Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 October

Borussia Dortmund

L L W L W

2nd place in German Bundesliga

1-1

04/10/2025 09:30

RB Leipzig

W W W L W

3rd place in German Bundesliga

German Bundesliga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig on 04 October 2025 (kick-off: 09:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig preview before placing your bet.

Borussia Dortmund are currently 2nd with 73 points after 34 matches.
RB Leipzig sit 3rd with 65 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Borussia Dortmund to win with probability 55%.
Head-to-head history favors RB Leipzig, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Borussia Dortmund have 2 wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

09:30

2025-10-04

Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig - Prediction & Odds

Borussia Dortmund

RB Leipzig

2025-10-04 09:30

STANDINGS UP TO 04/10/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Bayern Munchen	89	34	28	5	1	122	36	86
02 Borussia Dortmund	73	34	22	7	5	70	34	36
03 RB Leipzig	65	34	20	5	9	66	47	19
04 VfB Stuttgart	62	34	18	8	8	71	49	22
05 TSG Hoffenheim	61	34	18	7	9	65	52	13
06 Bayer Leverkusen	59	34	17	8	9	68	47	21
07 SC Freiburg	47	34	13	8	13	51	57	-6
08 Eintracht Frankfurt	44	34	11	11	12	61	65	-4
09 Augsburg	43	34	12	7	15	45	61	-16
10 FSV Mainz 05	40	34	10	10	14	44	53	-9
11 Union Berlin	39	34	10	9	15	44	58	-14
12 Borussia Monchengladbach	38	34	9	11	14	42	53	-11
13 Hamburger SV	38	34	9	11	14	40	54	-14
14 FC Koln	32	34	7	11	16	49	63	-14
15 Werder Bremen	32	34	8	8	18	37	60	-23
16 VfL Wolfsburg	29	34	7	8	19	45	69	-24
17 Heidenheimer	26	34	6	8	20	41	72	-31
18 St. Pauli	26	34	6	8	20	29	60	-31

Head To Head

15/03/2025 13:30

RB Leipzig

2 - 0

Borussia Dortmund

GER D1

02/11/2024 13:30

Borussia Dortmund

2 - 1

RB Leipzig

GER D1

27/04/2024 09:30

RB Leipzig

4 - 1

Borussia Dortmund

GER D1

09/12/2023 13:30

Borussia Dortmund

2 - 3

RB Leipzig

GER D1

05/04/2023 14:45

RB Leipzig

2 - 0

Borussia Dortmund

GERC

03/03/2023 15:30

Borussia Dortmund

2 - 1

RB Leipzig

GER D1

Borussia Dortmund

33%

Draw

RB Leipzig

67%

Borussia Dortmund Last 6 matches

21/09/2025 13:30

Borussia Dortmund 1 - 0 VfL Wolfsburg GER D1

16/09/2025 15:00

Juventus 4 - 4 Borussia Dortmund UEFA CL

13/09/2025 09:30

Heidenheimer 0 - 2 Borussia Dortmund GER D1

31/08/2025 11:30

Borussia Dortmund 3 - 0 Union Berlin GER D1

23/08/2025 12:30

St. Pauli 3 - 3 Borussia Dortmund GER D1

18/08/2025 14:45

Rot-Weiss Essen 0 - 1 Borussia Dortmund GERC

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Last 6 matches RB Leipzig

20/09/2025 12:30

RB Leipzig 3 - 1 FC Koln GER D1

13/09/2025 09:30

FSV Mainz 05 0 - 1 RB Leipzig GER D1

30/08/2025 09:30

RB Leipzig 2 - 0 Heidenheimer GER D1

22/08/2025 14:30

Bayern Munchen 6 - 0 RB Leipzig GER D1

16/08/2025 09:30

SV Sandhausen 2 - 4 RB Leipzig GERC

09/08/2025 12:00

Lens 2 - 1 RB Leipzig INT CF

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues German Bundesliga

Played games

Goals

Scored

653

Avg. per game

2.18

Conceded

397

Avg. per game

1.32

Scored

593

Avg. per game

1.98

Conceded

380

Avg. per game

1.27

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

265 (88%)35 (12%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

252 (84%)48 (16%)

Borussia Dortmund

Recent matches

RB Leipzig

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

/Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(62%)28 17(38%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Borussia Dortmund

RB Leipzig

Shots

Borussia Dortmund

Total shots

13.92 avg / game

Blocked

916 total

Avg. 3.55

RB Leipzig

Total shots

14.11 avg / game

Blocked

888 total

Avg. 3.67

Borussia Dortmund Pass RB Leipzig

Total passes

146381

Avg. 536 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

56%

Total passes

140234

Avg. 527 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

55%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Borussia Dortmund

300

Played games

RB Leipzig

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.31

Clean sheets

0.33

5.32

1596

Corners

1478

4.93

16.46

4939

Throw-ins

5012

16.71

1.46

437

Offsides

609

2.03

2.77

832

GK saves

658

2.19

Borussia Dortmund

DISCIPLINARY

RB Leipzig

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.66

497

484

1.61

0.07

0.04

9.80

2939

Fouls

3014

10.05

13.57

4070

Tackles

3945

13.15

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Borussia Monchengladbach

How We Build the Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig on 04 October 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this German Bundesliga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Borussia Dortmund's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against RB Leipzig's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

German Bundesliga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live German Bundesliga standings and the German Bundesliga form table to understand exactly where Borussia Dortmund and RB Leipzig sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our German Bundesliga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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