Bahia vs Palmeiras: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 September

Bahia

D L W D W

7th place in Brazil Serie A

1-0

28/09/2025 15:00

Palmeiras

L D D L W

2nd place in Brazil Serie A

Brazil Serie A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Bahia vs Palmeiras on 28 September 2025 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Bahia vs Palmeiras preview before placing your bet.

Bahia will face Palmeiras in Brazil Serie A on September 28, 2025 at 15:00.
Bahia are currently 7th with 60 points after 38 matches.
Palmeiras sit 2nd with 76 points from 38 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 2.08.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2025-09-28

Bahia vs Palmeiras - Prediction & Odds

Bahia

Palmeiras

2025-09-28 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 28/09/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Flamengo	79	38	23	10	5	78	27	51
02 Palmeiras	76	38	23	7	8	66	33	33
03 Cruzeiro	70	38	19	13	6	55	31	24
04 Mirassol	67	38	18	13	7	63	39	24
05 Fluminense RJ	64	38	19	7	12	50	39	11
06 Botafogo RJ	63	38	17	12	9	58	38	20
07 Bahia	60	38	17	9	12	50	46	4
08 Sao Paulo	51	38	14	9	15	43	47	-4
09 Gremio (RS)	49	38	13	10	15	47	50	-3
10 Bragantino	48	38	14	6	18	45	57	-12
11 Atletico Mineiro	48	38	12	12	14	43	44	-1
12 Santos	47	38	12	11	15	45	50	-5
13 Corinthians Paulista (SP)	47	38	12	11	15	42	47	-5
14 Vasco da Gama	45	38	13	6	19	55	60	-5
15 Vitoria BA	45	38	11	12	15	35	52	-17
16 Internacional RS	44	38	11	11	16	44	57	-13
17 Ceara	43	38	11	10	17	34	40	-6
18 Fortaleza	43	38	11	10	17	43	58	-15
19 Juventude	35	38	9	8	21	35	69	-34
20 Sport Club do Recife	17	38	2	11	25	28	75	-47

Head To Head

27/04/2025 17:30

Palmeiras

0 - 1

Bahia

BRA D1

20/11/2024 17:00

Bahia

1 - 2

Palmeiras

BRA D1

07/07/2024 17:30

Palmeiras

2 - 0

Bahia

BRA D1

28/10/2023 18:00

Palmeiras

1 - 0

Bahia

BRA D1

21/06/2023 20:30

Bahia

1 - 0

Palmeiras

BRA D1

12/10/2021 20:30

Bahia

0 - 0

Palmeiras

BRA D1

Palmeiras

50%

Draw

17%

Bahia

33%

Bahia Last 6 matches

20/09/2025 17:30

Ceara 1 - 1 Bahia

BRA D1

15/09/2025 19:00

Bahia 1 - 2 Cruzeiro

BRA D1

10/09/2025 18:00

Fluminense RJ 2 - 0 Bahia

Copa do Brasil

06/09/2025 16:30

Bahia 5 - 0 Confianca SE

BRA CNF

03/09/2025 20:30

Confianca SE 1 - 4 Bahia

BRA CNF

31/08/2025 17:30

Mirassol 5 - 1 Bahia

BRA D1

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Palmeiras

20/09/2025 20:00

Palmeiras 4 - 1 Fortaleza

BRA D1

17/09/2025 20:30

River Plate 1 - 2 Palmeiras

CON CLA

13/09/2025 17:30

Palmeiras 4 - 1 Internacional RS

BRA D1

31/08/2025 17:30

Corinthians Paulista (SP) 1 - 1 Palmeiras

BRA D1

25/08/2025 18:00

Palmeiras 3 - 0 Sport Club do Recife

BRA D1

21/08/2025 20:30

Palmeiras 0 - 0 Universitario De Deportes

CON CLA

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Brazil Serie A

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Bahia

Palmeiras

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.76

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.68

Scored

Avg. per game

1.00

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.37

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 38 matches

YesNo

22 (58%)16 (42%)

In last 38 matches

NoYes

23 (61%)15 (39%)

Bahia

Recent matches

Palmeiras

Under /Over

(74%)28 10(26%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(68%)26 12(32%)

Under /Over

(29%)11 27(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(45%)17 21(55%)

Under /Over

(45%)17 21(55%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(39%)15 23(61%)

/Yes

(50%)19 19(50%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(50%)19 19(50%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Bahia

Palmeiras

Shots

Bahia

Total shots

12.32 avg / game

Blocked

121 total

Avg. 3.46

Palmeiras

Total shots

13.97 avg / game

Blocked

137 total

Avg. 3.81

Bahia Pass Palmeiras

Total passes

15893

Avg. 418 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

55%

Total passes

13758

Avg. 372 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Bahia

Played games

Palmeiras

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.34

Clean sheets

0.39

4.11

156

Corners

203

5.34

13.89

528

Throw-ins

665

17.50

1.08

Offsides

1.63

2.53

GK saves

100

2.63

Bahia

DISCIPLINARY

Palmeiras

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.84

1.66

0.11

0.08

10.68

406

Fouls

470

12.37

11.61

441

Tackles

472

12.42

NEXT MATCHES

07/26

Bahia

Corinthians Paulista (SP)

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Bahia vs Palmeiras Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Bahia vs Palmeiras on 28 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Brazil Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Bahia vs Palmeiras Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Bahia's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Palmeiras's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Brazil Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Brazil Serie A standings and the Brazil Serie A form table to understand exactly where Bahia and Palmeiras sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Brazil Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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