Borussia Dortmund vs FSV Mainz 05: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 19 December

Betiball's prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs FSV Mainz 05 on 19 December 2023 (kick-off: 15:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Borussia Dortmund vs FSV Mainz 05 preview before placing your bet.

Borussia Dortmund vs FSV Mainz 05: Starting Lineups Time : 19/12/2023 15:30

Borussia Dortmund
1 - 1
Finished
FSV Mainz 05
81' event Marius Wolf / Thomas Meunier
72' event Giovanni Reyna / Nico Schlotterbeck
63' event Samuel Bamba / Jamie Bynoe-Gittens
63' event Sebastien Haller / Niclas Fullkrug
46' event Niklas Sule / Mats Hummels
29' event Julian Brandt
event 90+1' Aymen Barkok
event 90+1' Aymen Barkok / Karim Onisiwo
event 90+1' Danny Vieira da Costa / Silvan Widmer
event 90' Tom Krauss
event 85' Jonathan Michael Burkardt
event 69' Merveille Papela / Brajan Gruda
event 69' Jonathan Michael Burkardt / Marco Richter
event 43' Sepp Van Den Berg
event 39' Stefan Bell
81' event Marius Wolf / Thomas Meunier
event 90+1' Aymen Barkok
72' event Giovanni Reyna / Nico Schlotterbeck
event 90+1' Aymen Barkok / Karim Onisiwo
63' event Samuel Bamba / Jamie Bynoe-Gittens
event 90+1' Danny Vieira da Costa / Silvan Widmer
63' event Sebastien Haller / Niclas Fullkrug
event 90' Tom Krauss
46' event Niklas Sule / Mats Hummels
event 85' Jonathan Michael Burkardt
29' event Julian Brandt
event 69' Merveille Papela / Brajan Gruda
event 69' Jonathan Michael Burkardt / Marco Richter
event 43' Sepp Van Den Berg
event 39' Stefan Bell
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
Substitutions
#48 Samuel Bamba
#17 Marius Wolf
#25 Niklas Sule
#7 Giovanni Reyna
#9 Sebastien Haller
#6 Salih Ozcan
#11 Marco Reus
#33 Alexander Niklas Meyer
#2 Mateu Morey
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
22Shots11
7Shots on Goal6
11Fouls14
6Corner Kick1
19Free kick12
1Offside5
0Yellow card4
32Aerial28
5Save7
24Successful Tackles18
4Interceptions17
0Assist1
5Substitution4
8Shots off goal5
2Hit The Post0
16Head Success14
7Blocked0
25Tackle19
13Dribbles9
20Throw-in20
644Passes339
123Attacks94
55Dangerous attacks45
3Corner Kicks(HT)1
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
Substitutions
#29 Jonathan Michael Burkardt
#4 Aymen Barkok
#21 Danny Vieira da Costa
#24 Merveille Papela
#17 Ludovic Ajorque
#1 Lasse RieB
#45 David Mamutovic
#48 Marcus Müller
#47 Lasse Wilhelm
Commentary
90+1' Aymen Barkok - FSV Mainz 05 receive a yellow card
90+1' FSV Mainz 05 — substitution: Aymen Barkok / Karim Onisiwo
90+1' FSV Mainz 05 — substitution: Danny Vieira da Costa / Silvan Widmer
90' Tom Krauss - FSV Mainz 05 receive a yellow card
85' Jonathan Michael Burkardt - FSV Mainz 05 receive a yellow card
81' Borussia Dortmund — substitution: Marius Wolf / Thomas Meunier
72' Borussia Dortmund — substitution: Giovanni Reyna / Nico Schlotterbeck
69' FSV Mainz 05 — substitution: Merveille Papela / Brajan Gruda
69' FSV Mainz 05 — substitution: Jonathan Michael Burkardt / Marco Richter
63' Borussia Dortmund — substitution: Samuel Bamba / Jamie Bynoe-Gittens
63' Borussia Dortmund — substitution: Sebastien Haller / Niclas Fullkrug
46' Borussia Dortmund — substitution: Niklas Sule / Mats Hummels
43' Goal! Sepp Van Den Berg - FSV Mainz 05
39' Stefan Bell - FSV Mainz 05 receive a yellow card
29' Goal! Julian Brandt - Borussia Dortmund

How We Build the Borussia Dortmund vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs FSV Mainz 05 on 19 December 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Borussia Dortmund vs FSV Mainz 05 Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Borussia Dortmund's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against FSV Mainz 05's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Borussia Dortmund and FSV Mainz 05 sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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