Bastia vs Le Mans: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 09 May

Betiball's prediction for Bastia vs Le Mans on 09 May 2026 (kick-off: 14:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Bastia vs Le Mans preview before placing your bet.

Bastia vs Le Mans: Starting Lineups Time : 09/05/2026 14:00

Bastia
0 - 2
Finished
Le Mans
89' event Christophe Vincent
75' event Anthony Roncaglia / Dominique Guidi
75' event Christophe Vincent / Ruben Beliandjou
60' event Mehdi Merghem / Tom Ducrocq
46' event Gustave Akueson / Juan Guevara
45+4' event Tom Ducrocq
40' event Zakaria Ariss
26' event Dominique Guidi
23' event Jeremy Sebas / Felix Tomi
event 90+1' Milan Robin
event 84' Anthony Ribelin / Lucas Calodat
event 83' Milan Robin / Alexandre Lauray
event 83' William Harhouz / Antoine Rabillard
event 67' Adil Bourabaa / Edwin Quarshie
event 42' Dame Gueye / Erwan Colas
event 40' Alexandre Lauray
event 16' Erwan Colas
event 3' Harold Voyer
89' event Christophe Vincent
event 90+1' Milan Robin
75' event Anthony Roncaglia / Dominique Guidi
event 84' Anthony Ribelin / Lucas Calodat
75' event Christophe Vincent / Ruben Beliandjou
event 83' Milan Robin / Alexandre Lauray
60' event Mehdi Merghem / Tom Ducrocq
event 83' William Harhouz / Antoine Rabillard
46' event Gustave Akueson / Juan Guevara
event 67' Adil Bourabaa / Edwin Quarshie
45+4' event Tom Ducrocq
event 42' Dame Gueye / Erwan Colas
40' event Zakaria Ariss
event 40' Alexandre Lauray
26' event Dominique Guidi
event 16' Erwan Colas
23' event Jeremy Sebas / Felix Tomi
event 3' Harold Voyer
Bastia Bastia
Substitutions
#28 Gustave Akueson
#15 Florian Bohnert
#16 Sacha Contena
#29 Mehdi Merghem
#4 Anthony Roncaglia
#14 Jeremy Sebas
#7 Christophe Vincent
Bastia Bastia Le Mans Le Mans
8Shots8
2Shots on Goal5
13Fouls14
2Corner Kick3
14Free kick13
1Offside4
4Yellow card2
0Aerial1
2Save2
12Successful Tackles16
13Interceptions15
26Long pass22
2Successful center7
3Shots off goal2
0Hit The Post1
3Blocked1
11Tackle15
4Dribbles4
30Throw-in26
361Passes323
104Attacks101
28Dangerous attacks28
0Corner Kicks(HT)1
0BigChances2
0BigChancesMissed2
5ShotsInsideBox6
3ShotsOutsideBox1
53DuelsWon56
0.8ExpectedGoals1.16
0.8xGNonPenalty1.16
0.34xGOT1.4
11Touches In Opposition Box18
12AccurateCrosses16
35GroundDuelsWon36
18AerialDuelsWon20
32Clearances17
Le Mans Le Mans
Substitutions
#11 Adil Bourabaa
#3 Isaac Cossier
#55 Augustin Delbecque
#25 Dame Gueye
#20 William Harhouz
#12 Anthony Ribelin
#24 Milan Robin
Commentary
90+1' Goal! Milan Robin - Le Mans
89' Christophe Vincent - Bastia receive a yellow card
84' Le Mans — substitution: Anthony Ribelin / Lucas Calodat
83' Le Mans — substitution: Milan Robin / Alexandre Lauray
83' Le Mans — substitution: William Harhouz / Antoine Rabillard
75' Bastia — substitution: Anthony Roncaglia / Dominique Guidi
75' Bastia — substitution: Christophe Vincent / Ruben Beliandjou
67' Le Mans — substitution: Adil Bourabaa / Edwin Quarshie
60' Bastia — substitution: Mehdi Merghem / Tom Ducrocq
46' Bastia — substitution: Gustave Akueson / Juan Guevara
45+4' Tom Ducrocq - Bastia receive a yellow card
42' Le Mans — substitution: Dame Gueye / Erwan Colas
40' Zakaria Ariss - Bastia receive a yellow card
40' Alexandre Lauray - Le Mans receive a yellow card
26' Dominique Guidi - Bastia receive a yellow card
23' Bastia — substitution: Jeremy Sebas / Felix Tomi
16' Goal! Erwan Colas - Le Mans
3' Harold Voyer - Le Mans receive a yellow card

How We Build the Bastia vs Le Mans Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Bastia vs Le Mans on 09 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Bastia vs Le Mans Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Bastia's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Le Mans's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Bastia and Le Mans sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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