Bahir Dar Kenema FC vs Negelle Arsi: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 09 March

Bahir Dar Kenema FC

D D L D L

11th place in Ethiopia Premier League

0-0

09/03/2026 08:00

Negelle Arsi

D D W D W

2nd place in Ethiopia Premier League

Ethiopia Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Bahir Dar Kenema FC vs Negelle Arsi on 09 March 2026 (kick-off: 08:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Bahir Dar Kenema FC vs Negelle Arsi preview before placing your bet.

Bahir Dar Kenema FC are currently 11th with 48 points after 38 matches.
Negelle Arsi sit 2nd with 60 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: a draw with probability 32%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Bahir Dar Kenema FC and Negelle Arsi have each won 0 of the last 1 meetings, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

08:00

2026-03-09

Bahir Dar Kenema FC vs Negelle Arsi - Prediction & Odds

Bahir Dar Kenema FC

Negelle Arsi

2026-03-09 08:00

STANDINGS UP TO 09/03/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Sidama Bunna	68	38	19	11	8	43	23	20
02 Negelle Arsi	60	38	15	15	8	37	30	7
03 Defence Force FC	57	38	14	15	9	44	31	13
04 Fasil Kenema	55	38	14	13	11	28	28	0
05 Ethio Electric FC	54	38	13	15	10	32	26	6
06 Kedus Giorgis	54	38	14	12	12	33	31	2
07 Wolaita Dicha	51	38	11	18	9	37	31	6
08 Ethiopia Bunna	51	38	13	12	13	40	39	1
09 Hawassa City FC	50	38	12	14	12	37	33	4
10 Sheger Ketema	50	37	11	17	9	34	30	4
11 Bahir Dar Kenema FC	48	38	9	21	8	28	28	0
12 Hadiya Hossana	48	38	11	15	12	31	35	-4
13 Ethiopia Nigd Bank	47	38	11	14	13	45	45	0
14 Adama City	46	38	10	16	12	35	39	-4
15 Welwalo Adigrat	46	38	10	16	12	32	36	-4
16 Ethiopian Insurance FC	43	37	9	16	12	29	31	-2
17 Shire Endaselassie FC	42	38	9	15	14	24	32	-8
18 Dire Dawa	42	38	9	15	14	26	42	-16
19 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC	40	38	8	16	14	28	37	-9
20 Arba Minch	35	38	7	14	17	30	46	-16

Head To Head

02/11/2025 09:00

Negelle Arsi

0 - 0

Bahir Dar Kenema FC

ETH PR

Bahir Dar Kenema FC

Draw

100%

Negelle Arsi

Bahir Dar Kenema FC Last 6 matches

04/03/2026 08:00

Ethiopia Bunna 2 - 0 Bahir Dar Kenema FC ETH PR

27/02/2026 11:00

Bahir Dar Kenema FC 0 - 2 Arba Minch ETH PR

21/02/2026 08:00

Hadiya Hossana 0 - 1 Bahir Dar Kenema FC ETH PR

05/02/2026 08:00

Bahir Dar Kenema FC 2 - 2 Ethiopia Nigd Bank ETH PR

31/01/2026 09:00

Sidama Bunna 1 - 1 Bahir Dar Kenema FC ETH PR

25/01/2026 11:00

Bahir Dar Kenema FC 0 - 0 Hawassa City FC ETH PR

Win

17%

Draw

50%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Negelle Arsi

03/03/2026 08:00

Kedus Giorgis 0 - 0 Negelle Arsi ETH PR

26/02/2026 11:00

Negelle Arsi 0 - 1 Ethiopia Bunna ETH PR

22/02/2026 08:00

Arba Minch 1 - 1 Negelle Arsi ETH PR

05/02/2026 11:00

Negelle Arsi 1 - 0 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC ETH PR

01/02/2026 11:00

Ethiopia Nigd Bank 0 - 2 Negelle Arsi ETH PR

27/01/2026 08:00

Negelle Arsi 1 - 0 Sidama Bunna ETH PR

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Ethiopia Premier Leagu...

Played games

Bahir Dar Kenema FC

Negelle Arsi

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.74

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.74

Scored

Avg. per game

0.97

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.79

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 38 matches

YesNo

18 (47%)20 (53%)

In last 38 matches

NoYes

24 (63%)14 (37%)

Bahir Dar Kenema FC

Recent matches

Negelle Arsi

Under /Over

(53%)20 18(47%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(61%)23 15(39%)

Under /Over

(16%)6 32(84%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(24%)9 29(76%)

Under /Over

(26%)10 28(74%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(24%)9 29(76%)

/Yes

(32%)12 26(68%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(37%)14 24(63%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Bahir Dar Kenema FC

Negelle Arsi

Shots

Bahir Dar Kenema FC

Total shots

8.89 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Negelle Arsi

Total shots

7.38 avg / game

Blocked

2 total

Avg. 1.00

Bahir Dar Kenema FC Pass Negelle Arsi

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Bahir Dar Kenema FC

Played games

Negelle Arsi

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.53

Clean sheets

0.45

3.92

149

Corners

125

3.29

2.87

109

Throw-ins

108

2.84

1.74

Offsides

1.87

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Bahir Dar Kenema FC

DISCIPLINARY

Negelle Arsi

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.74

2.47

0.05

0.08

8.50

323

Fouls

342

9.00

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Bahir Dar Kenema FC vs Negelle Arsi Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Bahir Dar Kenema FC vs Negelle Arsi on 09 March 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Ethiopia Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Bahir Dar Kenema FC vs Negelle Arsi Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Bahir Dar Kenema FC's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Negelle Arsi's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Ethiopia Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Ethiopia Premier League standings and the Ethiopia Premier League form table to understand exactly where Bahir Dar Kenema FC and Negelle Arsi sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Ethiopia Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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