Benfica vs Real Madrid: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 January

Betiball's prediction for Benfica vs Real Madrid on 28 January 2026 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Benfica vs Real Madrid preview before placing your bet.

Benfica vs Real Madrid: Starting Lineups Time : 28/01/2026 16:00

Benfica
4 - 2
Finished
Real Madrid
90+8' event Anatolii Trubin
90+3' event Antonio Silva / Andreas Schjelderup
90+3' event Franjo Ivanovic / Vangelis Pavlidis
87' event Joao Rego / Gianluca Prestianni
85' event Samuel Dahl
83' event Enzo Barrenechea / Georgiy Sudakov
54' event Andreas Schjelderup
45+5' event Vangelis Pavlidis
36' event Andreas Schjelderup
17' event Gianluca Prestianni Penalty cancelled
11' event Leandro Barreiro Martins
event 90+7' Rodrygo Silva De Goes
event 90+6' Rodrygo Silva De Goes
event 90+2' Raul Asencio
event 79' Jorge Cestero Sancho / Arda Guler
event 79' Brahim Diaz / Alvaro Fernandez Carreras
event 79' David Alaba / Dean Huijsen
event 67' Alvaro Fernandez Carreras
event 62' Dean Huijsen
event 58' Kylian Mbappe Lottin
event 55' Rodrygo Silva De Goes / Franco Mastantuono
event 55' Eduardo Camavinga / Aurelien Tchouameni
event 45+4' Raul Asencio
event 30' Kylian Mbappe Lottin
event 3' Aurelien Tchouameni
90+8' event Anatolii Trubin
event 90+7' Rodrygo Silva De Goes
90+3' event Antonio Silva / Andreas Schjelderup
event 90+6' Rodrygo Silva De Goes
90+3' event Franjo Ivanovic / Vangelis Pavlidis
event 90+2' Raul Asencio
87' event Joao Rego / Gianluca Prestianni
event 79' Jorge Cestero Sancho / Arda Guler
85' event Samuel Dahl
event 79' Brahim Diaz / Alvaro Fernandez Carreras
83' event Enzo Barrenechea / Georgiy Sudakov
event 79' David Alaba / Dean Huijsen
54' event Andreas Schjelderup
event 67' Alvaro Fernandez Carreras
45+5' event Vangelis Pavlidis
event 62' Dean Huijsen
36' event Andreas Schjelderup
event 58' Kylian Mbappe Lottin
17' event Gianluca Prestianni Penalty cancelled
event 55' Rodrygo Silva De Goes / Franco Mastantuono
11' event Leandro Barreiro Martins
event 55' Eduardo Camavinga / Aurelien Tchouameni
event 45+4' Raul Asencio
event 30' Kylian Mbappe Lottin
event 3' Aurelien Tchouameni
Benfica Benfica
Substitutions
#5 Enzo Barrenechea
#9 Franjo Ivanovic
#84 Joao Rego
#4 Antonio Silva
#7 Armindo Tue Na Bangna,Bruma
#86 Diogo Ferreira Prioste
#16 Manu Silva
#50 Diogo Ferreira
#62 Jose Neto
#58 Daniel Banjaqui
#72 Anisio
#64 Goncalo Oliveira
Benfica Benfica Real Madrid Real Madrid
22Shots16
12Shots on Goal6
11Fouls15
6Corner Kick5
5Free kick6
1Offside0
2Yellow card7
0Red card2
2Aerial1
1Save3
13Successful Tackles8
13Interceptions8
7Long pass9
2Assist2
4Successful center4
4Substitution5
3Shots off goal5
2Hit The Post0
9Head Success9
7Blocked5
4Tackle3
2Dribbles7
8Throw-in5
166Passes282
62Attacks121
53Dangerous attacks60
5Corner Kicks(HT)1
4BigChances1
3BigChancesMissed0
11ShotsInsideBox5
2ShotsOutsideBox2
21DuelsWon27
2.99ExpectedGoals1.5
1.59xGOpenPlay0.73
2.2xGNonPenalty1.5
2.47xGOT2.23
47Touches In Opposition Box29
11AccurateCrosses13
44GroundDuelsWon40
9AerialDuelsWon9
16Clearances15
Real Madrid Real Madrid
Substitutions
#4 David Alaba
#11 Rodrygo Silva De Goes
#6 Eduardo Camavinga
#21 Brahim Diaz
#28 Jorge Cestero Sancho
#2 Daniel Carvajal Ramos
#19 Daniel Ceballos Fernandez
#27 Diego Aguado Facio
#16 Gonzalo Garcia Torres
#13 Andriy Lunin
#20 Fran Garcia
#26 Fran Gonzalez
Commentary
90+8' Goal! Anatolii Trubin - Benfica
90+7' Rodrygo Silva De Goes - Real Madrid receive second yellow card
90+6' Rodrygo Silva De Goes - Real Madrid receive a yellow card
90+3' Benfica — substitution: Antonio Silva / Andreas Schjelderup
90+3' Benfica — substitution: Franjo Ivanovic / Vangelis Pavlidis
90+2' Raul Asencio - Real Madrid receive second yellow card
87' Benfica — substitution: Joao Rego / Gianluca Prestianni
85' Samuel Dahl - Benfica receive a yellow card
83' Benfica — substitution: Enzo Barrenechea / Georgiy Sudakov
79' Real Madrid — substitution: Jorge Cestero Sancho / Arda Guler
79' Real Madrid — substitution: Brahim Diaz / Alvaro Fernandez Carreras
79' Real Madrid — substitution: David Alaba / Dean Huijsen
67' Alvaro Fernandez Carreras - Real Madrid receive a yellow card
62' Dean Huijsen - Real Madrid receive a yellow card
58' Goal! Kylian Mbappe Lottin - Real Madrid
55' Real Madrid — substitution: Rodrygo Silva De Goes / Franco Mastantuono
55' Real Madrid — substitution: Eduardo Camavinga / Aurelien Tchouameni
54' Goal! Andreas Schjelderup - Benfica
45+5' Penalty scored! Vangelis Pavlidis - Benfica
45+4' Raul Asencio - Real Madrid receive a yellow card
36' Goal! Andreas Schjelderup - Benfica
30' Goal! Kylian Mbappe Lottin - Real Madrid
17' VAR review - Benfica
11' Leandro Barreiro Martins - Benfica receive a yellow card
3' Aurelien Tchouameni - Real Madrid receive a yellow card

How We Build the Benfica vs Real Madrid Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Benfica vs Real Madrid on 28 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Benfica vs Real Madrid Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Benfica's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Real Madrid's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Benfica and Real Madrid sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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