Brighton Hove Albion vs Aston Villa: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 05 May

Betiball's prediction for Brighton Hove Albion vs Aston Villa on 05 May 2024 (kick-off: 09:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Brighton Hove Albion vs Aston Villa preview before placing your bet.

Brighton Hove Albion vs Aston Villa: Starting Lineups Time : 05/05/2024 09:00

Brighton Hove Albion
1 - 0
Finished
Aston Villa
90+2' event Valentin Barco / Adingra Simon
88' event Jakub Moder / Danny Welbeck
88' event Carlos Baleba / Billy Gilmour
87' event João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus
87' event João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus
68' event Pascal Gross Goal Disallowed
63' event Adingra Simon
61' event Julio Cesar Enciso / Facundo Buonanotte
49' event Pascal Gross
event 90+8' Matthew Cash
event 90' Alexandre Moreno Lopera / Lucas Digne
event 90' Calum Chambers / Ezri Konsa Ngoyo
event 73' Jhon Durán / Moussa Diaby
event 26' Matthew Cash / Morgan Rogers
90+2' event Valentin Barco / Adingra Simon
event 90+8' Matthew Cash
88' event Jakub Moder / Danny Welbeck
event 90' Alexandre Moreno Lopera / Lucas Digne
88' event Carlos Baleba / Billy Gilmour
event 90' Calum Chambers / Ezri Konsa Ngoyo
87' event João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus
event 73' Jhon Durán / Moussa Diaby
87' event João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus
event 26' Matthew Cash / Morgan Rogers
68' event Pascal Gross Goal Disallowed
63' event Adingra Simon
61' event Julio Cesar Enciso / Facundo Buonanotte
49' event Pascal Gross
Brighton Hove Albion Brighton Hove Albion
Substitutions
#19 Valentin Barco
#20 Carlos Baleba
#10 Julio Cesar Enciso
#15 Jakub Moder
#44 Cameron Peupion
#31 Anssumane Fati
#23 Jason Steele
#42 Odel Offiah
#55 Mark OMahony
Brighton Hove Albion Brighton Hove Albion Aston Villa Aston Villa
15Shots2
8Shots on Goal1
13Fouls10
7Corner Kick3
10Free kick17
4Offside1
2Yellow card1
13Aerial15
1Save7
17Successful Tackles18
9Interceptions9
4Substitution4
3Shots off goal1
7Head Success7
4Blocked0
17Tackle18
10Dribbles5
14Throw-in17
490Passes443
69Attacks89
46Dangerous attacks35
3Corner Kicks(HT)0
Aston Villa Aston Villa
Substitutions
#24 Jhon Durán
#2 Matthew Cash
#15 Alexandre Moreno Lopera
#16 Calum Chambers
#18 Joe Gauci
#17 Clement Lenglet
#29 Kaine Hayden
#47 Tim Iroegbunam
#71 Omari Kellyman
Commentary
90+8' Matthew Cash - Aston Villa receive a yellow card
90+2' Brighton Hove Albion — substitution: Valentin Barco / Adingra Simon
90' Aston Villa — substitution: Alexandre Moreno Lopera / Lucas Digne
90' Aston Villa — substitution: Calum Chambers / Ezri Konsa Ngoyo
88' Brighton Hove Albion — substitution: Jakub Moder / Danny Welbeck
88' Brighton Hove Albion — substitution: Carlos Baleba / Billy Gilmour
87' Goal! João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus - Brighton Hove Albion
87' Penalty missed! João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus - Brighton Hove Albion
73' Aston Villa — substitution: Jhon Durán / Moussa Diaby
68' VAR review - Brighton Hove Albion
63' Adingra Simon - Brighton Hove Albion receive a yellow card
61' Brighton Hove Albion — substitution: Julio Cesar Enciso / Facundo Buonanotte
49' Pascal Gross - Brighton Hove Albion receive a yellow card
26' Aston Villa — substitution: Matthew Cash / Morgan Rogers

How We Build the Brighton Hove Albion vs Aston Villa Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Brighton Hove Albion vs Aston Villa on 05 May 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Brighton Hove Albion vs Aston Villa Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Brighton Hove Albion's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Aston Villa's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Brighton Hove Albion and Aston Villa sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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