Benfica vs Qarabag: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 16 September

Benfica
DWWWD
24th place in Group A
1
2-3
FT
16/09/2025 15:00
Qarabag
DWLLW
22nd place in Group A
UEFA Champions League
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Benfica vs Qarabag on 16 September 2025 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Benfica vs Qarabag preview before placing your bet.

  • Benfica will face Qarabag in UEFA Champions League on September 16, 2025 at 15:00.
  • Benfica are currently 24th with 9 points after 8 matches.
  • Qarabag sit 22nd with 10 points from 8 matches.
  • Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 1.14.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
15:00

2025-09-16

Benfica vs Qarabag - Prediction & Odds

Benfica
Benfica
Qarabag
Qarabag
2025-09-16 15:00
79
14
7
1
2 - 1
2 - 1
3.00
1.14
FT
2-3 2-1
-
weather
23℃～24℃
STANDINGS UP TO 16/09/2025
Group A PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Arsenal Arsenal
24 8 8 0 0 23 4 19
02 Bayern Munchen Bayern Munchen
21 8 7 0 1 22 8 14
03 Liverpool Liverpool
18 8 6 0 2 20 8 12
04 Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur
17 8 5 2 1 17 7 10
05 FC Barcelona FC Barcelona
16 8 5 1 2 22 14 8
06 Chelsea Chelsea
16 8 5 1 2 17 10 7
07 Sporting CP Sporting CP
16 8 5 1 2 17 11 6
08 Manchester City Manchester City
16 8 5 1 2 15 9 6
09 Real Madrid Real Madrid
15 8 5 0 3 21 12 9
10 Inter Milan Inter Milan
15 8 5 0 3 15 7 8
11 Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
14 8 4 2 2 21 11 10
12 Newcastle United Newcastle United
14 8 4 2 2 17 7 10
13 Juventus Juventus
13 8 3 4 1 14 10 4
14 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
13 8 4 1 3 17 15 2
15 Atalanta Atalanta
13 8 4 1 3 10 10 0
16 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
12 8 3 3 2 13 14 -1
17 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
11 8 3 2 3 19 17 2
18 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus
11 8 3 2 3 10 14 -4
19 Club Brugge Club Brugge
10 8 3 1 4 15 17 -2
20 Galatasaray Galatasaray
10 8 3 1 4 9 11 -2
21 Monaco Monaco
10 8 2 4 2 8 14 -6
22 Qarabag Qarabag
10 8 3 1 4 13 21 -8
23 Bodo Glimt Bodo Glimt
9 8 2 3 3 14 15 -1
24 Benfica Benfica
9 8 3 0 5 10 12 -2
25 Marseille Marseille
9 8 3 0 5 11 14 -3
26 AEP Paphos AEP Paphos
9 8 2 3 3 8 11 -3
27 Saint Gilloise Saint Gilloise
9 8 3 0 5 8 17 -9
28 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
8 8 2 2 4 16 16 0
29 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao
8 8 2 2 4 9 14 -5
30 Napoli Napoli
8 8 2 2 4 9 15 -6
31 FC Copenhagen FC Copenhagen
8 8 2 2 4 12 21 -9
32 AFC Ajax AFC Ajax
6 8 2 0 6 8 21 -13
33 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
4 8 1 1 6 10 21 -11
34 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha
3 8 0 3 5 5 19 -14
35 Villarreal Villarreal
1 8 0 1 7 5 18 -13
36 FC Kairat Almaty FC Kairat Almaty
1 8 0 1 7 7 22 -15
Benfica Benfica Last 6 matches
12/09/2025 15:15
Benfica 1 - 1 Santa Clara
POR D1
31/08/2025 13:00
Alverca 1 - 2 Benfica
POR D1
27/08/2025 15:00
Benfica 1 - 0 Fenerbahce
UEFA CL
23/08/2025 15:30
Benfica 3 - 0 CD Tondela
POR D1
20/08/2025 15:00
Fenerbahce 0 - 0 Benfica
UEFA CL
16/08/2025 15:30
Estrela da Amadora 0 - 1 Benfica
POR D1
Win
67%
Draw
33%
Lost
0%
Last 6 matches Qarabag Qarabag
12/09/2025 12:00
Qarabag 1 - 1 Zira FK
AZE D1
31/08/2025 09:00
Karvan Evlakh 0 - 2 Qarabag
AZE D1
27/08/2025 12:45
Qarabag 2 - 3 Ferencvarosi TC
UEFA CL
22/08/2025 11:30
Qarabag 0 - 1 Standard Sumgayit
AZE D1
19/08/2025 15:00
Ferencvarosi TC 1 - 3 Qarabag
UEFA CL
12/08/2025 12:00
Qarabag 5 - 1 FK Shkendija 79
UEFA CL
Win
50%
Draw
17%
Lost
33%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues UEFA Champions League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Benfica
Benfica
14
 Qarabag
Qarabag
16
Goals
Scored
6
Avg. per game
0.43
Conceded
10
Avg. per game
0.71
Scored
15
Avg. per game
0.94
Conceded
17
Avg. per game
1.06
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
4 (67%)2 (33%)
In last 14 matches
YesNo
4 (29%)10 (71%)
In last 14 matches
NoYes
9 (56%)7 (44%)
Benfica

Benfica

Recent matches

Qarabag

Qarabag

Under /Over

(64%)9 5(36%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(88%)14 2(12%)

Under /Over

(29%)4 10(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(63%)10 6(37%)

Under /Over

(36%)5 9(64%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(69%)11 5(31%)

/Yes

(21%)3 11(79%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(63%)10 6(37%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Benfica Benfica
Qarabag Qarabag
Shots
Benfica
Benfica
Total shots
13.86 avg / game
Blocked
67 total
Avg. 4.79
Qarabag
Qarabag
Total shots
11.81 avg / game
Blocked
36 total
Avg. 2.77
Benfica Benfica Pass Qarabag Qarabag
Total passes
5964
Avg. 426 / game
Accurate
83%
Ball possession
47%
Total passes
4490
Avg. 345 / game
Accurate
82%
Ball possession
49%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Benfica
Benfica
1290
Avg. 92.14 / game
 Qarabag
Qarabag
1477
Avg. 92.31 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Benfica
Benfica
622
Avg. 44.43 / game
 Qarabag
Qarabag
784
Avg. 49.00 / game
OTHERS
Benfica
Benfica
14
Played games
Qarabag
Qarabag
16
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.43
6
Clean sheets
4
0.25
5.36
75
Corners
70
4.38
15.79
221
Throw-ins
192
12.00
1.36
19
Offsides
20
1.25
2.93
41
GK saves
54
3.38
Benfica
Benfica
DISCIPLINARY
Qarabag
Qarabag
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.79
25
Yellow card
21
1.31
0.07
1
Red card
0
0.00
10.50
147
Fouls
142
8.88
10.29
144
Tackles
104
6.50
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How We Build the Benfica vs Qarabag Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Benfica vs Qarabag on 16 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Champions League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Benfica vs Qarabag Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Benfica's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Qarabag's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Champions League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Champions League standings and the UEFA Champions League form table to understand exactly where Benfica and Qarabag sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Champions League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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