 Millwall

ENG LCH

05/04/2025 10:00

Millwall 2 - 1 Portsmouth

ENG LCH

Win

83%

Draw

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England Championship

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Burnley

Millwall

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.85

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.26

Scored

Avg. per game

0.43

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.52

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 46 matches

YesNo

25 (54%)21 (46%)

In last 46 matches

NoYes

16 (35%)30 (65%)

Burnley

Recent matches

Millwall

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

Under /Over

(22%)10 35(78%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

/Yes

(29%)13 32(71%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(42%)19 26(58%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Burnley

Millwall

Shots

Burnley

Total shots

12.39 avg / game

Blocked

122 total

Avg. 3.21

Millwall

Total shots

11.48 avg / game

Blocked

117 total

Avg. 3.34

Burnley Pass Millwall

Total passes

22733

Avg. 494 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

57%

Total passes

14390

Avg. 313 / game

Accurate

68%

Ball possession

43%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Burnley

Played games

Millwall

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.65

Clean sheets

0.35

5.26

242

Corners

222

4.83

20.13

926

Throw-ins

1083

23.54

1.39

Offsides

2.15

2.09

GK saves

110

2.39

Burnley

DISCIPLINARY

Millwall

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.80

1.63

0.07

0.02

11.52

530

Fouls

597

12.98

15.28

703

Tackles

922

20.04

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Queens Park Rangers (QPR)

How We Build the Burnley vs Millwall Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Burnley vs Millwall on 03 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Burnley vs Millwall Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Burnley's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Millwall's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England Championship standings and the England Championship form table to understand exactly where Burnley and Millwall sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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