Basel vs Luzern: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 September

Basel
WLWWD
4th place in League
1
1-2
FT
28/09/2025 10:30
Luzern
LWLWL
7th place in League
Swiss Super League
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Basel vs Luzern on 28 September 2025 (kick-off: 10:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Basel vs Luzern preview before placing your bet.

  • Basel will face Luzern in Swiss Super League on September 28, 2025 at 10:30.
  • Basel are currently 4th with 53 points after 33 matches.
  • Luzern sit 7th with 40 points from 33 matches.
  • Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 2 and average coefficient 1.41.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
10:30

2025-09-28

Basel vs Luzern - Prediction & Odds

Basel
Basel
Luzern
Luzern
2025-09-28 10:30
62
19
19
1
2 - 2
2 - 2
3.50
1.41
FT
1-2 0-1
-
weather
15℃～16℃
STANDINGS UP TO 28/09/2025
League PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Thun Thun
74 33 24 2 7 75 37 38
02 St. Gallen St. Gallen
60 33 17 9 7 64 40 24
03 Lugano Lugano
57 33 16 9 8 50 38 12
04 Basel Basel
53 33 15 8 10 51 45 6
05 FC Sion FC Sion
52 33 13 13 7 51 35 16
06 Young Boys Young Boys
48 33 13 9 11 65 60 5
07 Luzern Luzern
40 33 10 10 13 64 61 3
08 Servette Servette
40 33 9 13 11 57 57 0
09 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports
39 33 10 9 14 47 57 -10
10 FC Zurich FC Zurich
34 33 10 4 19 45 63 -18
11 Grasshopper Grasshopper
27 33 6 9 18 40 65 -25
12 Winterthur Winterthur
19 33 4 7 22 35 86 -51
Championship Group PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Thun Thun
75 5 0 1 4 5 15 -10
02 St. Gallen St. Gallen
70 5 3 1 1 8 7 1
03 Lugano Lugano
67 5 3 1 1 9 4 5
04 FC Sion FC Sion
63 5 3 2 0 12 5 7
05 Basel Basel
56 5 1 0 4 4 13 -9
06 Young Boys Young Boys
55 5 2 1 2 15 9 6
Relegation PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Servette Servette
53 5 4 1 0 14 6 8
02 Luzern Luzern
53 5 4 1 0 12 5 7
03 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports
42 5 1 0 4 6 10 -4
04 FC Zurich FC Zurich
38 5 1 1 3 4 9 -5
05 Grasshopper Grasshopper
33 5 2 0 3 8 9 -1
06 Winterthur Winterthur
23 5 1 1 3 9 14 -5
Head To Head
24/05/2025 12:00
Basel Basel
4 - 0
Luzern Luzern
SUI SL
09/03/2025 11:30
Luzern Luzern
1 - 1
Basel Basel
SUI SL
06/02/2025 15:30
Basel Basel
2 - 1
Luzern Luzern
SUI SL
29/09/2024 10:30
Luzern Luzern
1 - 0
Basel Basel
SUI SL
05/05/2024 08:15
Basel Basel
1 - 1
Luzern Luzern
SUI SL
21/04/2024 10:30
Luzern Luzern
1 - 1
Basel Basel
SUI SL
Basel
3
50%
Draw
3
50%
Luzern
0
0%
Basel Basel Last 6 matches
19/09/2025 13:00
Etoile Carouge 1 - 1 Basel
SUI Cup
13/09/2025 12:00
Thun 1 - 3 Basel
SUI SL
30/08/2025 14:30
FC Sion 0 - 1 Basel
SUI SL
27/08/2025 15:00
FC Copenhagen 2 - 0 Basel
UEFA CL
20/08/2025 15:00
Basel 1 - 1 FC Copenhagen
UEFA CL
16/08/2025 14:30
Biel Bienne 1 - 6 Basel
SUI Cup
Win
50%
Draw
33%
Lost
17%
Last 6 matches Luzern Luzern
21/09/2025 10:00
Bosna Neuchatel 0 - 6 Luzern
SUI Cup
14/09/2025 10:30
Luzern 1 - 2 Young Boys
SUI SL
31/08/2025 10:30
Servette 2 - 2 Luzern
SUI SL
24/08/2025 10:30
St. Gallen 0 - 1 Luzern
SUI SL
15/08/2025 11:00
FC Perlen Buchrain 0 - 3 Luzern
SUI Cup
09/08/2025 14:30
Luzern 1 - 2 Thun
SUI SL
Win
50%
Draw
17%
Lost
33%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Swiss Super League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Basel
Basel
38
 Luzern
Luzern
38
Goals
Scored
30
Avg. per game
0.79
Conceded
34
Avg. per game
0.89
Scored
46
Avg. per game
1.21
Conceded
39
Avg. per game
1.03
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
6 (100%)0 (0%)
In last 38 matches
YesNo
23 (61%)15 (39%)
In last 38 matches
NoYes
26 (68%)12 (32%)
Basel

Basel

Recent matches

Luzern

Luzern

Under /Over

(84%)32 6(16%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(92%)35 3(8%)

Under /Over

(34%)13 25(66%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(47%)18 20(53%)

Under /Over

(55%)21 17(45%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(76%)29 9(24%)

/Yes

(61%)23 15(39%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(74%)28 10(26%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Basel Basel
Luzern Luzern
Shots
Basel
Basel
Total shots
15.43 avg / game
Blocked
142 total
Avg. 4.06
Luzern
Luzern
Total shots
14.35 avg / game
Blocked
147 total
Avg. 4.08
Basel Basel Pass Luzern Luzern
Total passes
16611
Avg. 449 / game
Accurate
83%
Ball possession
55%
Total passes
14401
Avg. 389 / game
Accurate
78%
Ball possession
50%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Basel
Basel
3597
Avg. 94.66 / game
 Luzern
Luzern
3277
Avg. 86.24 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Basel
Basel
1835
Avg. 48.29 / game
 Luzern
Luzern
1852
Avg. 48.74 / game
OTHERS
Basel
Basel
38
Played games
Luzern
Luzern
38
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.24
9
Clean sheets
7
0.18
5.55
211
Corners
203
5.34
19.74
750
Throw-ins
794
20.89
1.76
67
Offsides
63
1.66
3.55
135
GK saves
103
2.71
Basel
Basel
DISCIPLINARY
Luzern
Luzern
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.82
69
Yellow card
76
2.00
0.05
2
Red card
4
0.11
10.03
381
Fouls
464
12.21
10.08
383
Tackles
408
10.74
NEXT MATCHES
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SUI
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VS
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VS
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SUI
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VS
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VS
Luzern Luzern
SUI
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VS
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08/22
Luzern Luzern
VS
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SUI

How We Build the Basel vs Luzern Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Basel vs Luzern on 28 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Swiss Super League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Basel vs Luzern Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Basel's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Luzern's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Swiss Super League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Swiss Super League standings and the Swiss Super League form table to understand exactly where Basel and Luzern sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Swiss Super League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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