Burnley vs Liverpool: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 14 September

Burnley

L L L D L

19th place in English Premier League

0-1

14/09/2025 09:00

Liverpool

W W L D L

5th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Burnley vs Liverpool on 14 September 2025 (kick-off: 09:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Burnley vs Liverpool preview before placing your bet.

Burnley are currently 19th with 22 points after 38 matches.
Liverpool sit 5th with 60 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Liverpool to win with probability 72%.
Head-to-head history favors Liverpool, who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. Burnley have one win, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

09:00

2025-09-14

Burnley vs Liverpool - Prediction & Odds

Burnley

Liverpool

2025-09-14 09:00

STANDINGS UP TO 14/09/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Arsenal	85	38	26	7	5	71	27	44
02 Manchester City	78	38	23	9	6	77	35	42
03 Manchester United	71	38	20	11	7	69	50	19
04 Aston Villa	65	38	19	8	11	56	49	7
05 Liverpool	60	38	17	9	12	63	53	10
06 AFC Bournemouth	57	38	13	18	7	58	54	4
07 Sunderland A.F.C	54	38	14	12	12	42	48	-6
08 Brighton Hove Albion	53	38	14	11	13	52	46	6
09 Brentford	53	38	14	11	13	55	52	3
10 Chelsea	52	38	14	10	14	58	52	6
11 Fulham	52	38	15	7	16	47	51	-4
12 Newcastle United	49	38	14	7	17	53	55	-2
13 Everton	49	38	13	10	15	47	50	-3
14 Leeds United	47	38	11	14	13	49	56	-7
15 Crystal Palace	45	38	11	12	15	41	51	-10
16 Nottingham Forest	44	38	11	11	16	48	51	-3
17 Tottenham Hotspur	41	38	10	11	17	48	57	-9
18 West Ham United	39	38	10	9	19	46	65	-19
19 Burnley	22	38	4	10	24	38	75	-37
20 Wolves	20	38	3	11	24	27	68	-41

Head To Head

10/02/2024 11:00

Liverpool

3 - 1

Burnley

ENG PR

26/12/2023 13:30

Burnley

0 - 2

Liverpool

ENG PR

13/02/2022 10:00

Burnley

0 - 1

Liverpool

ENG PR

21/08/2021 07:30

Liverpool

2 - 0

Burnley

ENG PR

19/05/2021 15:15

Burnley

0 - 3

Liverpool

ENG PR

21/01/2021 16:00

Liverpool

0 - 1

Burnley

ENG PR

Burnley

17%

Draw

Liverpool

83%

Burnley Last 6 matches

30/08/2025 10:00

Manchester United 3 - 2 Burnley ENG PR

26/08/2025 14:45

Burnley 2 - 1 Derby County ENG LC

23/08/2025 10:00

Burnley 2 - 0 Sunderland A.F.C ENG PR

16/08/2025 10:00

Tottenham Hotspur 3 - 0 Burnley ENG PR

09/08/2025 10:00

Burnley 0 - 1 Lazio INT CF

02/08/2025 10:00

Stoke City 1 - 0 Burnley INT CF

Win

33%

Draw

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Liverpool

31/08/2025 11:30

Liverpool 1 - 0 Arsenal ENG PR

25/08/2025 15:00

Newcastle United 2 - 3 Liverpool ENG PR

15/08/2025 15:00

Liverpool 4 - 2 AFC Bournemouth ENG PR

10/08/2025 10:00

Crystal Palace 2 - 2 Liverpool ENG FACS

04/08/2025 15:00

Liverpool 3 - 2 Athletic Bilbao INT CF

04/08/2025 12:00

Liverpool 4 - 1 Athletic Bilbao INT CF

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

167

Avg. per game

0.56

Conceded

185

Avg. per game

0.63

Scored

279

Avg. per game

0.93

Conceded

161

Avg. per game

0.54

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 296 matches

YesNo

117 (40%)179 (60%)

In last 296 matches

NoYes

180 (60%)120 (40%)

Burnley

Recent matches

Liverpool

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

/Yes

(69%)31 14(31%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Burnley

Liverpool

Shots

Burnley

Total shots

11.36 avg / game

Blocked

727 total

Avg. 3.05

Liverpool

Total shots

16.75 avg / game

Blocked

1270 total

Avg. 4.88

Burnley Pass Liverpool

Total passes

115638

Avg. 438 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

158652

Avg. 565 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

60%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Burnley

296

Played games

Liverpool

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.31

Clean sheets

107

0.36

4.71

1393

Corners

1899

6.33

17.26

5108

Throw-ins

5529

18.43

1.77

524

Offsides

580

1.93

2.77

820

GK saves

770

2.57

Burnley

DISCIPLINARY

Liverpool

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.59

472

428

1.43

0.06

0.05

9.71

2875

Fouls

3143

10.48

12.57

3720

Tackles

3952

13.17

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Burnley vs Liverpool Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Burnley vs Liverpool on 14 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Burnley vs Liverpool Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Burnley's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Liverpool's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Burnley and Liverpool sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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