Bastia vs Le Mans: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 09 May

Bastia
DLWDW
17th place in France Ligue 2
2
0-2
FT
09/05/2026 14:00
Le Mans
WDWDD
2nd place in France Ligue 2
France Ligue 2
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Bastia vs Le Mans on 09 May 2026 (kick-off: 14:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Bastia vs Le Mans preview before placing your bet.

  • Bastia will face Le Mans in France Ligue 2 on May 9, 2026 at 14:00.
  • Bastia are currently 17th with 28 points after 34 matches.
  • Le Mans sit 2nd with 62 points from 34 matches.
  • Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 2.28.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
14:00

2026-05-09

Bastia vs Le Mans - Prediction & Odds

Bastia
Bastia
Le Mans
Le Mans
2026-05-09 14:00
33
28
39
2
1 - 1
1 - 1
2.25
2.28
FT
0-2 0-1
-
weather
17℃～18℃
STANDINGS UP TO 09/05/2026
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Troyes Troyes
67 34 20 7 7 60 33 27
02 Le Mans Le Mans
62 34 16 14 4 50 31 19
03 Saint Etienne Saint Etienne
60 34 18 6 10 59 38 21
04 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93
58 34 16 10 8 48 37 11
05 Rodez Aveyron Rodez Aveyron
58 34 15 13 6 45 39 6
06 Reims Reims
56 34 14 14 6 53 35 18
07 FC Annecy FC Annecy
52 34 15 7 12 49 39 10
08 Montpellier Montpellier
51 34 14 9 11 41 31 10
09 Pau FC Pau FC
45 34 12 9 13 48 62 -14
10 USL Dunkerque USL Dunkerque
43 34 11 10 13 53 45 8
11 Guingamp Guingamp
40 34 10 10 14 42 49 -7
12 Grenoble Grenoble
39 34 8 15 11 33 39 -6
13 Clermont Clermont
37 34 9 10 15 38 44 -6
14 Nancy Nancy
37 34 9 10 15 35 52 -17
15 Boulogne Boulogne
36 34 9 9 16 34 49 -15
16 Stade Lavallois MFC Stade Lavallois MFC
32 34 6 14 14 30 48 -18
17 Bastia Bastia
28 34 5 13 16 23 42 -19
18 Amiens Amiens
24 34 6 6 22 37 65 -28
Head To Head
22/08/2025 14:00
Le Mans Le Mans
1 - 0
Bastia Bastia
FRA D2
08/02/2021 13:45
Bastia Bastia
1 - 0
Le Mans Le Mans
FRA D3
07/09/2020 15:00
Le Mans Le Mans
1 - 3
Bastia Bastia
FRA D3
17/11/2018 15:00
Bastia Bastia
2 - 1
Le Mans Le Mans
FRAC
04/05/2012 14:00
Le Mans Le Mans
3 - 0
Bastia Bastia
FRA D2
12/08/2011 14:00
Bastia Bastia
1 - 0
Le Mans Le Mans
FRA D2
Le Mans
5
83%
Draw
0
0%
Bastia
1
17%
Bastia Bastia Last 6 matches
02/05/2026 14:00
Guingamp 0 - 1 Bastia
FRA D2
24/04/2026 14:00
Clermont 1 - 1 Bastia
FRA D2
18/04/2026 14:00
Bastia 2 - 0 Saint Etienne
FRA D2
11/04/2026 08:00
Red Star FC 93 4 - 3 Bastia
FRA D2
03/04/2026 14:00
Bastia 1 - 1 Amiens
FRA D2
20/03/2026 15:00
Rodez Aveyron 1 - 1 Bastia
FRA D2
Win
33%
Draw
50%
Lost
17%
Last 6 matches Le Mans Le Mans
02/05/2026 14:00
Le Mans 1 - 1 Reims
FRA D2
25/04/2026 08:00
Grenoble 1 - 1 Le Mans
FRA D2
17/04/2026 14:00
Le Mans 1 - 0 Clermont
FRA D2
11/04/2026 08:00
Boulogne 0 - 0 Le Mans
FRA D2
06/04/2026 14:45
Le Mans 4 - 0 Pau FC
FRA D2
20/03/2026 15:00
Amiens 3 - 4 Le Mans
FRA D2
Win
50%
Draw
50%
Lost
0%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues France Ligue 2

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Bastia
Bastia
17
 Le Mans
Le Mans
17
Goals
Scored
6
Avg. per game
0.35
Conceded
11
Avg. per game
0.65
Scored
8
Avg. per game
0.47
Conceded
1
Avg. per game
0.06
Scored a goal
In last 6 home matches
YesNo
2 (33%)4 (67%)
In last 6 home matches
NoYes
4 (67%)2 (33%)
In last 17 home matches
YesNo
6 (35%)11 (65%)
In last 17 home matches
NoYes
6 (35%)11 (65%)
Bastia

Bastia

Recent matches

Le Mans

Le Mans

Under /Over

(65%)11 6(35%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(41%)7 10(59%)

Under /Over

(24%)4 13(76%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(18%)3 14(82%)

Under /Over

(18%)3 14(82%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(24%)4 13(76%)

/Yes

(29%)5 12(71%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(29%)5 12(71%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Bastia Bastia
Le Mans Le Mans
Shots
Bastia
Bastia
Total shots
12.71 avg / game
Blocked
65 total
Avg. 3.82
Le Mans
Le Mans
Total shots
12.29 avg / game
Blocked
41 total
Avg. 2.93
Bastia Bastia Pass Le Mans Le Mans
Total passes
6279
Avg. 369 / game
Accurate
76%
Ball possession
53%
Total passes
6998
Avg. 412 / game
Accurate
78%
Ball possession
51%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Bastia
Bastia
1651
Avg. 97.12 / game
 Le Mans
Le Mans
1711
Avg. 100.65 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Bastia
Bastia
748
Avg. 44.00 / game
 Le Mans
Le Mans
827
Avg. 48.65 / game
OTHERS
Bastia
Bastia
17
Played games
Le Mans
Le Mans
17
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.35
6
Clean sheets
11
0.65
4.41
75
Corners
92
5.41
24.71
420
Throw-ins
361
21.24
1.47
25
Offsides
45
2.65
1.76
30
GK saves
35
2.06
Bastia
Bastia
DISCIPLINARY
Le Mans
Le Mans
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
2.71
46
Yellow card
39
2.29
0.18
3
Red card
1
0.06
16.00
272
Fouls
279
16.41
10.00
170
Tackles
203
11.94
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Lens Lens
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How We Build the Bastia vs Le Mans Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Bastia vs Le Mans on 09 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this France Ligue 2 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Bastia vs Le Mans Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Bastia's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Le Mans's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

France Ligue 2 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live France Ligue 2 standings and the France Ligue 2 form table to understand exactly where Bastia and Le Mans sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our France Ligue 2 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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