Burnley vs Brighton Hove Albion: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 April

Betiball's prediction for Burnley vs Brighton Hove Albion on 11 April 2026 (kick-off: 10:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Burnley vs Brighton Hove Albion preview before placing your bet.

Burnley vs Brighton Hove Albion: Starting Lineups Time : 11/04/2026 10:00

Burnley
0 - 2
Finished
Brighton Hove Albion
82' event Lucas Pires Silva / Quilindschy Hartman
82' event Kyle Walker / Bashir Humphreys
82' event Armando Broja / Florentino Ibrain Morris Luis
75' event Mike Tresor Ndayishimiye / Marcus Edwards
67' event Jacob Bruun Larsen / Chimuanya Ugochukwu
60' event Florentino Ibrain Morris Luis
50' event Bashir Humphreys Goal Disallowed - offside
30' event Maxime Esteve
7' event Jaidon Anthony Goal Disallowed - offside
event 89' Mats Wieffer
event 88' Joel Veltman / Diego Gómez
event 80' Kaoru Mitoma / Yankuba Minteh
event 75' Carlos Baleba / Jack Hinshelwood
event 75' Georginio Rutter / Danny Welbeck
event 48' Jan Paul Van Hecke
event 43' Mats Wieffer
82' event Lucas Pires Silva / Quilindschy Hartman
event 89' Mats Wieffer
82' event Kyle Walker / Bashir Humphreys
event 88' Joel Veltman / Diego Gómez
82' event Armando Broja / Florentino Ibrain Morris Luis
event 80' Kaoru Mitoma / Yankuba Minteh
75' event Mike Tresor Ndayishimiye / Marcus Edwards
event 75' Carlos Baleba / Jack Hinshelwood
67' event Jacob Bruun Larsen / Chimuanya Ugochukwu
event 75' Georginio Rutter / Danny Welbeck
60' event Florentino Ibrain Morris Luis
event 48' Jan Paul Van Hecke
50' event Bashir Humphreys Goal Disallowed - offside
event 43' Mats Wieffer
30' event Maxime Esteve
7' event Jaidon Anthony Goal Disallowed - offside
Burnley Burnley
Substitutions
#27 Armando Broja
#31 Mike Tresor Ndayishimiye
#23 Lucas Pires Silva
#7 Jacob Bruun Larsen
#2 Kyle Walker
#17 Loum Tchaouna
#13 Max Wei
#9 Lyle Foster
#4 Joe Worrall
Burnley Burnley Brighton Hove Albion Brighton Hove Albion
10Shots13
5Shots on Goal6
7Fouls11
8Corner Kick2
11Free kick7
2Offside1
2Yellow card1
25Aerial15
3Save4
7Successful Tackles29
10Interceptions18
26Long pass21
0Assist2
5Successful center8
5Substitution4
3Shots off goal3
12Head Success8
2Blocked4
7Tackle21
12Dribbles7
27Throw-in11
462Passes474
99Attacks91
40Dangerous attacks48
4Corner Kicks(HT)0
1BigChances1
1BigChancesMissed1
8ShotsInsideBox9
2ShotsOutsideBox4
45DuelsWon52
0.9ExpectedGoals1.91
0.18xGOpenPlay1.88
0.9xGNonPenalty1.91
0.72xGOT2.69
15Touches In Opposition Box38
22AccurateCrosses16
33GroundDuelsWon44
12AerialDuelsWon8
25Clearances25
Brighton Hove Albion Brighton Hove Albion
Substitutions
#17 Carlos Baleba
#10 Georginio Rutter
#22 Kaoru Mitoma
#34 Joel Veltman
#29 Maxim de Cuyper
#3 Igor Julio dos Santos de Paulo
#19 Charalampos Kostoulas
#7 Solomon March
#23 Jason Steele
Commentary
89' Goal! Mats Wieffer - Brighton Hove Albion
88' Brighton Hove Albion — substitution: Joel Veltman / Diego Gómez
82' Burnley — substitution: Lucas Pires Silva / Quilindschy Hartman
82' Burnley — substitution: Kyle Walker / Bashir Humphreys
82' Burnley — substitution: Armando Broja / Florentino Ibrain Morris Luis
80' Brighton Hove Albion — substitution: Kaoru Mitoma / Yankuba Minteh
75' Burnley — substitution: Mike Tresor Ndayishimiye / Marcus Edwards
75' Brighton Hove Albion — substitution: Carlos Baleba / Jack Hinshelwood
75' Brighton Hove Albion — substitution: Georginio Rutter / Danny Welbeck
67' Burnley — substitution: Jacob Bruun Larsen / Chimuanya Ugochukwu
60' Florentino Ibrain Morris Luis - Burnley receive a yellow card
50' VAR review - Burnley
48' Jan Paul Van Hecke - Brighton Hove Albion receive a yellow card
43' Goal! Mats Wieffer - Brighton Hove Albion
30' Maxime Esteve - Burnley receive a yellow card
7' VAR review - Burnley

How We Build the Burnley vs Brighton Hove Albion Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Burnley vs Brighton Hove Albion on 11 April 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Burnley vs Brighton Hove Albion Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Burnley's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Brighton Hove Albion's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Burnley and Brighton Hove Albion sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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