Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 16 April

Borussia Dortmund

W L L W W

1st place in Group F

4-2

16/04/2024 15:00

Atletico Madrid

W W W L W

1st place in Group E

UEFA Champions League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid on 16 April 2024 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid preview before placing your bet.

Borussia Dortmund are currently 1st with 11 points after 6 matches.
Atletico Madrid sit 1st with 14 points from 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Borussia Dortmund to win with probability 42%.
Head-to-head history favors Atletico Madrid, who have won 2 of the last 3 meetings. Borussia Dortmund have one win, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2024-04-16

Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid - Prediction & Odds

Borussia Dortmund

Atletico Madrid

2024-04-16 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 16/04/2024

Group E	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Atletico Madrid	14	6	4	2	0	17	6	11
02 Lazio	10	6	3	1	2	7	7	0
03 Feyenoord	6	6	2	0	4	9	10	-1
04 Celtic FC	4	6	1	1	4	5	15	-10

Group F	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Borussia Dortmund	11	6	3	2	1	7	4	3
02 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)	8	6	2	2	2	9	8	1
03 AC Milan	8	6	2	2	2	5	8	-3
04 Newcastle United	5	6	1	2	3	6	7	-1

Head To Head

10/04/2024 15:00

Atletico Madrid

2 - 1

Borussia Dortmund

UEFA CL

06/11/2018 16:00

Atletico Madrid

2 - 0

Borussia Dortmund

UEFA CL

24/10/2018 15:00

Borussia Dortmund

4 - 0

Atletico Madrid

UEFA CL

Borussia Dortmund

33%

Draw

Atletico Madrid

67%

Borussia Dortmund Last 6 matches

13/04/2024 09:30

Borussia Monchengladbach 1 - 2 Borussia Dortmund GER D1

10/04/2024 15:00

Atletico Madrid 2 - 1 Borussia Dortmund UEFA CL

06/04/2024 12:30

Borussia Dortmund 0 - 1 VfB Stuttgart GER D1

30/03/2024 13:30

Bayern Munchen 0 - 2 Borussia Dortmund GER D1

17/03/2024 12:30

Borussia Dortmund 3 - 1 Eintracht Frankfurt GER D1

13/03/2024 16:00

Borussia Dortmund 2 - 0 PSV Eindhoven UEFA CL

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Atletico Madrid

13/04/2024 08:00

Atletico Madrid 3 - 1 Girona SPA D1

10/04/2024 15:00

Atletico Madrid 2 - 1 Borussia Dortmund UEFA CL

01/04/2024 15:00

Villarreal 1 - 2 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

17/03/2024 16:00

Atletico Madrid 0 - 3 FC Barcelona SPA D1

13/03/2024 16:00

Atletico Madrid 2 - 1 Inter Milan UEFA CL

09/03/2024 11:15

Cadiz 2 - 0 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Champions League

Played games

Borussia Dortmund

Atletico Madrid

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.43

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.71

Scored

Avg. per game

3.00

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.80

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

5 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 7 home matches

YesNo

5 (71%)2 (29%)

In last 7 home matches

NoYes

5 (100%)0 (0%)

Borussia Dortmund

Recent matches

Atletico Madrid

Under /Over

(71%)5 2(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(100%)5 0(0%)

Under /Over

(14%)1 6(86%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(80%)4 1(20%)

Under /Over

(43%)3 4(57%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(20%)1 4(80%)

/Yes

(29%)2 5(71%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(60%)3 2(40%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Borussia Dortmund

Atletico Madrid

Shots

Borussia Dortmund

Total shots

15.00 avg / game

Blocked

28 total

Avg. 4.00

Atletico Madrid

Total shots

17.40 avg / game

Blocked

14 total

Avg. 3.50

Borussia Dortmund Pass Atletico Madrid

Total passes

3138

Avg. 448 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

47%

Total passes

2926

Avg. 585 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Borussia Dortmund

Played games

Atletico Madrid

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.57

Clean sheets

0.40

5.86

Corners

6.40

16.71

117

Throw-ins

16.80

2.00

Offsides

0.80

3.71

GK saves

3.40

Borussia Dortmund

DISCIPLINARY

Atletico Madrid

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.71

2.20

0.00

0.00

10.57

Fouls

12.00

23.00

161

Tackles

14.40

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid on 16 April 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Champions League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Borussia Dortmund's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Atletico Madrid's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Champions League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Champions League standings and the UEFA Champions League form table to understand exactly where Borussia Dortmund and Atletico Madrid sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Champions League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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