Benfica vs Qarabag: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 16 September

Benfica

D W W W D

24th place in Group A

2-3

16/09/2025 15:00

Qarabag

D W L L W

22nd place in Group A

UEFA Champions League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Benfica vs Qarabag on 16 September 2025 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Benfica vs Qarabag preview before placing your bet.

Benfica are currently 24th with 9 points after 8 matches.
Qarabag sit 22nd with 10 points from 8 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Benfica to win with probability 79%.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2025-09-16

Benfica vs Qarabag - Prediction & Odds

Benfica

Qarabag

2025-09-16 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 16/09/2025

Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Arsenal	24	8	8	0	0	23	4	19
02 Bayern Munchen	21	8	7	0	1	22	8	14
03 Liverpool	18	8	6	0	2	20	8	12
04 Tottenham Hotspur	17	8	5	2	1	17	7	10
05 FC Barcelona	16	8	5	1	2	22	14	8
06 Chelsea	16	8	5	1	2	17	10	7
07 Sporting CP	16	8	5	1	2	17	11	6
08 Manchester City	16	8	5	1	2	15	9	6
09 Real Madrid	15	8	5	0	3	21	12	9
10 Inter Milan	15	8	5	0	3	15	7	8
11 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)	14	8	4	2	2	21	11	10
12 Newcastle United	14	8	4	2	2	17	7	10
13 Juventus	13	8	3	4	1	14	10	4
14 Atletico Madrid	13	8	4	1	3	17	15	2
15 Atalanta	13	8	4	1	3	10	10	0
16 Bayer Leverkusen	12	8	3	3	2	13	14	-1
17 Borussia Dortmund	11	8	3	2	3	19	17	2
18 Olympiakos Piraeus	11	8	3	2	3	10	14	-4
19 Club Brugge	10	8	3	1	4	15	17	-2
20 Galatasaray	10	8	3	1	4	9	11	-2
21 Monaco	10	8	2	4	2	8	14	-6
22 Qarabag	10	8	3	1	4	13	21	-8
23 Bodo Glimt	9	8	2	3	3	14	15	-1
24 Benfica	9	8	3	0	5	10	12	-2
25 Marseille	9	8	3	0	5	11	14	-3
26 AEP Paphos	9	8	2	3	3	8	11	-3
27 Saint Gilloise	9	8	3	0	5	8	17	-9
28 PSV Eindhoven	8	8	2	2	4	16	16	0
29 Athletic Bilbao	8	8	2	2	4	9	14	-5
30 Napoli	8	8	2	2	4	9	15	-6
31 FC Copenhagen	8	8	2	2	4	12	21	-9
32 AFC Ajax	6	8	2	0	6	8	21	-13
33 Eintracht Frankfurt	4	8	1	1	6	10	21	-11
34 Slavia Praha	3	8	0	3	5	5	19	-14
35 Villarreal	1	8	0	1	7	5	18	-13
36 FC Kairat Almaty	1	8	0	1	7	7	22	-15

Benfica Last 6 matches

12/09/2025 15:15

Benfica 1 - 1 Santa Clara POR D1

31/08/2025 13:00

Alverca 1 - 2 Benfica POR D1

27/08/2025 15:00

Benfica 1 - 0 Fenerbahce UEFA CL

23/08/2025 15:30

Benfica 3 - 0 CD Tondela POR D1

20/08/2025 15:00

Fenerbahce 0 - 0 Benfica UEFA CL

16/08/2025 15:30

Estrela da Amadora 0 - 1 Benfica POR D1

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Last 6 matches Qarabag

12/09/2025 12:00

Qarabag 1 - 1 Zira FK AZE D1

31/08/2025 09:00

Karvan Evlakh 0 - 2 Qarabag AZE D1

27/08/2025 12:45

Qarabag 2 - 3 Ferencvarosi TC UEFA CL

22/08/2025 11:30

Qarabag 0 - 1 Standard Sumgayit AZE D1

19/08/2025 15:00

Ferencvarosi TC 1 - 3 Qarabag UEFA CL

12/08/2025 12:00

Qarabag 5 - 1 FK Shkendija 79 UEFA CL

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Champions League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

341

Avg. per game

1.14

Conceded

151

Avg. per game

0.50

Scored

373

Avg. per game

1.24

Conceded

178

Avg. per game

0.59

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

204 (68%)96 (32%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

203 (68%)97 (32%)

Benfica

Recent matches

Qarabag

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

/Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Benfica

Qarabag

Shots

Benfica

Total shots

15.17 avg / game

Blocked

928 total

Avg. 4.14

Qarabag

Total shots

13.37 avg / game

Blocked

180 total

Avg. 3.40

Benfica Pass Qarabag

Total passes

127763

Avg. 505 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

57%

Total passes

22382

Avg. 414 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

58%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Benfica

300

Played games

Qarabag

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.43

128

Clean sheets

122

0.41

6.59

1977

Corners

1859

6.20

15.46

4638

Throw-ins

864

2.88

1.83

549

Offsides

185

0.62

2.28

683

GK saves

243

0.81

Benfica

DISCIPLINARY

Qarabag

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.89

567

483

1.61

0.07

0.05

10.72

3215

Fouls

957

3.19

14.00

4200

Tackles

777

2.59

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Benfica vs Qarabag Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Benfica vs Qarabag on 16 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Champions League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Benfica vs Qarabag Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Benfica's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Qarabag's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Champions League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Champions League standings and the UEFA Champions League form table to understand exactly where Benfica and Qarabag sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Champions League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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