Barnsley vs Derby County: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 25 February

Barnsley

W D W L D

4th place in England League 1

4 - 1

25/02/2023 11:00

Derby County

D D W W D

7th place in England League 1

England League 1

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Barnsley vs Derby County on 25 February 2023 (kick-off: 11:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Barnsley vs Derby County preview before placing your bet.

Barnsley will face Derby County in England League 1 on February 25, 2023 at 11:00.
Barnsley are currently 4th with 86 points after 46 matches.
Derby County sit 7th with 76 points from 46 matches.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 25/02/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Plymouth Argyle	101	46	31	8	7	82	47	35
02 Ipswich Town	98	46	28	14	4	101	35	66
03 Sheffield Wednesday	96	46	28	12	6	81	37	44
04 Barnsley	86	46	26	8	12	80	47	33
05 Bolton Wanderers	81	46	23	12	11	62	36	26
06 Peterborough United	77	46	24	5	17	75	54	21
07 Derby County	76	46	21	13	12	67	46	21
08 Portsmouth	70	46	17	19	10	61	50	11
09 Wycombe Wanderers	69	46	20	9	17	59	51	8
10 Charlton Athletic	62	46	16	14	16	70	66	4
11 Lincoln City	62	46	14	20	12	47	47	0
12 Shrewsbury Town	59	46	17	8	21	52	61	-9
13 Fleetwood Town	58	46	14	16	16	53	51	2
14 Exeter City	56	46	15	11	20	64	68	-4
15 Burton Albion	56	46	15	11	20	57	79	-22
16 Cheltenham Town	54	46	14	12	20	45	61	-16
17 Bristol Rovers	53	46	14	11	21	58	73	-15
18 Port Vale	49	46	13	10	23	48	71	-23
19 Oxford United	47	46	11	14	21	49	56	-7
20 Cambridge United	46	46	13	7	26	41	68	-27
21 Milton Keynes Dons	45	46	11	12	23	44	66	-22
22 Morecambe	44	46	10	14	22	47	78	-31
23 Accrington Stanley	44	46	11	11	24	40	77	-37
24 Forest Green Rovers	27	46	6	9	31	31	89	-58

Head To Head

08/01/2023 08:30

Derby County

3 - 0

Barnsley

ENG FAC

13/08/2022 10:00

Derby County

2 - 1

Barnsley

ENG L1

05/03/2022 11:00

Derby County

2 - 0

Barnsley

ENG LCH

03/11/2021 15:45

Barnsley

2 - 1

Derby County

ENG LCH

10/03/2021 15:00

Barnsley

0 - 0

Derby County

ENG LCH

07/11/2020 11:00

Derby County

0 - 2

Barnsley

ENG LCH

Derby County

67%

Draw

17%

Barnsley

17%

Barnsley Last 6 matches

18/02/2023 11:00

Cheltenham Town 0 - 4 Barnsley

ENG L1

14/02/2023 15:45

Port Vale 1 - 3 Barnsley

ENG L1

11/02/2023 11:00

Barnsley 2 - 0 Cambridge United

ENG L1

04/02/2023 11:00

Portsmouth 1 - 1 Barnsley

ENG L1

01/02/2023 15:45

Oxford United 1 - 2 Barnsley

ENG L1

21/01/2023 11:00

Barnsley 3 - 1 Accrington Stanley

ENG L1

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Last 6 matches Derby County

18/02/2023 11:00

Derby County 2 - 0 Charlton Athletic

ENG L1

14/02/2023 15:45

Derby County 1 - 1 Lincoln City

ENG L1

11/02/2023 11:00

Wycombe Wanderers 3 - 2 Derby County

ENG L1

04/02/2023 11:00

Derby County 5 - 0 Morecambe

ENG L1

30/01/2023 15:45

Derby County 0 - 2 West Ham United

ENG FAC

24/01/2023 15:45

Port Vale 1 - 2 Derby County

ENG L1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England League 1

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Barnsley

Derby County

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.82

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.57

Scored

Avg. per game

0.72

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.61

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 49 matches

YesNo

29 (59%)20 (41%)

In last 49 matches

NoYes

23 (50%)23 (50%)

Barnsley

Recent matches

Derby County

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

/Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Barnsley

Derby County

Shots

Barnsley

Total shots

12.51 avg / game

Blocked

142 total

Avg. 3.23

Derby County

Total shots

14.13 avg / game

Blocked

158 total

Avg. 4.05

Barnsley Pass Derby County

Total passes

18308

Avg. 374 / game

Accurate

66%

Ball possession

48%

Total passes

19024

Avg. 414 / game

Accurate

71%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Barnsley

Played games

Derby County

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.39

Clean sheets

0.37

5.24

257

Corners

278

6.04

26.90

1318

Throw-ins

1296

28.17

1.51

Offsides

2.15

1.82

GK saves

108

2.35

Barnsley

DISCIPLINARY

Derby County

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.96

1.78

0.10

0.07

11.61

569

Fouls

470

10.22

12.04

590

Tackles

629

13.67

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Barnsley vs Derby County Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Barnsley vs Derby County on 25 February 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England League 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Barnsley vs Derby County Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Barnsley's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Derby County's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England League 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England League 1 standings and the England League 1 form table to understand exactly where Barnsley and Derby County sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England League 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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