Benfica vs Real Madrid: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 February

Betiball's prediction for Benfica vs Real Madrid on 17 February 2026 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Benfica vs Real Madrid preview before placing your bet.

Benfica vs Real Madrid: Starting Lineups Time : 17/02/2026 16:00

Benfica
0 - 1
Finished
Real Madrid
90+2' event Georgiy Sudakov
81' event Dodi Lukebakio Ngandoli / Gianluca Prestianni
80' event Sidny Lopes Cabral / Fredrik Aursnes
78' event Gianluca Prestianni
74' event Richard Rios / Rafael Ferreira Silva
74' event Georgiy Sudakov / Andreas Schjelderup
event 90+9' Daniel Carvajal Ramos / Alvaro Fernandez Carreras
event 90+4' Thiago Pitarch Pinar / Eduardo Camavinga
event 87' Kylian Mbappe
event 86' Brahim Diaz / Arda Guler
event 51' Vinicius Jose Paixao de Oliveira Junior
event 50' Vinicius Jose Paixao de Oliveira Junior
90+2' event Georgiy Sudakov
event 90+9' Daniel Carvajal Ramos / Alvaro Fernandez Carreras
81' event Dodi Lukebakio Ngandoli / Gianluca Prestianni
event 90+4' Thiago Pitarch Pinar / Eduardo Camavinga
80' event Sidny Lopes Cabral / Fredrik Aursnes
event 87' Kylian Mbappe
78' event Gianluca Prestianni
event 86' Brahim Diaz / Arda Guler
74' event Richard Rios / Rafael Ferreira Silva
event 51' Vinicius Jose Paixao de Oliveira Junior
74' event Georgiy Sudakov / Andreas Schjelderup
event 50' Vinicius Jose Paixao de Oliveira Junior
Benfica Benfica
Substitutions
#11 Dodi Lukebakio Ngandoli
#20 Richard Rios
#15 Sidny Lopes Cabral
#10 Georgiy Sudakov
#5 Enzo Barrenechea
#9 Franjo Ivanovic
#6 Alexander Bahr
#7 Armindo Tue Na Bangna,Bruma
#4 Antonio Silva
#16 Manu Silva
#50 Diogo Ferreira
#72 Anisio
Benfica Benfica Real Madrid Real Madrid
10Shots16
3Shots on Goal7
6Fouls9
3Corner Kick6
9Free kick6
1Offside1
2Yellow card2
15Aerial25
6Save3
12Successful Tackles12
6Interceptions13
11Long pass29
0Assist1
3Successful center4
4Substitution3
4Shots off goal4
6Head Success14
3Blocked5
12Tackle11
7Dribbles4
19Throw-in13
442Passes623
103Attacks125
51Dangerous attacks67
1Corner Kicks(HT)3
0BigChances4
0BigChancesMissed4
4ShotsInsideBox11
6ShotsOutsideBox5
43DuelsWon44
0.41ExpectedGoals1.11
0.14xGOT1.89
23Touches In Opposition Box24
12AccurateCrosses14
36GroundDuelsWon30
7AerialDuelsWon14
28Clearances29
Real Madrid Real Madrid
Substitutions
#21 Brahim Diaz
#2 Daniel Carvajal Ramos
#45 Thiago Pitarch Pinar
#30 Franco Mastantuono
#4 David Alaba
#23 Ferland Mendy
#19 Daniel Ceballos Fernandez
#16 Gonzalo Garcia Torres
#36 Joan Martinez
#13 Andriy Lunin
#20 Fran Garcia
#28 Jorge Cestero Sancho
Commentary
90+9' Real Madrid — substitution: Daniel Carvajal Ramos / Alvaro Fernandez Carreras
90+4' Real Madrid — substitution: Thiago Pitarch Pinar / Eduardo Camavinga
90+2' Georgiy Sudakov - Benfica receive a yellow card
87' Kylian Mbappe - Real Madrid receive a yellow card
86' Real Madrid — substitution: Brahim Diaz / Arda Guler
81' Benfica — substitution: Dodi Lukebakio Ngandoli / Gianluca Prestianni
80' Benfica — substitution: Sidny Lopes Cabral / Fredrik Aursnes
78' Gianluca Prestianni - Benfica receive a yellow card
74' Benfica — substitution: Richard Rios / Rafael Ferreira Silva
74' Benfica — substitution: Georgiy Sudakov / Andreas Schjelderup
51' Vinicius Jose Paixao de Oliveira Junior - Real Madrid receive a yellow card
50' Goal! Vinicius Jose Paixao de Oliveira Junior - Real Madrid

How We Build the Benfica vs Real Madrid Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Benfica vs Real Madrid on 17 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Benfica vs Real Madrid Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Benfica's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Real Madrid's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Benfica and Real Madrid sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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