Brighton Hove Albion vs Newcastle United Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – May 04

Brighton Hove Albion

L W D W W

8th place in English Premier League

1-1

04/05/2025 09:00

Newcastle United

L W D W L

5th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Brighton Hove Albion vs Newcastle United on May 04, 2025 (kick-off: 09:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Brighton Hove Albion vs Newcastle United preview before placing for you.

Brighton Hove Albion are currently 8th with 61 points after 38 matches.
Newcastle United sit 5th with 66 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Newcastle United to win with probability 39%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Brighton Hove Albion and Newcastle United have each won 2 of the last 6 meetings, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

09:00

2025-05-04

Brighton Hove Albion vs Newcastle United - Prediction & Odds

Brighton Hove Albion

Newcastle United

2025-05-04 09:00

STANDINGS UP TO 04/05/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Liverpool	84	38	25	9	4	86	41	45
02 Arsenal	74	38	20	14	4	69	34	35
03 Manchester City	71	38	21	8	9	72	44	28
04 Chelsea	69	38	20	9	9	64	43	21
05 Newcastle United	66	38	20	6	12	68	47	21
06 Aston Villa	66	38	19	9	10	58	51	7
07 Nottingham Forest	65	38	19	8	11	58	46	12
08 Brighton Hove Albion	61	38	16	13	9	66	59	7
09 AFC Bournemouth	56	38	15	11	12	58	46	12
10 Brentford	56	38	16	8	14	66	57	9
11 Fulham	54	38	15	9	14	54	54	0
12 Crystal Palace	53	38	13	14	11	51	51	0
13 Everton	48	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2
14 West Ham United	43	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16
15 Manchester United	42	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10
16 Wolves	42	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15
17 Tottenham Hotspur	38	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1
18 Leicester City	25	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47
19 Ipswich Town	22	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46
20 Southampton	12	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60

Head To Head

02/03/2025 09:45

Newcastle United

1 - 1

Brighton Hove Albion

ENG FAC

19/10/2024 10:00

Newcastle United

0 - 1

Brighton Hove Albion

ENG PR

11/05/2024 10:00

Newcastle United

1 - 1

Brighton Hove Albion

ENG PR

02/09/2023 12:30

Brighton Hove Albion

3 - 1

Newcastle United

ENG PR

28/07/2023 19:30

Brighton Hove Albion

1 - 2

Newcastle United

INT CF

18/05/2023 14:30

Newcastle United

4 - 1

Brighton Hove Albion

ENG PR

Brighton Hove Albion

33%

Draw

33%

Newcastle United

33%

Brighton Hove Albion Last 6 matches

26/04/2025 10:00

Brighton Hove Albion 3 - 2 West Ham United ENG PR

19/04/2025 10:00

Brentford 4 - 2 Brighton Hove Albion ENG PR

12/04/2025 10:00

Brighton Hove Albion 2 - 2 Leicester City ENG PR

05/04/2025 10:00

Crystal Palace 2 - 1 Brighton Hove Albion ENG PR

02/04/2025 14:45

Brighton Hove Albion 0 - 3 Aston Villa ENG PR

29/03/2025 13:15

Brighton Hove Albion 0 - 0 Nottingham Forest ENG FAC

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Newcastle United

26/04/2025 10:00

Newcastle United 3 - 0 Ipswich Town ENG PR

19/04/2025 12:30

Aston Villa 4 - 1 Newcastle United ENG PR

16/04/2025 14:30

Newcastle United 5 - 0 Crystal Palace ENG PR

13/04/2025 11:30

Newcastle United 4 - 1 Manchester United ENG PR

07/04/2025 15:00

Leicester City 0 - 3 Newcastle United ENG PR

02/04/2025 14:45

Newcastle United 2 - 1 Brentford ENG PR

Win

83%

Draw

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Brighton Hove Albion

Newcastle United

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.03

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.82

Scored

Avg. per game

0.82

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.63

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 38 matches

YesNo

26 (68%)12 (32%)

In last 38 matches

NoYes

20 (53%)18 (47%)

Brighton Hove Albion

Recent matches

Newcastle United

Under /Over

(89%)34 4(11%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)31 7(18%)

Under /Over

(37%)14 24(63%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(37%)14 24(63%)

Under /Over

(61%)23 15(39%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(45%)17 21(55%)

/Yes

(71%)27 11(29%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(50%)19 19(50%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Brighton Hove Albion

Newcastle United

Shots

Brighton Hove Albion

Total shots

14.00 avg / game

Blocked

132 total

Avg. 3.77

Newcastle United

Total shots

13.82 avg / game

Blocked

142 total

Avg. 4.06

Brighton Hove Albion Pass Newcastle United

Total passes

17428

Avg. 459 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

16950

Avg. 446 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Brighton Hove Albion

Played games

Newcastle United

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.21

Clean sheets

0.34

4.95

188

Corners

217

5.71

15.89

604

Throw-ins

704

18.53

1.21

Offsides

1.89

2.39

GK saves

122

3.21

Brighton Hove Albion

DISCIPLINARY

Newcastle United

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.03

1.79

0.08

0.03

11.50

437

Fouls

394

10.37

18.45

701

Tackles

602

15.84

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Brighton Hove Albion vs Newcastle United Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Brighton Hove Albion vs Newcastle United on 04 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Brighton Hove Albion vs Newcastle United Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Brighton Hove Albion's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Newcastle United's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Brighton Hove Albion and Newcastle United sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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