Bastia vs Pau FC Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – September 26

Bastia

W W L L W

13th place in France Ligue 2

1-4

26/09/2023 14:45

Pau FC

W D L L L

10th place in France Ligue 2

France Ligue 2

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Bastia vs Pau FC on September 26, 2023 (kick-off: 14:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Bastia vs Pau FC preview before placing for you.

Bastia are currently 13th with 50 points after 38 matches.
Pau FC sit 10th with 51 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Bastia to win with probability 53%.
Head-to-head history favors Bastia, who have won 2 of the last 4 meetings. Pau FC have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:45

2023-09-26

Bastia vs Pau FC - Prediction & Odds

Bastia

Pau FC

2023-09-26 14:45

STANDINGS UP TO 26/09/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 AJ Auxerre	74	38	21	11	6	72	36	36
02 Angers	68	38	20	8	10	56	42	14
03 Saint Etienne	65	38	19	8	11	48	31	17
04 Rodez Aveyron	60	38	16	12	10	62	51	11
05 Paris FC	59	38	16	11	11	49	42	7
06 Caen	58	38	17	7	14	51	45	6
07 Stade Lavallois MFC	55	38	15	10	13	40	45	-5
08 Amiens	53	38	12	17	9	36	36	0
09 Guingamp	51	38	13	12	13	44	40	4
10 Pau FC	51	38	13	12	13	60	57	3
11 Grenoble	51	38	13	12	13	43	44	-1
12 Bordeaux	50	38	14	9	15	50	52	-2
13 Bastia	50	38	14	9	15	44	48	-4
14 FC Annecy	46	38	12	10	16	49	50	-1
15 Ajaccio	46	38	12	10	16	35	46	-11
16 USL Dunkerque	46	38	12	10	16	36	52	-16
17 Troyes	41	37	9	14	14	42	49	-7
18 Quevilly	38	38	7	17	14	51	55	-4
19 Concarneau	38	38	10	8	20	39	57	-18
20 Valenciennes	26	37	5	11	21	25	54	-29

Head To Head

20/05/2023 13:00

Pau FC

2 - 6

Bastia

FRA D2

13/01/2023 15:45

Bastia

1 - 0

Pau FC

FRA D2

05/02/2022 14:00

Bastia

1 - 1

Pau FC

FRA D2

21/08/2021 13:00

Pau FC

2 - 0

Bastia

FRA D2

Bastia

50%

Draw

25%

Pau FC

25%

Bastia Last 6 matches

23/09/2023 13:00

Angers 2 - 0 Bastia FRA D2

16/09/2023 13:00

Bastia 0 - 3 Stade Lavallois MFC FRA D2

02/09/2023 13:00

Grenoble 0 - 0 Bastia FRA D2

26/08/2023 13:00

Bastia 3 - 2 Troyes FRA D2

19/08/2023 13:00

Amiens 2 - 1 Bastia FRA D2

12/08/2023 13:00

Bastia 3 - 0 Valenciennes FRA D2

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Pau FC

23/09/2023 13:00

Pau FC 0 - 3 FC Annecy FRA D2

16/09/2023 13:00

AJ Auxerre 2 - 2 Pau FC FRA D2

06/09/2023 14:15

SD Huesca 3 - 0 Pau FC INT CF

02/09/2023 13:00

Pau FC 2 - 2 Rodez Aveyron FRA D2

26/08/2023 13:00

Guingamp 4 - 0 Pau FC FRA D2

19/08/2023 13:00

Pau FC 2 - 0 Paris FC FRA D2

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues France Ligue 2

Played games

Goals

Scored

338

Avg. per game

1.28

Conceded

288

Avg. per game

1.09

Scored

329

Avg. per game

1.25

Conceded

377

Avg. per game

1.43

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 265 matches

YesNo

184 (69%)81 (31%)

In last 265 matches

NoYes

185 (70%)78 (30%)

Bastia

Recent matches

Pau FC

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

Under /Over

(22%)10 35(78%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

/Yes

(36%)16 29(64%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Bastia

Pau FC

Shots

Bastia

Total shots

10.29 avg / game

Blocked

377 total

Avg. 2.60

Pau FC

Total shots

9.70 avg / game

Blocked

384 total

Avg. 2.78

Bastia Pass Pau FC

Total passes

71632

Avg. 387 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

76731

Avg. 424 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

48%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Bastia

265

Played games

Pau FC

263

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.34

Clean sheets

0.27

3.90

1033

Corners

1034

3.93

7.85

2079

Throw-ins

1674

6.37

1.35

357

Offsides

385

1.46

1.66

441

GK saves

663

2.52

Bastia

DISCIPLINARY

Pau FC

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.83

486

481

1.83

0.13

0.10

10.37

2749

Fouls

2856

10.86

10.18

2699

Tackles

2356

8.96

NEXT MATCHES

08/07

Bastia

Le Puy Foot 43 Auvergne

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Bastia vs Pau FC Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Bastia vs Pau FC on 26 September 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this France Ligue 2 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Bastia vs Pau FC Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Bastia's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Pau FC's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

France Ligue 2 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live France Ligue 2 standings and the France Ligue 2 form table to understand exactly where Bastia and Pau FC sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our France Ligue 2 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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