Bayer Leverkusen vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – February 28

Bayer Leverkusen

W L W W L

6th place in German Bundesliga

1-1

28/02/2026 10:30

FSV Mainz 05

L D L W L

10th place in German Bundesliga

German Bundesliga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Bayer Leverkusen vs FSV Mainz 05 on February 28, 2026 (kick-off: 10:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Bayer Leverkusen vs FSV Mainz 05 preview before placing for you.

Bayer Leverkusen are currently 6th with 59 points after 34 matches.
FSV Mainz 05 sit 10th with 40 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Bayer Leverkusen to win with probability 54%.
Head-to-head history favors Bayer Leverkusen, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. FSV Mainz 05 have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:30

2026-02-28

Bayer Leverkusen vs FSV Mainz 05 - Prediction & Odds

Bayer Leverkusen

FSV Mainz 05

2026-02-28 10:30

STANDINGS UP TO 28/02/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Bayern Munchen	89	34	28	5	1	122	36	86
02 Borussia Dortmund	73	34	22	7	5	70	34	36
03 RB Leipzig	65	34	20	5	9	66	47	19
04 VfB Stuttgart	62	34	18	8	8	71	49	22
05 TSG Hoffenheim	61	34	18	7	9	65	52	13
06 Bayer Leverkusen	59	34	17	8	9	68	47	21
07 SC Freiburg	47	34	13	8	13	51	57	-6
08 Eintracht Frankfurt	44	34	11	11	12	61	65	-4
09 Augsburg	43	34	12	7	15	45	61	-16
10 FSV Mainz 05	40	34	10	10	14	44	53	-9
11 Union Berlin	39	34	10	9	15	44	58	-14
12 Borussia Monchengladbach	38	34	9	11	14	42	53	-11
13 Hamburger SV	38	34	9	11	14	40	54	-14
14 FC Koln	32	34	7	11	16	49	63	-14
15 Werder Bremen	32	34	8	8	18	37	60	-23
16 VfL Wolfsburg	29	34	7	8	19	45	69	-24
17 Heidenheimer	26	34	6	8	20	41	72	-31
18 St. Pauli	26	34	6	8	20	29	60	-31

Head To Head

18/10/2025 09:30

FSV Mainz 05

3 - 4

Bayer Leverkusen

GER D1

17/05/2025 09:30

FSV Mainz 05

2 - 2

Bayer Leverkusen

GER D1

14/01/2025 15:30

Bayer Leverkusen

1 - 0

FSV Mainz 05

GER D1

23/02/2024 15:30

Bayer Leverkusen

2 - 1

FSV Mainz 05

GER D1

30/09/2023 09:30

FSV Mainz 05

0 - 3

Bayer Leverkusen

GER D1

19/02/2023 14:30

Bayer Leverkusen

2 - 3

FSV Mainz 05

GER D1

Bayer Leverkusen

67%

Draw

17%

FSV Mainz 05

17%

Bayer Leverkusen Last 6 matches

18/02/2026 16:00

Olympiakos Piraeus 0 - 2 Bayer Leverkusen UEFA CL

14/02/2026 10:30

Bayer Leverkusen 4 - 0 St. Pauli GER D1

07/02/2026 13:30

Borussia Monchengladbach 1 - 1 Bayer Leverkusen GER D1

03/02/2026 15:45

Bayer Leverkusen 3 - 0 St. Pauli GERC

31/01/2026 10:30

Eintracht Frankfurt 1 - 3 Bayer Leverkusen GER D1

28/01/2026 16:00

Bayer Leverkusen 3 - 0 Villarreal UEFA CL

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Last 6 matches FSV Mainz 05

20/02/2026 15:40

FSV Mainz 05 1 - 1 Hamburger SV GER D1

13/02/2026 15:30

Borussia Dortmund 4 - 0 FSV Mainz 05 GER D1

07/02/2026 10:30

FSV Mainz 05 2 - 0 Augsburg GER D1

31/01/2026 10:30

RB Leipzig 1 - 2 FSV Mainz 05 GER D1

24/01/2026 10:30

FSV Mainz 05 3 - 1 VfL Wolfsburg GER D1

17/01/2026 10:30

FC Koln 2 - 1 FSV Mainz 05 GER D1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues German Bundesliga

Played games

Goals

Scored

606

Avg. per game

2.02

Conceded

364

Avg. per game

1.21

Scored

419

Avg. per game

1.57

Conceded

373

Avg. per game

1.40

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

246 (82%)54 (18%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

203 (76%)64 (24%)

Bayer Leverkusen

Recent matches

FSV Mainz 05

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Bayer Leverkusen

FSV Mainz 05

Shots

Bayer Leverkusen

Total shots

14.40 avg / game

Blocked

898 total

Avg. 3.65

FSV Mainz 05

Total shots

12.73 avg / game

Blocked

730 total

Avg. 3.43

Bayer Leverkusen Pass FSV Mainz 05

Total passes

153068

Avg. 571 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

57%

Total passes

88287

Avg. 394 / game

Accurate

74%

Ball possession

47%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Bayer Leverkusen

300

Played games

FSV Mainz 05

267

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.33

Clean sheets

0.25

5.52

1656

Corners

1272

4.76

15.88

4765

Throw-ins

4887

18.30

1.67

500

Offsides

475

1.78

2.71

813

GK saves

711

2.66

Bayer Leverkusen

DISCIPLINARY

FSV Mainz 05

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.82

546

488

1.83

0.07

0.08

9.46

2837

Fouls

3092

11.58

11.62

3486

Tackles

3422

12.82

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Bayer Leverkusen vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Bayer Leverkusen vs FSV Mainz 05 on 28 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this German Bundesliga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Bayer Leverkusen vs FSV Mainz 05 Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Bayer Leverkusen's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against FSV Mainz 05's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

German Bundesliga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live German Bundesliga standings and the German Bundesliga form table to understand exactly where Bayer Leverkusen and FSV Mainz 05 sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our German Bundesliga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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